Friday, January 29, 2010

USGA Launches New Rules Of Golf Application for iPhone and iPod Touch

USGA: 2010 Golf App News
"Far Hills, N.J. – The United States Golf Association has announced the launch of the official application for the 2010-2011 editions of “The Rules of Golf,” “Decisions on The Rules of Golf” and “Rules of Amateur Status” for the iPhone and iPod touch.

The Rules of Golf App is designed for golfers who want instant access to the official Rules and Decisions. With this application, which features simple navigation and a convenient word and phrase search function, users can quickly answer questions about every Rule, Definition and Decision.

Users can purchase and download the Rules of Golf App in the iTunes store for $3.99."
Looks like a great deal.

Monday, January 25, 2010

Indianapolis Colts Triumph 30-17 over New York Jets as former Division III Mount Union star Pierre Garcon makes 11 Catches for 151 yards and 1 TD

Another great story about Pierre Garcon of the Mount Union Purple Raiders in the NFL - you might try here for starters.

'Patient' Colts storm back from early deficit to reach Super Bowl with 30-17 win over Jets:
"Former [Division III] Mount Union Purple Raider Pierre Garcon celebrate[d] his third-quarter touchdown catch that gave Indianapolis a 20-17 lead over [the New York Jets] Sunday afternoon. Garcon finished with 11 catches for 151 yards in the Colts' 30-17 triumph."

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Inside the stats: Final look at '09 season - College Football - Rivals.com

Inside the stats: Final look at '09 season by Mike Huguenin - College Football - Rivals.com:

Here is a sample:
"Oklahoma’s Sam Bradford leaves college as the NCAA’s career leader in passing efficiency, at 175.62 points. Former Boise State QB Ryan Dinwiddie (2000-03) had held the record at 168.9 points. Florida’s Tim Tebow, at 170.79, also bettered Dinwiddie’s mark."

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

NFL Playoffs - Predictions and NAYPPA - Net Average Yards Per Play Advantage for all National Football League Teams

NAYPPA - Net Average Yards Per Play Advantage - Analysis of the National Football League 2009/2010 going into the Playoffs (NAYPPA is important but defense generally wins football games, so good defensive teams with a strong NAYPPA have an advantage in the playoffs).

1 NAYPPA point advantage = 9 points on the scoreboard.


Four teams from the playoff list below remain in contention. Here are our predictions for the upcoming games:

AFC Championship Game: New York Jets at the Indianapolis Colts - The Colts are favored by 8 points. The Jets beat San Diego in spite of giving up more yards total offense 262 yards to 344yards. The Jets have won 7 of their last 8 games and for the season were stronger on the road than at home. The Jets have the best yards-per-play defense in pro football and defense wins championships:
“It was the best defense I’ve played this year,” said LaDainian Tomlinson [of the Chargers], who after nine seasons might have played his final game with the Chargers. “Run, pass, and they are really prepared. Hats off to them.”
We go with the team from the Big Apple, 20-17.

NFC Championship Game: Minnesota Vikings at the New Orleans Saints - The Saints are favored by 4 points. Both teams were impressive last week in runnng roughshod over Arizona and Dallas, as the Vikings avenged an early season loss to the Cowboys. The determining factor in this game may be that the Vikings are playing on the road, as they were undefeated at home this season, but lost 4 of 8 in away games. The Saints, when they are rolling, seem to have an offense that no one can stop. We call it for the Saints, 35-27.

Teams that made the Playoffs (regular season stats)

Dallas Cowboys 6.3 ypp offense, 5.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +1.1 eliminated
Green Bay Packers 5.8 ypp offense, 4.8 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +1.0 eliminated
Indianapolis Colts 5.9 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.9
Philadelphia Eagles 5.9 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.9 eliminated
New York Jets 5.0 ypp offense, 4.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.8
New Orleans Saints 6.3 ypp offense, 5.5 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.8
Baltimore Ravens 5.5 ypp offense, 4.9 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.6 eliminated
Minnesota Vikings 5.8 ypp offense, 5.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.6
San Diego Chargers 5.9 ypp offense, 5.3 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.6 eliminated
New England Patriots 5.9 ypp offense, 5.4 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.5 eliminated
Arizona Cardinals 5.6 ypp offense, 5.3 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.3 eliminated
Cincinnati Bengals 4.9 ypp offense, 4.9 ypp defense - NAYPPA = 0.0 eliminated

