College Football Game Prognostications and Results - 2008 Season - Week 7

UPDATE NOTICE:
SPRS (Sport Pundit Rating System) Name Change to YPPSYS (tm) viz. YPP-SYS (tm)

We have discovered that confusion might be remotely possible between our SPRS college football prediction system and something called Thompson SPRS which we noted for the first time today (October 12, 2008) at The Prediction Tracker summaries but which we have been unable to find online. When we first named our SPRS system, there was no Google conflict, otherwise we would have chosen a different name.

In order to identify our system as a separate system, and since we have no reason to be bound to our original name if confusion of any kind is possible, we are changing the SPRS name today from SPRS System to YPPSYS (or YPP-SYS ), which means "Yards Per Play System", a change which we will implement as an update paragraph on the relevant older pages explaining our original SPRS. There is no online conflict for this name and we hereby trademark the names YPPSYS viz. YPP-SYS as acronyms used by us for our college football prediction system, a rating, ranking and prediction system which was previously called SPRS by us, based on net average yards per play advantage (NAYPPA).

We do this particularly since our system this year is beating nearly all the systems listed at The Prediction Tracker and we want no confusion.

Update, Sunday, October 12, 2008 - do not forget, this is the day we also celebrate the official modern-day founding of America by Christopher Columbus, though we know in the meantime that the Scandinavian Vikings were there before he was, and their accounts may even have spurred Columbus on, though nobody knows for sure.

You have to love college football, a game in which any team can beat any other team on a given day, and this was such a given day, as numerous upsets marked a tremendous football weekend. This week, we were 39-12 in calling the game winner and 26-24 against the spread. For the season we are 414-114 in calling the game winner and 153-142-4 against the spread.

College Football Game Predictions and Results - 2008 Season - Week 7 (week and weekend of Saturday, October 11, 2008)

The odds used below are those posted at the College Football Prediction Tracker on Wednesday, October 8, 2008. The unique system used for game prognostications is SPRS, which uses primarily our own derived NAYPPA system (based on yards per play stats from cfbstats.com) plus the Massey Ratings strength of schedule (SoS) for making college football predictions, although we handle SoS differently here than for a full season. Thus far this year, for Division I-A FBS football, the median (of 120 teams) net yards per play gained on offense is 5.5 whereas the median net yards per play allowed on defense is 5.3. In the year 2007 those medians were 5.4 and 5.3 respectively for the full season. Unless otherwise noted, the stats in parentheses give the net average yards per play gained on offense and net average yards per play allowed on defense thus far this football season. Each point of SPRS rating advantage = 9 points on the scoreboard (see the 2007 final rankings). We do this all in good fun and disclaim any and all liability for any reliance of any kind on our prognostications. May the best team win.

Tuesday, October 7

Result: Troy 30 (5.7, 4.6, Sos=84), Florida Atlantic (5.4, 5.7, Sos=33) 17
We posted our predictions too late for this game. Troy, by our stats, would have had a NAYPPA advantage of 1.4 x 9 = 13 points minus the home field advantage for Florida Atlantic = 3 points minus another ca. 5 points for a weaker schedule. Florida Atlantic would have been docked 4 points for having two more losses and another point for a weak defense, so that we would have favored Troy by about 10 points.

Thursday, October 9

Clemson (6.3, 4.8, NAYPPA=1.5, SoS=63) is a 2 point underdog at Wake Forest (4.5, 4.6, NAYPPA=-.1, SoS=9). Our stats analysis gives Clemson a .4 x 9 advantage = 3 to 4 points.
We call it: 21-17 for Clemson.
Wake Forest remains one of the wonder teams of college football and continues to keep winning by opportunistic play in spite of what appears to be an average team. Clemson continues to disappoint as its allegedly potent offense was throttled fully.
Result: Wake Forest won 12-7
This week, we are thus far 0-1 in calling the game winner and 0-1 against the spread.

UAB (6.1, 6.9, SoS=111) is the underdog by 18.5 points at Houston (6.6, 5.8, SoS=51).
We call it: 44-21 for Houston.
Houston had a NAYPPA of 7.7 to 4.5 = 3.2 yards per play in this game which translates into about 28 points.
Result: Houston won 45-20.
This week, we are thus far 1-1 in calling the game winner and 1-1 against the spread.

