Saturday, September 19, 2009

College Football Game Predictions AND Results Week 3 2009 Season

College Football Game Predictions Week 3 2009 Season were based on YPPSYS calculations for the 2009 season based primarily on NAYPPA as calculated from stats available at cfbstats.com and strength of schedule ratings according to the Massey Ratings. As opposed to the previous two weeks of prognostications, we no longer used last year's stats at all, since usable stats were available from the first two weeks of the season, and we calculated those stats by our YPPSYS (yards per play + schedule difficulty) System, albeit using numbers that are not published anywhere, but calculated by us per individual game.

Odds were posted according to the College Football Prediction Tracker, Wednesday, September 16, 2009 4:23:09 PM . We make no warranties as to the truth or accuracy of our information. As always, we do this in good fun only - do not rely on our predictions for anything - and we disclaim any and all liability for any reliance upon our prognostications. Football is sport. May the best team win.

Our call: Akron was favored at home by 4.5 points over Indiana. YPPSYS favored Indiana by 5 points, 21-16. Result: Indiana beat Akron 38-21. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 95-28 W-L in picking the winner and 41-43-1 against the spread.

Our call: Alabama was favored at home by 38 points over North Texas. YPPSYS favored the Crimson Tide by 34 points, 41-7. Result: Alabama beat North Texas 53-7. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 96-28 W-L in picking the winner and 41-44-1 against the spread.

Our call: Arizona State was favored at home by 20 points over Louisiana-Monroe. YPPSYS favored the Sun Devils by 27 points, 41-14. Result: The Sun Devils won 38-14. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 97-28 W-L in picking the winner and 42-44-1 against the spread.

Our call: Arkansas at home is seen as even with Georgia. YPPSYS favored the Razorbacks by only the 3 points of the home field advantage, 41-38. Result: Georgia beat Arkansas 52-41 after trailing by as much as 21-10 in the first half. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and lost to the spread. Thus far this season we are 97-29 W-L in picking the winner and 42-45-1 against the spread.

Our call: Army was favored at home by 8 points over Ball State. YPPSYS favored Army by 30 points, 40-10. Result: Army beat Ball State 24-17. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat to the spread. Thus far this season we are 98-29 W-L in picking the winner and 42-46-1 against the spread.

Our call: Auburn was favored at home by 8 points over West Virginia. YPPSYS favored Auburn by 17 points, 48-31. Result: Auburn won 41-30 after trailing early 14-0. We think very highly of Gus Malzahn's offense. Too bad the Huskers do not have anything closely comparable. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat to the spread. Thus far this season we are 99-29 W-L in picking the winner and 43-46-1 against the spread.

Our call: BYU was favored at home by 7 points over Florida State. YPPSYS favored BYU by 10 points, 31-21. Result: The Seminoles unexpectedly dominated the Cougars in an embarrassing thrashing 54-28. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and lost to the spread. Thus far this season we are 99-30 W-L in picking the winner and 43-47-1 against the spread.

Our call: Baylor was favored at home by 10.5 points over Connecticut. YPPSYS favored Baylor by 18 points, 35-17. Result: Connecticut beat Baylor 30-22. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and lost to the spread. Thus far this season we are 99-31 W-L in picking the winner and 43-48-1 against the spread.

Our call: Central Florida (UCF) was favored at home by 4.5 points over Buffalo. YPPSYS favored Buffalo by 18 points, 38-20. Result: UCF beat Buffalo 23-17. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and lost to the spread. Thus far this season we are 99-32 W-L in picking the winner and 43-49-1 against the spread.

Our call: Clemson was favored at home by 6.5 points over Boston College. YPPSYS favored Boston College by 7 points, 31-24. Result: Clemson won 25-7. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and lost to the spread. Thus far this season we are 99-33 W-L in picking the winner and 43-50-1 against the spread.