Teams that did not make the Playoffs
(regular season stats)

Pittsburgh Steelers 5.9 ypp offense, 5.1 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.8
(The Steelers coasted in midseason and lost 5 straight games, in part to the weakest of opponents, to put themselves out of playoffs in which they should clearly have played, being one of the strongest teams in the NFL.)
Houston Texans 5.9 ypp offense, 5.3 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.6
Denver Broncos 5.3 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.3
New York Giants 5.8 ypp offense, 5.5 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.3
Washington Redskins 5.2 ypp offense, 5.1 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.1
Tennessee Titans 5.7 ypp offense, 5.6 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.1
San Francisco 49ers 5.0 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = 0.0
Carolina Panthers 5.2 ypp offense, 5.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = 0.0
Chicago Bears 5.1 ypp offense, 5.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.1
Buffalo Bills 4.8 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.2
Atlanta Falcons 5.2 ypp offense, 5.6 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.4
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.3 ypp offense, 5.7 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.4
Seattle Seahawks 4.9 ypp offense, 5.6 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4.8 ypp offense, 5.6 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.8
Miami Dolphins 5.0 ypp offense, 5.8 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.8
Kansas City Chiefs 4.8 ypp offense, 5.8 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.0
Oakland Raiders 4.5 ypp offense, 5.7 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.2
St. Louis Rams 4.5 ypp offense, 5.9 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.4
Cleveland Browns 4.3 ypp offense, 5.8 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.5
Detroit Lions 4.6 ypp offense, 6.1 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.5

Playoff Game Predictions

Ndamukong Suh On Future In The NFL - ESPN Video - ESPN

Ndamukong Suh On Future In The NFL - ESPN Video - ESPN

Prep Insider - High School Sports : Stanford beats UCLA in Nottingham recruiting war

Stanford may be the upcoming Pac 10 college football powerhouse.

Prep Insider - High School Sports : Stanford beats UCLA in Nottingham recruiting war

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

NFL Playoffs - Predictions and NAYPPA - Net Average Yards Per Play Advantage for all National Football League Teams

NAYPPA - Net Average Yards Per Play Advantage - Analysis of the National Football League 2009/2010 going into the Playoffs (NAYPPA is important but defense generally wins football games, so good defensive teams with a strong NAYPPA have an advantage in the playoffs).

1 NAYPPA point advantage = 9 points on the scoreboard.


Playoff Games
thus far

Arizona Cardinals 9.3 ypp offense, 7.4 ypp defense (vs. Green Bay Packers) - NAYPPA +1.9
New York Jets 6.3 ypp offense, 4.6 ypp defense (vs. Cincinnati Bengals) - NAYPPA +1.7
Baltimore Ravens 4.3 ypp offense, 3.1 ypp defense (vs. New England Patriots) - NAYPPA +1.2
Dallas Cowboys 5.9 ypp offense, 6.1 ypp defense (vs. Philadelphia Eagles) - NAYPPA -0.2

Teams that made the Playoffs
(regular season stats)

Dallas Cowboys 6.3 ypp offense, 5.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +1.1
Green Bay Packers 5.8 ypp offense, 4.8 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +1.0 eliminated
Indianapolis Colts 5.9 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.9
Philadelphia Eagles 5.9 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.9 eliminated
New York Jets 5.0 ypp offense, 4.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.8
New Orleans Saints 6.3 ypp offense, 5.5 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.8
Baltimore Ravens 5.5 ypp offense, 4.9 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.6
Minnesota Vikings 5.8 ypp offense, 5.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.6
San Diego Chargers 5.9 ypp offense, 5.3 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.6
New England Patriots 5.9 ypp offense, 5.4 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.5 eliminated
Arizona Cardinals 5.6 ypp offense, 5.3 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.3
Cincinnati Bengals 4.9 ypp offense, 4.9 ypp defense - NAYPPA = 0.0 eliminated