Friday, October 10

Louisville (5.8, 4.3, SoS=56) is favored by 6.5 points at Memphis (6.0, 6.3, SoS=117).
We call it: 43-24 for Louisville.
Result: Louisville won 35-28, although Memphis put up 481 yards total offense to the Cardinals only 299.
This week, we are thus far 2-1 in calling the game winner and 2-1 against the spread.

Saturday, October 11

Texas (6.6, 4.5, SoS=64) is a 6.5 point underdog vs. Oklahoma (6.8, 3.8, SoS=76).
The game takes place in Dallas, so the normal home field rule does not apply. Last year, Oklahoma beat Texas in Dallas 28-21 and Texas beat TCU 34-13, whereas Oklahoma beat TCU 35-10 this year. In 2008, Texas has been constantly improving under new defensive coordinator Will Muschamp, called Coach Champ by his players. As written by Jimmy Burch at the Star-Telegram.com:
"The fifth-ranked Longhorns (5-0, 1-0 in Big 12) head into Saturday’s showdown with No. 1 Oklahoma (5-0, 1-0) as the NCAA leader in sacks (3.8 per game). Texas also ranks fourth in scoring defense (11.4 points per game), more than two touchdowns better than last season’s pace (25.3 average)."
THAT's what we call top coaching, and the Oklahoma offense can be sure to meet up against maximum pressure this game. The Texas offense in turn has also been strong this year, with three of its five games thus far this season decided by the same score of 52-10.
We call it: 31-27 for Oklahoma.
Result: The Longhorns upset the Sooners 45-35 in a game which was pretty even in terms of stats, with Texas putting up 438 yards of total offense to Oklahoma's 430, although the Sooners had the edge in yards per play by 6.6 to 6.2, which would indicate they should have won by 4, as we predicted. The turning point in the game was questionable coaching by Sooner head coach Bob Stoops, as Oklahoma, leading 28-27, failed to execute on a needless fake punt at midfield, which turned the tables. There was no need at that time to resort to trickery.
This week, we are thus far 2-2 in calling the game winner and 3-1 against the spread.

Iowa (5.9, 4.4, SoS=24) is favored by 5.5 points at Indiana (6.1, 5.0, SoS=58).
We call it: 24-21 for Iowa.
Result: The Hawkyes clobbered the Hoosiers 45-9,
This week, we are thus far 3-2 in calling the game winner and 3-2 against the spread.

Toledo (5.1, 5.5, SoS=66) is the underdog by 17 points at Michigan (4.5, 4.9, SoS=7).
We call it: 28-20 for Michigan.
Result: Appalachian State was no fluke. 13-10 for Toledo? Our stats were correct in showing that the difference between these two teams was not that great. Michigan has hit depths that no one thought possible, as it lost to a team that the previous week had been shut out 31-0 by Ball State and had even lost to Florida International 35-16, a team that was 1-11 last year.
This week, we are thus far 3-3 in calling the game winner and 4-2 against the spread.

East Carolina (5.3, 5.3, SoS=48) is favored by 5.5 points at Virginia (4.3, 5.5, SoS=3).
We call it: 21-20 for Virginia.
Result: After a disastrous season start, Virginia has returned with a vengeance, as the Cavaliers knocked off Maryland last week and topped East Carolina 35-20 this week.
This week, we are thus far 4-3 in calling the game winner and 5-2 against the spread.

Syracuse (5.1, 6.3, SoS=8) is a 24 point underdog at West Virginia (5.6, 4.4, SoS=68).
We call it: 36-17 for West Virginia.
Result: The Mountaineers won 17-6 and were lucky to win as the Orange put up more yardage.
This week, we are thus far 5-3 in calling the game winner and 6-2 against the spread.

Minnesota (5.4, 5.6, SoS=95) is the underdog by 12 points at Illinois (6.2, 5.5, SoS=20).
We call it: 38-20 for Illinois.
Result: The Golden Gophers, 1-11 last year, continued a fantastic recovery season under 2nd-year head coach Tim Brewster, as they beat the Illini 27-20 to go 6-1 on the year, with the only loss being to Ohio State.
This week, we are thus far 5-4 in calling the game winner and 6-3 against the spread.

Rutgers (5.2, 5.3, SoS=73) is the underdog by 7.5 points at Cincinnati (6.0, 5.0, SoS=83).
We call it: 31-21 for Cincinnati.
Result: Cincinnati won 13-10.
This week, we are thus far 6-4 in calling the game winner and 6-4 against the spread.