Our call: Colorado was favored at home by 7 points over Wyoming. YPPSYS favored the Buffaloes by 9 points, 30-21. Result: Colorado beat Wyoming 24-0. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 100-33 W-L in picking the winner and 44-50-1 against the spread.

Our call: Colorado State was the underdog at home by 3 points against Nevada. YPPSYS favored Colorado State by 14 points, 45-31. Result: Colorado State won 35-20. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 101-33 W-L in picking the winner and 45-50-1 against the spread.

Our call: Florida was favored at home by 29.5 points over Tennessee. YPPSYS favored Florida by 19 points, 40-21. Result: Florida won 23-13. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 102-33 W-L in picking the winner and 46-50-1 against the spread.

Our call: Fresno State was the underdog at home by 7.5 points against Boise State. YPPSYS favored Boise State by 3 points, 27-24. Result: Boise State beat Fresno State 51-34. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 103-33 W-L in picking the winner and 46-51-1 against the spread.

Our call: Idaho was the underdog at home by 3.5 points against San Diego State. YPPSYS favored Idaho by 4 points, 24-20. Result: Idaho won 34-20. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 104-33 W-L in picking the winner and 47-51-1 against the spread.

Our call: Iowa was favored at home by 4.5 points over Arizona. YPPSYS favored Arizona by 7 points, 31-24. Result: Iowa beat Arizona 27-17. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 104-34 W-L in picking the winner and 47-52-1 against the spread.

Our call: Kansas was favored at home by 22 points over Duke. YPPSYS favored Kansas by 18 points, 35-17. Result: Kansas beat Duke 44-16. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 105-34 W-L in picking the winner and 47-53-1 against the spread.

Our call: Kent State was the underdog at home by 3 points against Iowa State. YPPSYS favored Iowa State by 1 point, 24-23. Result: Iowa State won 34-14. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 106-34 W-L in picking the winner and 47-54-1 against the spread.

Our call: Kentucky was favored at home by 13 points over Louisville. YPPSYS favored Kentucky by only the 3 points of the home field advantage, 20-17. Result: Kentucky beat Louisville 31-27. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 107-34 W-L in picking the winner and 48-54-1 against the spread.

Our call: LSU was favored at home by 27 points over Louisiana-Lafayette. YPPSYS favored LSU by 9 points, 30-21. Result: LSU won 31-3. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 108-34 W-L in picking the winner and 48-55-1 against the spread.

Our call: Marshall was the underdog at home by 2.5 points against Bowling Green. YPPSYS favored Bowling Green by 17 points, 38-21. Result: Marshall won 17-10. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 108-35 W-L in picking the winner and 48-56-1 against the spread.

Our call: Maryland was favored at home by 6.5 points over Middle Tennessee. YPPSYS favored Middle Tennessee by 21 points, 31-10. Result: Middle Tennessee won 32-31. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 109-35 W-L in picking the winner and 49-56-1 against the spread.

Our call: Miami of Florida was favored at home by 4.5 points over Georgia Tech. YPPSYS favored Georgia Tech by 1 point, 36-35. Result: Miami beat the Yellow Jackets 33-17. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 109-36 W-L in picking the winner and 49-57-1 against the spread.

Our call: Michigan was favored at home by 24.5 points over Eastern Michigan. YPPSYS favored Michigan by 15 points, 36-21. Result: Michigan beat Eastern Michigan 45-17. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 110-36 W-L in picking the winner and 49-58-1 against the spread.

Our call: Minnesota was the underdog at home by 13.5 points against California. YPPSYS favored Cal by 21 points, 38-17. Result: Cal beat Minnesota 35-21. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 111-36 W-L in picking the winner and 50-58-1 against the spread.

Our call: New Mexico was the underdog at home by 17 points against Air Force. YPPSYS favored Air Force by 30 points, 47-17. Result: Air Force won 37-13. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 112-36 W-L in picking the winner and 51-58-1 against the spread.