Teams that did not make the Playoffs
(regular season stats)

Pittsburgh Steelers 5.9 ypp offense, 5.1 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.8
(The Steelers coasted in midseason and lost 5 straight games, in part to the weakest of opponents, to put themselves out of playoffs in which they should clearly have played, being one of the strongest teams in the NFL.)
Houston Texans 5.9 ypp offense, 5.3 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.6
Denver Broncos 5.3 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.3
New York Giants 5.8 ypp offense, 5.5 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.3
Washington Redskins 5.2 ypp offense, 5.1 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.1
Tennessee Titans 5.7 ypp offense, 5.6 ypp defense - NAYPPA = +0.1
San Francisco 49ers 5.0 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = 0.0
Carolina Panthers 5.2 ypp offense, 5.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = 0.0
Chicago Bears 5.1 ypp offense, 5.2 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.1
Buffalo Bills 4.8 ypp offense, 5.0 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.2
Atlanta Falcons 5.2 ypp offense, 5.6 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.4
Jacksonville Jaguars 5.3 ypp offense, 5.7 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.4
Seattle Seahawks 4.9 ypp offense, 5.6 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4.8 ypp offense, 5.6 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.8
Miami Dolphins 5.0 ypp offense, 5.8 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -0.8
Kansas City Chiefs 4.8 ypp offense, 5.8 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.0
Oakland Raiders 4.5 ypp offense, 5.7 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.2
St. Louis Rams 4.5 ypp offense, 5.9 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.4
Cleveland Browns 4.3 ypp offense, 5.8 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.5
Detroit Lions 4.6 ypp offense, 6.1 ypp defense - NAYPPA = -1.5

Playoff Game Predictions

Arizona at New Orleans - the Saints are favored by 7 points but have the worst defense of all playoff teams, so that if Kurt Warner is on target, the Cardinals should win. We call it for Arizona 41-38.

Indianapolis is favored at home by 7 points. YPPSYS stats give a slight edge over Baltimore according to the stats, but the Colts will struggle with the Baltimore defense. We call it for the Ravens 20-17 over the Colts.

Dallas plays at Minnesota in a game in which the Vikings are favored by 3 points. NAYPPA stats favor the Cowboys who have the best NAYPPA in the NFL and are thus our favorites to win the Super Bowl this year. We call it for Dallas 31-27.

The San Diego Chargers are favored at home by 9 points over the New York Jets, but NAYPPA stats favor New York by 2 points, not counting any home field advantage. It could go either way but we call it 20-17 for the Jets, who have the best ypp defense in the NFL according to NAYPPA, but have only a weak offense, so the offense has to pick up in this game.

Friday, January 08, 2010

Final YPPSYS NCAA FCS (Division I-A) college football ratings 2009/2010 after all bowl games

Final YPPSYS NCAA FCS (Division I-A) college football rankings and ratings 2009/2010 after all bowl games

YPPSYS COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS AND RANKINGS - NCAA DIVISION I-A (FBS) are based on net yards per play advantage (NAYPPA), strength of schedule, defense and games lost.

NAYPPA = net yards per play advantage
YPP OFF = net yards per play gained on offense
YPP DEF = net yards per play allowed on defense
Schedule difficulty = Schedule difficulty in the season according to Massey Ratings (SchF=Schedule Full)
^ = bonus for defense (^+.1 for 5.0 or better, ^^+.2 for 4.5 or better, ^^^+.3 for 4.0 or better)
* = penalty for defense (* -.1 for 5.5 or worse, ** -.2 for 6.0 or worse, *** -.3 for 6.5 or worse)
Yards per play (YPP) Statistics are taken from cfbstats.com