Colorado (4.6, 5.1, SoS=21) is the underdog by 14 points at Kansas (6.1, 4.9, SoS=80).
We call it: 34-21 for Kansas.
Result: Kansas beat Colorado 30-14.
This week, we are thus far 7-4 in calling the game winner and 6-5 against the spread.

South Carolina (5.1, 4.3, SoS=19) at Kentucky (4.8, 4.3, SoS=86) has a line of 0 points
Kentucky has given up no more than 17 points this year, to Alabama. South Carolina has twice given up 24 points. Do the Gamecocks have the offense to beat the Wildcats at home?
We call it: 17-14 for Kentucky.
Result: South Carolina rightly beat Kentucky 24-17, holding a 4.6 to 3.3 yards per play advantage = 1.3 x 9 = 12 points minus the home field advantage = 9 points.
This week, we are thus far 7-5 in calling the game winner and 6-6 against the spread.

Eastern Michigan (5.5, 5.9, SoS=112) at Army (4.4, 5.7, SoS=96) has a line of 0 points
Normally, we would favor Eastern Michigan, but Army may have found itself in a stunning 44-13 win over Tulane last week, breaking a 10-game losing streak.
We call it: 31-30 for Army.
Result: Army won 17-13.
This week, we are thus far 8-5 in calling the game winner and 7-6 against the spread.

Utah (5.7, 4.4, SoS=41) is favored by 23.5 points at Wyoming (4.1, 4.9, SoS=82).
We call it: 27-7 for Utah.
Result: Utah won 40-7 in spite of gaining 4 yards less total offense, as the Cowboys turned the ball over 5 times.
This week, we are thus far 9-5 in calling the game winner and 7-7 against the spread.

Kansas State (6.1, 5.5, SoS=105) is favored by 3.5 points at Texas A&M (5.1, 5.6, SoS=85).
We call it: 31-26 for Kansas State.
Result: K-State won 44-30 in spite of being outgained 544 to 455 in total offense.
This week, we are thus far 10-5 in calling the game winner and 8-7 against the spread.

Vanderbilt (4.7, 4.9, SoS=32) is favored by 3 points at Mississippi State (4.6, 5.2, SoS=25).
Our stats would call this game even. We are not sure we understand why unbeaten Vanderbilt, who beat Rice 38-21 is ranked 13th, and Tulsa, who beat Rice 63-28 is unranked, but the pollsters will have their conference ? reasons.
We call it: 21-20 for Mississippi State
Result: Mississippi State won 17-14 as the Bulldogs held Vandy to 106 total net yards.
This week, we are thus far 11-5 in calling the game winner and 9-7 against the spread.

Ohio (5.4, 5.3, SoS=70) is favored by 2 points at Kent State (5.4, 5.9, SoS=97).
We call it: 23-17 for Ohio.
Result: Ohio beat Kent State 26-19.
This week, we are thus far 12-5 in calling the game winner and 10-7 against the spread.

Nebraska (6.5, 5.5, SoS=6) is a 20 point underdog at Texas Tech (7.5, 4.8, SoS=108)
By the stats, the Huskers should only be about 10-point underdogs, but with their leaky secondary and poor defense, combined with a sputtering offense and bad playcalling through an inept offensive system, Nebraska could get blown away easily. As an alumnus, I remain unjustifiably optimistic about the thus far disappointing Huskers in the hopes that Pelini can start to get his team to play intelligent football. The offense has to keep moving to keep the weak defensive unit off the field. How about offering the offensive coordinator job to Gus Malzahn?
We call it: 41-31 for Texas Tech.
Result: We are quite proud of the Huskers, who played a great game and lost in overtime to the 7th ranked Red Raiders 37-31 in overtime. It is never fun to lose, but the Huskers at least were competitive and could have won this game. The balance this year of 3 losses hides the fact that two were close games that Nebraska could have won. In coming years, under Pelini tutelage, they will win those games.
This week, we are thus far 13-5 in calling the game winner and 11-7 against the spread.

Arizona State (5.7, 4.8, SoS=11) is a 27.5 point underdog at USC (6.8, 3.7, SoS=4).
We call it: 40-17 for USC.
Result: USC won 28-0. The Sun Devils have serious problems on offense, not scoring a single point, as starting QB Rudy Cartpenter played injured before limping off the field and as the backup QB went a disastrous 4 for 17 passing with two interceptions. Arizona State has the 3rd highest undergraduate enrollment in the United States of any university, just behind Ohio State and Florida. It should be possible to find someone on campus who can throw the ball.
This week, we are thus far 14-5 in calling the game winner and 11-8 against the spread.