Our call: New Mexico State was the underdog at home by 14 points against UTEP. YPPSYS favored UTEP by 3 points, 27-24. Result: UTEP won 38-12. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 113-36 W-L in picking the winner and 51-59-1 against the spread.

Our call: North Carolina was favored at home by 7 points over East Carolina. YPPSYS favored North Carolina by 20 points 34-14. Result: North Carolina beat East Carolina 31-17. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 114-36 W-L in picking the winner and 52-59-1 against the spread.

Our call: Notre Dame was favored at home by 9.5 points over Michigan State. YPPSYS favors the Fighting Irish by 9 points, 44-35. Result: Notre Dame won 33-30. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 115-36 W-L in picking the winner and 53-59-1 against the spread.

Our call: Oklahoma was favored at home by 17 points over Tulsa. YPPSYS favored Oklahoma by 15 points, 55-40. Result: The Sooners won 45-0. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 116-36 W-L in picking the winner and 53-60-1 against the spread.

Our call: Oklahoma State was favored at home by 32.5 points over Rice. YPPSYS favored the Cowboys by 39 points, 49-10. Result: The Cowboys won 41-24. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 117-36 W-L in picking the winner and 53-61-1 against the spread.

Our call: Oregon was favored at home by 4.5 points over Utah. YPPSYS favors Utah by 1 point, 24-23. Result: Oregon won 31-24. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 118-36 W-L in picking the winner and 53-62-1 against the spread.

Our call: Oregon State is an underdog at home by 1 point against Cincinnati. YPPSYS favored Cincinnati by 22 points, 31-9, using a 3-point home field advantage for Oregon State. However, the game is likely to be closer than that because of the great home field advantage of Oregon State which can be worth as much as 2 TDs. Result: Cincinnati won 28-18. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 119-36 W-L in picking the winner and 54-62-1 against the spread.

Our call: Penn State was favored at home by 29 points over Temple. YPPSYS favored Penn State by 7 points, 31-24. Result: Penn State beat Temple 31-6. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 120-36 W-L in picking the winner and 55-62-1 against the spread.

Our call: Pittsburgh was favored at home by 8 points over Navy. YPPSYS favored Pitt by 2 points, 33-31. Result: Pitt beat Navy 27-14. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 121-36 W-L in picking the winner and 55-63-1 against the spread.

Our call: Purdue was favored at home by 13 points over Northern Illinois. YPPSYS favored Purdue by 14 points, 38-24. Result: Northern Illinois won 28-21. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 121-37 W-L in picking the winner and 55-64-1 against the spread.

Our call: Rutgers was favored at home by 15 points over Florida International. YPPSYS favored Rutgers by 30 points, 44-14. Result: Rutgers won 23-15. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 122-37 W-L in picking the winner and 55-65-1 against the spread.

Our call: South Carolina was favored at home by 21 points over Florida Atlantic. YPPSYS favored the Gamecocks by 40 points, 47-7. Result: South Carolina beat Florida Atlantic 38-16. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 123-37 W-L in picking the winner and 56-65-1 against the spread.

Our call: Southern Miss was favored at home by 16 points over Virginia. YPPSYS favored Southern Miss by 27 points, 34-7. Result: Southern Miss won 37-34.W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 124-37 W-L in picking the winner and 56-66-1 against the spread.

Our call: Stanford was favored at home by 17 points over San Jose State. YPPSYS favored Stanford by 49 points, 56-7. Result: Stanford won 42-17. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 125-37 W-L in picking the winner and 57-66-1 against the spread.

Our call: Syracuse was the underdog at home by 3.5 points against Northwestern. YPPSYS favored Northwestern by 14 points, 35-21. Result: Syracuse won 37-34. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 125-38 W-L in picking the winner and 57-67-1 against the spread.

Our call: Texas was favored at home by 18 points over Texas Tech. YPPSYS favored Texas by 1 point, 35-34. Result: Texas won 34-24. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 126-38 W-L in picking the winner and 58-67-1 against the spread.