To obtain the Rating from which the Rank is calculated, one starts with the YPP OFF, subtracts the YPP DEF, subtracts the difficulty of schedule as a variable calculated as 1/100 of the schedule rating so that for a schedule rating of 18 for example, .18 is subtracted (rounded up or down to the nearest figure, here rounded up to .2), and for each loss .2 is subtracted. (NOTE NEW DIVISIONS HERE. DEFENSE WINS FOOTBALL GAMES.) A penalty of .1 is subtracted if the defense allows 5.5 or more yards per play, .2 for more than 6.0 yards per play, and .3 for more than 6.5 yards per play. For a defense that allows 5.0 yards per play or less, .1 is added to the rating. For a defense that allows 4.5 yards per play or less, .2 is added to the rating. For a defense that allows 4.0 yards per play or less, .3 is added to the rating. We give the Nebraska Cornhuskers a +.1 bonus for AP Player of the Year, Ndamukong Suh.

In the case of equal ratings, the team with the toughest schedule is ranked first, unless one team has beaten the other, in which case the winner is ranked above the other team.

Tweaks in the rankings have to be made to account for losses incurred in late regular season or bowl games, e.g., Florida has the best rating in our system, but must be placed after Alabama in the final rankings because of the Gators loss to the Crimson Tide. The final rankings for this season thus do not necessarily correspond to the actual ratings, but the ratings suggest that the better-rated team may in most cases be the stronger team. For the coming season, the ratings are more important than the rankings.

One point of rating difference is equivalent to 9 points on the scoreboard.

The average yards per play component in NCAA Division I-A FBS college football has been remarkably constant for all the years we have kept track of it - this year showing a median for 120 teams of 5.6 yards per play gained on offense and 5.4 yards per play permitted on defense. There is at most a 1/10th yard variation (.1) any season. This is in spite of continuous tweaking of offenses and defenses by coaching staffs.

For an average schedule: a team averaging less than 5.6 yards per play on offense has either a subpar offense or a subpar offensive coordination, while a team averaging more than 5.4 yards per play on defense has either a subpar defense or a subpar defensive coordination. One must of course adjust those stats by the difficulty of schedule for each team. Nevertheless, it is top defense which normally marks the best teams and a lack of defense which marks weaker teams. Georgia Tech is thus far an exception, having beaten a better-rated Clemson team twice this year, so in spite of their poor rating, the Yellow Jackets are ranked one above the Tigers.