Tennessee (5.0, 3.9, SoS=99) is the underdog by 12.5 points at Georgia (6.8, 4.6, SoS=13).
We call it: 41-20 for Georgia.
Result: Georgia beat Tennessee 26-14 as the Vols sturggled against the more powerful Bulldogs, who themselves too often had to settle for field goals (4) where they should have made TDs.
This week, we are thus far 15-5 in calling the game winner and 11-9 against the spread.

Purdue (5.4, 5.5, SoS=43) is a 19.5 point underdog at Ohio State (5.3, 4.4, SoS=62).
We call it: 27-17 for the Buckeyes.
Result: Ohio State won 16-3.
This week, we are thus far 16-5 in calling the game winner and 12-9 against the spread.

Notre Dame (5.4, 5.4, SoS=35) is a 7.5 point underdog at North Carolina (5.8, 4.8, SoS=17).
We call it: 31-17 for North Carolina.
Result: North Carolina beat the Irish 29-24. Notre Dame should have won this game but turned the ball over 4 times while outgaining the Tar Heels 482 to 323 yards total offense.
This week, we are thus far 17-5 in calling the game winner and 12-10 against the spread.

Michigan State (5.4, 5.4, SoS=49) is favored by 1.5 points at Northwestern (5.1, 4.6, SoS=72).
We call it: 24-20 for Northwestern.
Result: How bad is the on-field coaching at Northwestern? Pretty awful. After closing the game score to 24-14 to start out the first half, the Wildcats went for an onside kick (??), but lost the ball on their own 32 yard line and Michigan State went in for the 31-14 score. That was the ball game. Bad coaching is also when a trailing team late in the game goes for field goals rather than going for TDs and the possible win. Northwestern gained 459 yards total offense to the Spartan's 297 but also turned the ball over 3 times, in addition to terrible playcalling by the coaching staff. When you lose by 17, 37-20 in spite of vastly superior offensive stats, it is time to review a team's entire coaching strategy on the field.
This week, we are thus far 17-6 in calling the game winner and 12-11 against the spread.

TCU (5.1, 3.9, SoS=90) is favored by 15.5 points at Colorado State (5.6, 5.9, SoS=47).
We call it: 24-17 for TCU.
Result: TCU won 13-7.
This week, we are thus far 18-6 in calling the game winner and 13-11 against the spread.

Gardner-Webb (SoS=217) at Georgia Tech (6.7, 3.9, SoS=12).
We call it: 52-10 for Georgia Tech.
Result: The Yellow Jackets escaped with a 13-10 win as the Yellow Jackets went with their 3rd-string QB in a game which shows just how important the QB is, as Georgia Tech should otherwise not have had any trouble against the otherwise outmatched Runnin' Bulldogs.
This week, we are thus far 19-6 in calling the game winner and 13-11 against the spread.

Western Michigan (6.4, 5.2, SoS=128) is the underdog by 1.5 points at Buffalo (5.5, 6.0, SoS=15).
We call it: 34-31 for Western Michigan.
Result: In a heartbreaker for Buffalo, Westerm Michigan scored 22 points in the 4th quarter and then won in overtime 34-28.
This week, we are thus far 20-6 in calling the game winner and 14-11 against the spread.

UCF (4.3, 5.4, SoS=92) is the underdog by 16.5 points at Miami (FL) (4.9, 4.9, SoS=42).
We call it: 32-14 for the Hurricanes.
Result: The Hurricanes held UCF to 78 total net yards but could not muster much offense themselves to win 20-14, as the Knights scored on a 61-yard interception and a 90-yard kickoff return to keep the game close. Indeed, UCF had a 1st and 10 at the Miami 42 with 3:15 to play, but could not get the ball into the end zone.
This week, we are thus far 21-6 in calling the game winner and 14-12 against the spread.

Temple (4.4, 5.0, SoS=44) is the underdog by 8.5 points at Central Michigan (5.3, 6.3, SoS=78).
We call it: 28-24 for Temple.
Result: Central Michigan won 24-14, with a 37-yard TD in the last minute to finish out a game which was otherwise quite close.
This week, we are thus far 21-7 in calling the game winner and 14-13 against the spread.