Our call: Texas A&M was favored at home by 19 points over Utah State. YPPSYS favored Texas A&M by 30 points, 40-10. Result: Texas A&M won 38-30. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 127-38 W-L in picking the winner and 58-68-1 against the spread.

Our call: Toledo was the underdog at home by 21 points against Ohio State. YPPSYS favored Ohio State by 3 points, 41-38. Result: Ohio State won 38-0. W-L and Odds: We called the winner but did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 128-38 W-L in picking the winner and 58-69-1 against the spread.

Our call: Troy State was favored at home by 6.5 points over UAB. YPPSYS favored UAB by 10 points, 31-21. Result: Troy beat UAB 27-14. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 128-39 W-L in picking the winner and 58-70-1 against the spread.

Our call: UCLA was favored at home by 12.5 points over Kansas State. YPPSYS favored Kansas State by 3 points, 20-17. Result: UCLA beat Kansas State 23-9. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 128-40 W-L in picking the winner and 58-71-1 against the spread.

Our call: UNLV was favored at home by 7.5 points over Hawaii. YPPSYS favored Hawaii by 9 points, 36-27. Result: UNLV beat Hawaii 34-33. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner but beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 128-41 W-L in picking the winner and 59-71-1 against the spread.

Our call: Vanderbilt was favored at home by 9.5 points over Mississippi State. YPPSYS favored Vanderbilt by 23 points, 34-21. Result: Mississippi State won 15-3. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 128-42 W-L in picking the winner and 59-72-1 against the spread.

Our call: Virginia Tech was favored at home by 5 points over Nebraska. YPPSYS favored the Huskers by 4, 31-27. Result: Are the Huskers back? No way. "It ain't over 'til its over", said Yogi Berra. Frank Beamer outsmarted the entire Nebraska coaching staff as Virginia Tech won 16-15 over a better Husker team in the dying seconds of the game, as the Hokies completed two improbable 81-yard and 11-yard passes for the win. Coaching is everything and the Huskers have gaping coaching deficits, especially in offensive coordination, where the Big Red failed to score a single touchdown in five visits to the red zone and were lucky to have the country's top kicker, Alex Henery, put five field goals through the uprights. Failing to go for the 1st down at the Hokie 37 with two minutes to play and choosing to punt was a questionable coaching decision as well. The Husker cover-two defense in those final two minutes was miserable, giving the Hokies ample time to pass and pick apart their coverage. These are not the Huskers of yore and they will never be again until they learn to modernize their offense sensibly. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner but beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 128-43 W-L in picking the winner and 60-72-1 against the spread.

Our call: Washington was the underdog at home by 19 points against USC. YPPSYS favored USC by 37 points, 40-3. Result: Washington upset USC 16-13, going the whole game with a game plan and a quarterback that were both visibly fizzling, but USC took no measures to make intelligent changes. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 128-44 W-L in picking the winner and 60-73-1 against the spread.

Our call: Washington State was the underdog at home by 6 points against SMU. YPPSYS favored SMU by 13 points 40-27. Result: Washington State beat SMU 30-27 in overtime. W-L and Odds: We did not call the winner and did not beat the spread. Thus far this season we are 128-45 W-L in picking the winner and 60-74-1 against the spread.

Our call: Western Michigan was favored at home by 17 points over Miami of Ohio. YPPSYS favored Western Michigan by 18 points, 35-17. Result: Western Michigan won 48-26. W-L and Odds: We called the winner and beat the spread, closing out a very poor weekend of football prognosticating via the YPPSYS System. Obviously, the YPPSYS System will get better as the stats used cover more games, especially the Massey Ratings of strength of schedule, which at the beginning of the year are quite far off the mark. Thus far this season we are 129-45 W-L in picking the winner and 61-74-1 against the spread.

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