YPPSYS Rank
After the Bowl Games
NAYPPA

YPP OFF

YPP DEF

Schedule difficulty

W-L

Rating
1
Alabama 1.9

6.0

4.1^^

1

14-0

2.1

2
Florida2.8

7.0

4.2^^

4

13-1

2.8

3
Texas 1.8

5.6

3.8^^^

17

13-1

1.9

4
Boise State 1.7

6.5

4.8^

77

14-0

1.0

5
TCU 2.5

6.4

3.9^^^

46

12-1

2.1

6
Cincinnati 1.8

7.0

5.2

42

12-1

1.2

7
Virginia Tech 1.6

6.2

4.6^

5

10-3

1.0

8
Ohio State 1.4

5.5

4.1^^

45

11-2

0.8
9
Oregon 1.5

6.1

4.6^

16

10-3

0.8

10
Penn State 1.7

6.1

4.4^^

61

11-2

0.9

11
Nebraska 1.2

5.2

4.0^^^

33

10-4

0.5

12
Oklahoma 1.4

5.5

4.1^^

19

8-5

0.4

13
Mississippi 1.3

6.0

4.7^

18

9-4

0.4

14
USC 1.4

6.2

4.8^

26

9-4

0.4

15
Iowa 0.9

5.2

4.3^^

28

10-2

0.4

16
BYU 1.3

6.2

4.9^

60

11-2

0.4

17
Pittsburgh 1.2

6.2

5.0^

38

10-3

0.3

18
Texas Tech 1.4

6.2

4.8^

51

9-4

0.2

19
Georgia Tech 0.1

6.2

6.1**

9

11-2

-0.6

20
Clemson 1.1

5.7

4.6^

16

9-5

0.0

21
Auburn 0.9

6.1

5.2

12

8-5

-0.2

22
Utah 1.0

5.7

4.7^

65

10-3

-0.2

23
LSU 0.4

5.1

4.7^

2

9-4

-0.3

24
Tennessee 0.8

5.7

4.9^

13

7-6

-0.4

25
Georgia 0.8

5.9

5.1

10

8-5

-0.3

26
Arkansas 0.9

6.7

5.8*

8

8-5

-0.3

27
Miami (Florida) 0.7

5.9

5.2

15

9-4

-0.3

28
Oklahoma State 0.7

5.4

4.7^

44

9-4

-0.4

29
Wisconsin 0.8

5.9

5.1

58

10-3

-0.4

30
North Carolina 0.5

4.7

4.2^^

22

8-5

-0.5

31
West Virginia 0.6

5.7

5.1

31

9-4

-0.5

32
Central Michigan 0.9

6.0

5.1

104

12-2

-0.5

33
South Florida 0.9

5.9

5.0^

63

8-5

-0.6

34
South Carolina 0.5

5.2

4.7^

6

7-6

-0.7

35
Mid. Tennessee
0.9

5.7

4.8^

107

10-3

-0.7

36
Arizona 0.4

5.5

5.1

20

8-5

-0.8

37
Missouri 0.8

5.9

5.1

56

8-5

-0.8

38
Nevada 1.3

7.3

6.4**

90

8-5

-0.8

39
Oregon State 0.4

5.8

5.4

37

8-5

-1.0

40
Stanford 0.5

6.5

6.0**

32

8-5

-1.0

41
Boston College 0.3

5.1

4.8^

35

8-5

-1.0

42
Michigan State 0.9

6.3

5.4

48

6-7

-1.0

43
Houston 0.9

6.9

6.0**

88

10-4

-1.0

44
Troy 0.6

6.5

5.9*

94

9-4

-1.0

45
California 0.4

5.9

5.5*

40

8-5

-1.1

46
Rutgers 0.4

5.2

4.8^

86

9-4

-1.2

47
Air Force 0.3

5.0

4.7^

69

8-5

-1.3

48
Connecticut 0.0

5.6

5.6*

34

8-5

-1.4

49
Notre Dame 0.2

6.4

6.2**

36

6-6

-1.6

50
SMU 0.4

6.0

5.6*

91

8-5

-1.6

51
Southern Miss 0.6

6.0

5.4

95

7-6

-1.6

52
Navy -0.1

5.4

5.5*

67

9-4

-1.7

53
Wake Forest 0.0

5.7

5.7*

21

5-7

-1.7

54
UCLA -0.1

5.1

5.2

41

7-6

-1.7

55
East Carolina -0.1

5.3

5.4

62

9-5

-1.7

56
Ohio 0.2

5.1

4.9^

101

9-5

-1.7

57
Louis.-Monroe 0.7

5.8

5.1

113

6-6

-1.7

58
Mississippi State -0.3

5.4

5.7*

3

5-7

-1.8

59
Kansas 0.2

5.7

5.5*

49

5-7

-1.8

60
Temple 0.1

5.2

5.1

105

9-4

-1.8

61
Florida State -0.3

6.4

6.7***

7

7-6

-1.9

62
Purdue 0.2

5.6

5.4

55

5-7

-1.9

63
Arizona State 0.2

5.0

4.8^

59

4-8

-1.9

64
UCF 0.0

5.2

5.2

85

8-5

-1.9

65
Idaho 0.4

6.9

6.5***

96

8-5

-1.9

66
Buffalo 0.6

5.8

5.2

103

5-7

-1.9

67
Texas A&M -0.1

5.8

5.9*

43

6-7

-2.0

68
Baylor -0.1

5.3

5.4

30

4-8

-2.0

69
Northwestern -0.3

5.1

5.4

74

8-5

-2.0

70
UAB 0.4

6.8

6.4**

83

5-7

-2.0

71
Hawai'i 0.6

6.6

6.0**

98

6-7

-2.0

72
Kentucky -0.6

4.9

5.5*

23

7-6

-2.1

73
N.C. State -0.1

5.6

5.7*

52

5-7

-2.1

74
Kansas State -0.2

5.2

5.4

66

6-6

-2.1

75
Minnesota -0.4

4.9

5.3

27

6-7

-2.1

76
Duke -0.2

5.3

5.5*

54

5-7

-2.2

77
Michigan 0.0

5.6

5.6*

70

5-7

-2.2

78
Louisiana Tech 0.2

5.5

5.3

76

4-8

-2.2

79
Fresno State -0.1

6.4

6.5***

82

8-5

-2.2

80
Toledo 0.4

6.2

5.8*