Miami (OH) (4.4, 5.4, SoS=40) is a 10.5 point underdog at Northern Illinois (5.6, 4.6, SoS=125).
We call it: 35-21 for Northern Illinois.
Result: Northern Illinois won 17-13.
This week, we are thus far 22-7 in calling the game winner and 14-14 against the spread.

New Mexico State (6.6, 5.2, SoS=101) is a 19.5 point underdog at Nevada (6.6, 5.9, SoS=52).
Our stats make this game nearly even, so we go with the home team.
We call it: 38-36 for Nevada.
Result: New Mexico State won 48-45 in an evenly matched game.
This week, we are thus far 23-7 in calling the game winner and 15-14 against the spread.

Arkansas (5.4, 5.9, SoS=30) is the underdog by 19 points at Auburn (4.4, 3.9, SoS=77).
We call it: 17-10 for Auburn.
Result: Arkansas won 25-22.
This week, we are thus far 23-8 in calling the game winner and 16-14 against the spread.

Arizona (6.0, 3.9, SoS=127) is favored by 6 points at Stanford (5.2, 5.3, SoS=18).
Our stats favor Arizona by 7, but, as an alumnus, we go here with the Cardinal at home.
We call it: 24-23 for Stanford.
Result: Stanford won 24-23 on a last-minute TD and PAT, EXACTLY the score we predicted. Hey, as a Stanford Law School grad, maybe we have that extra sensory wire, as the Cardinal rightly won, outgaining the Wildcats 420 to 330.
This week, we are thus far 24-8 in calling the game winner and 17-14 against the spread.

New Mexico (4.7, 5.3, SoS=54) is the underdog by 23.5 points at Brigham Young (6.5, 4.6, SoS=116).
Our stats favor BYU by 20.
We call it: 27-7 for BYU.
Result: The superb BYU defense again prevailed, allowing only a field goal and winning 21-3.
This week, we are thus far 25-8 in calling the game winner and 18-14 against the spread.

Bowling Green (4.9, 5.3, SoS=29) is favored by 2 points at Akron (5.4, 5.5, SoS=75).
Our stats make this game nearly even, so we go with the home team.
We call it: 28-27 for Akron.
Result: Bowling Green trailed 33-20 in the 4th quarter but put up 17 unanswered points to win 37-33. Such reversals happen when one team plays to protect a lead rather than to increase it. In other words, it is sheer coaching weakness.
This week, we are thus far 25-9 in calling the game winner and 18-15 against the spread.

Washington State (4.2, 6.3, SoS=53) is a 29.5 point underdog at Oregon State (5.5, 5.3, SoS=1).
We call it: 38-10 for Oregon State.
Result: Oregon State ran over Washington State in the second half, turning a 24-13 halftime lead into a 66-13 victory.
This week, we are thus far 26-9 in calling the game winner and 18-16 against the spread.

Ball State (7.0, 5.3, SoS=104) is favored by 15.5 points at Western Kentucky (4.4, 5.3, SoS=61).
We call it: 31-14 for Ball State.
Result: BAll State won 24-17.
This week, we are thus far 27-9 in calling the game winner and 19-16 against the spread.

Iowa State (5.3, 6.1, SoS=87) is the underdog by 4.5 points at Baylor (6.2, 4.8, SoS=16).
We call it: 36-7 for Baylor.
Result: The 38-10 win by Baylor showcases the SPRS prediction system, predicting a much higher win by Baylor than the official line.
This week, we are thus far 28-9 in calling the game winner and 20-16 against the spread.

Louisiana-Lafayette (ULL) (7.4, 6.2, SoS=122) is favored by 21.5 points at North Texas (4.8, 6.8, SoS=23).
We call it: 40-14 for Louisiana-Lafayette.
Result: ULL won 59-30 in a high-scoring affair.
This week, we are thus far 29-9 in calling the game winner and 21-16 against the spread.

Louisiana-Monroe (5.1, 7.1, SoS=135) is a 12.5 point underdog at Arkansas State (7.1, 4.9, SoS=143).
We call it: 47-7 for Arkansas State.
Result: The Red Wolves frittered away a 37-14 lead in the 4th quarter, always a sign of poor coaching, to win 37-29 against the Warhawks.
This week, we are thus far 30-9 in calling the game winner and 21-17 against the spread.