109

5-7

-2.2

81
Northern Illinois 0.2

5.6

5.4

118

7-6

-2.2

82
Washington -0.5

5.7

6.2**

24

5-7

-2.3

83
Syracuse -0.3

5.1

5.4

47

4-8

-2.4

84
Tulsa 0.1

5.7

5.6*

97

5-7

-2.4

85
Iowa State -0.5

5.3

5.8*

72

7-6

-2.5

86
Marshall -0.5

5.2

5.7*

80

7-6

-2.6

87
San Diego State -0.1

5.3

5.4

87

4-8

-2.6

88
Kent State 0.0

5.0

5.0

122

5-7

-2.6

89
Virginia -0.8

4.2

5.0

11

3-9

-2.7

90
Colorado State -0.1

5.7

5.7*

71

3-9

-2.7

91
UTEP 0.1

6.2

6.1**

102

4-8

-2.7

92
Indiana -0.4

5.4

5.8*

68

4-8

-2.8

93
Illinois -0.3

5.7

6.0**

50

3-9

-2.8

94
Bowling Green -0.5

5.5

6.0**

93

7-6

-2.8

95
Vanderbilt -0.6

4.6

5.2

29

2-10

-2.9

96
Arkansas State 0.0

5.2

5.2

125

4-8

-2.9

97
Louisville -0.7

5.1

5.8*

57

4-8

-3.0

98
Utah State -0.4

6.0

6.4**

78

4-8

-3.0

99
Army -0.6

4.5

5.1

116

5-6

-3.0

100
Wyoming -1.2

4.4

5.6*

64

7-6

-3.1

101
Colorado -1.0

4.4

5.4

53

3-9

-3.3

102
Akron -0.4

4.9

5.3

110

3-9

-3.3

103
North Texas 0.0

5.9

5.9*

121

2-10

-3.3

104
Maryland -1.1

4.7

5.8*

25

2-10

-3.5

105
West. Michigan -0.7

5.3

6.0**

119

5-7

-3.5

106
Louis.-Lafayette -1.0

5.0

6.0**

117

6-6

-3.6

107
UNLV -1.4

5.2

6.6***

73

5-7

-3.8

108
Florida Atlantic -1.1

5.9

7.0***

106

5-7

-3.9

109
Memphis -1.1

5.3

6.4**

81

2-10

-4.1

110
Ball State -0.9

4.7

5.6*

111

2-10

-4.1

111
Miami (Ohio) -1.1

4.7

5.8*

79

1-11

-4.2

112
New Mexico -1.2

4.6

5.8*

75

1-11

-4.3

113
Tulane -1.4

4.9

6.3**

92

3-9

-4.3

114
Florida Int. FIU
-2.1

4.5

6.6***

99

3-9

-5.2

115
Rice -2.3

4.3

6.6***

84

2-10

-5.4

116
San Jose State -2.2

4.5

6.7***

89

2-10

-5.4

117
New Mexico St. -2.4

3.9

6.3**

100

3-10

-5.6

118
West. Kentucky -1.8

5.1

6.9***

112

0-12

-5.7

119
Washington St. -3.0

4.1

7.1***

39

1-11

-5.9

120
Eastern Michigan -2.3

4.5

6.8***

108

0-12

-6.1


NAYPPA = net yards per play advantage
YPP OFF = net yards per play gained on offense
YPP DEF = net yards per play allowed on defense
Schedule = Schedule difficulty thus far in the season
according to the Massey Ratings (SchP=Schedule Partial)
YPP Statistics are from cfbstats.com
To obtain the Rating from which the Rank is calculated, one starts with the YPP OFF, subtracts the YPP DEF, subtracts the difficulty of schedule as a variable calculated as 1/100 of the schedule rating so that for a schedule rating of 18 for example, .18 is subtracted (rounded up or down to the nearest figure, here rounded up to .2), and for each loss .2 is subtracted. A penalty of .1 is subtracted if the defense allows 5.0 or more yards per play, .2 for more than 6.0 yards per play, and .3 for more than 7.0 yards per play. In the case of equal ratings, the team with the toughest schedule is ranked first. One point of rating difference is equivalent to 9 points on the scoreboard. NEW: Any team with a defense of 4.0 or better gets an added .1 rating point.

The average yards per play component in NCAA Division I-A FBS college football has been remarkably constant for all the years we have kept track of it - this year showing a median for 120 teams of 5.5 yards per play gained on offense and 5.4 yards per play permitted on defense. There is at most a 1/10th yard variation (.1) any season. This is in spite of continuous tweaking of offenses and defenses. For an average schedule: a team averaging less than 5.5 yards per play on offense has either a subpar offense or a subpar offensive coordination, while a team averaging more than 5.4 yards per play on defense has either a subpar defense or a subpar defensive coordination. One must of course adjust those stats by the difficulty of schedule for each team.

If two teams have the same rating and have played each other in the season, then the team which won the game is rated ahead of the other team.

College Football Bowl Game and Championship Game Prediction Results - NCAA Divisions I ( FBS, FCS), II, and III and NAIA - 2009/2010 Season

NCAA Division I FBS (the old Division I-A)

The 2009/2010 NCAA Division I FBS bowl season started off with surprises and we would not be surprised if this continues throughout the remaining bowl games.

Fresno State and Wyoming opened the bowl season in style in the New Mexico Bowl, as underdog Wyoming won in two overtimes 35-28. The surprise in the game was that the Cowboys put up more total offense than the Bulldogs and thus deserved to win. We predicted a Fresno State win but beat the line. Is it significant for future bowl games and rankings that the #5 in the Mountain West Conference beat the #3 in the Western Athletic Conference? Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is 0-1 in predicting the winner and 1-0 against the spread.

Rutgers beat UCF convincingly 45-24 in the St. Petersburg Bowl, as the Scarlet Knights outgained the Knights of Central Florida 380 yards to 255. The stronger Rutgers defense was the difference in the ball game. We had predicted a narrow UCF win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is 0-2 in predicting the winner and 1-1 against the spread.

Middle Tennesse State vanquished Southern Mississippi 42-32 on the strength of a great performance by the Blue Raiders passing and running quarterback Dwight Dasher, who passed for 162 yards and ran for 201 yards against the Golden Eagles of Southern Miss. As written by Mary Foster at Yahoo Rivals.com, The 201 yards eclipsed the old record of 200 yards set by Vince Young of Texas against USC in the 2006 Rose Bowl. We predicted a Blue Raider win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 1-2 in predicting the winner and 2-1 against the spread.

BYU confirmed the strength of the Mountain West Conference and threw more logs into the fire burning under BCS by beating Pac 10 Oregon State 44-20 in the Las Vegas Bowl. As if Utah's win over Alabama last bowl season was not worth pondering, the BCS match-ups this year are a scandal of the first rank, matching the unbeaten "outsider" teams TCU and Boise State with each other rather than having them each play, and, embarassingly for the BCS, perhaps beat BCS Big 6 teams. In our book, the current BCS arrangement violates the principle tenets of the U.S. anti-trust laws and should be disbanded as a tragic anachronism ushered in by clueless university presidents viz. chancellors and similarly deluded non-athletic academics. We predicted a Brigham Young victory. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 2-2 in predicting the winner and 3-1 against the spread.

Utah won its ninth straight bowl by beating California 37-27 in the Poinsettia Bowl. There is a reason Utah keeps winning these games, including last year's blowout of Alabama, but that reason has not yet filtered into anachronistic ranks of those who make the national football polls or run the BCS. Utah was the better team than Cal and also won almost every statistical category against the Bears. The Mountain West Conference is now 3-0 in bowl games. We predicted a Ute victory. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 3-2 in predicting the winner and 4-1 against the spread.