Middle Tennessee State (4.8, 5.4, SoS=65) is the underdog by 1 point at Florida International (3.9, 5.1, SoS=67).
We call it: 24-21 for Middle Tennessee State.
Result: Florida International (1-11 last year) continued its unexpected surge this season winning 31-21 to go to 3-3 this season on its 3rd consecutive win.
This week, we are thus far 30-10 in calling the game winner and 21-18 against the spread.

Utah State (5.1, 5.9, SoS=22) is a 14.5 point underdog at San Jose State (4.7, 4.8, SoS=89).
We call it: 24-20 for San Jose State.
Result: San Jose State won 30-7.
This week, we are thus far 31-10 in calling the game winner and 21-19 against the spread.

Oklahoma State (7.6, 4.8, SoS=115) is a 14 point underdog at Missouri (8.2, 4.8, SoS=50).
Cowboy head coach Mike Gundy may be starting to live up to the expectations of big Cowboy philanthropist T. Boone Pickens, as Oklahoma State is 5-0 and averaging over 52 points per game on offense.
We call it: 48-35 for Missouri.
Result: Oklahoma State upset Missouri 28-23 as Chase Daniel threw 3 interceptions in the 2nd half.
This week, we are thus far 31-11 in calling the game winner and 22-19 against the spread.

LSU (6.6, 4.2, SoS=107) is the underdog by 6 points at Florida (6.3, 4.4, SoS=69).
We call it: 27-24 for Florida.
Result: Florida ended any chance of an LSU national championship repeat by a blowout 51-21 score. The net average yards per play advantage, 7.7 to 4.8 =2.9 confirms that the score is legitimate.
This week, we are thus far 32-11 in calling the game winner and 22-20 against the spread.

Penn State (7.1, 3.9, SoS=74) is favored by 5 points at Wisconsin (5.7, 4.9, SoS=37).
We call it: 21-14 for Penn State.
Result: Who will beat Penn State in the regular season this year? Maybe no one. The Nittany Lions beat Wisconsin 48-7.
This week, we are thus far 33-11 in calling the game winner and 23-20 against the spread.

Boise State (6.8, 4.5, SoS=102) is favored by 11 points at Southern Miss (5.7, 5.7, SoS=94).
We call it: 35-17 for Boise State.
Result: In a strange game in which the scoring was all confined to the 2nd quarter, Boise State won 24-7.
This week, we are thus far 34-11 in calling the game winner and 24-20 against the spread.

Tulsa (8.3, 5.8, SoS=120) is favored by 24.5 points at Southern Methodist (SMU) (5.5, 6.6, SoS=88).
We call it: 52-21 for Tulsa.
Result: Tulsa had to come from behind to win 37-31 in spite of putting up 602 yards total offense, as the Golden Hurricane was plagued by 3 turnovers against an improving SMU team under new head coach June Jones.
This week, we are thus far 35-11 in calling the game winner and 24-21 against the spread.

Tulane (5.4, 5.0, SoS=103) is a 4.5 point underdog at UTEP (5.2, 6.2, SoS=60).
We call it: 28-21 for Tulane.
Result: UTEP beat Tulane 24-21 on a late 4th-quarter TD for 68 yards.
This week, we are thus far 35-12 in calling the game winner and 24-22 against the spread.

Air Force (4.8, 4.8, SoS=45) is favored by 10.5 points at San Diego State (5.1, 5.6, SoS=59).
We call it: 21-17 for Air Force.
Result: The Aztecs saw a 10-7 first half lead evaporate as the Falcons won 35-10 on a strong 2nd half showing.
This week, we are thus far 36-12 in calling the game winner and 24-23 against the spread.

Idaho (4.7, 6.9, SoS=114) is the underdog by 34 points at Fresno State (6.5, 5.8, SoS=98).
We call it: 35-14 for Fresno State.
Result: The Bulldogs won 45-32.
This week, we are thus far 37-12 in calling the game winner and 25-23 against the spread.

UCLA (4.5, 5.2, SoS=81) is an 18.5 point underdog at Oregon (6.0, 4.9, SoS=55).
We call it: 38-14 for Oregon.
Result: Oregon won 31-24.
This week, we are thus far 38-12 in calling the game winner and 25-24 against the spread.

Sunday, October 12

Louisiana Tech (4.7, 6.0, SoS=57) is the underdog by 7.5 points at Hawaii (5.1, 5.4, SoS=31)
We call it: 37-23 for Hawaii.
Result: Hawaii won 24-14.
This week, we were thus 39-12 in calling the game winner and 26-24 against the spread.

Crossposted to LawPundit.