SMU thoroughly thrashed Nevada 45-10 in the Hawaii Bowl as the string of upsets in college bowl games continued, and a Mustang team that lost 30-27 to lowly Washington State early in the season now came of age. Nevada lacked two of its 1000-yard rushers due to academic ineligibility and an injury (Vai Taua and Luke Lippincott) but it was Nevada's weak defense which proved to be the difference, as the Mustangs put up 534 yards offense against the Wolf Pack, 460 of those in the air against the nation's second worst pass defense. You can't be successful in modern college football without a decent pass defense. We did predict a Wolf Pack win (who didn't ?) and lost that one, but we did beat the spread. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 3-3 in predicting the winner and 5-1 against the spread.

Marshall upset Ohio 21-17 as the Bobcats managed a mere 123 yards total offense against the Thundering Herd, as Ohio averaged 2.4 yards per play, which is beyond anything acceptable in college football. Give the coaching staff a failing grade in that one.
Pittsburgh beat North Carolina 19-17 in a fairly even game as Dion Lewis ran for 159 yards on 28 carries, but defense decided the game between two head coaches who are said to be the best of personal friends and play similar types of football.
USC beat Boston College 24-13 after leading only 14-13 at the half, holding the Eagles scoreless after halftime. Trojan QB Matt Barkley completed 27 of 37 passes for 350 yards, 12 to Damian Williams for 189 yards and 6 to Stanley Havili for 83 yards and 2 TDs. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 5-4 in predicting the winner and 5-4 against the spread.

Clemson beat Kentucky 21-13. The Tigers' C.J. Spiller had 67 yards rushing and 1 TD on 15 attempts and 58 yards on three receptions. Clemson averaged 6.8 yards per play to 4.1 yards per play for Kentucky and should have won more handily than the they did. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 6-4 in predicting the winner and 6-4 against the spread.

Georgia beat Texas A&M 44-20 in a game terribly coached by the Aggies - just awful - as Texas A&M put up more yards total offense and dominated the early part of the game and yet fell behind on poor coaching and playcalling decisions. We predicted a Georgia win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 7-4 in predicting the winner and 7-4 against the spread.

UCLA beat Temple 30-21, coming back from a 21-7 deficit, as the Owls lost their top running back Bernard Pierce early in the 3rd quarter due to an injury and self-destructed after that. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 7-5 in predicting the winner and 7-5 against the spread.

The Wisconsin Badgers put up 430 yards total offense to 249 for Miami of Florida to deservedly beat the Hurrcanes 20-14 in the Champs Sports Bowl in a game which we had predicted for the Hurricanes. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 7-6 in predicting the winner and 7-6 against the spread.

In an exciting game, Idaho beat Bowling Green 43-42 in an improbable finish, as the Falcons scored an apparently winning TD and extra point with 40 seconds left to play in the game, only to see the Vandals score the tying touchdown with 8 seconds left and then gamble and win on a successful 2-point conversion. We predicted an Idaho win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 8-6 in predicting the winner and 8-6 against the spread.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers shut out the Arizona Wildcats 33-0 in the Holiday Bowl, putting up 396 yards on total offense to only 109 yards for Arizona, most of those on their last drive in the 4th quarter against reserve players. The Husker defense led by AP Player of the Year Ndamukong Suh was so stifling that Arizona completed only 10 of 31 passes for an amazingly paltry 46 yards. Even the much maligned offense produced a credible showing. Zac Lee ran for 65 yards and completed 13 of 23 passes for 173 yards and 1 TD. Freshman Rex Burkhead ran for 89 yards on 17 carries. Niles Paul ran for 20 yards and caught 4 passes for 123 yards and 1 TD and returned 3 punts for 45 yards. Alex Henery kicked field goals of 47, 50, 41 and 22 yards and 3 of his 4 punts were inside the 20-yard line. Nebraska finished the season 10-4 and Bo Pelini was quoted as saying: "Nebraska’s back and we’re here to stay". We predicted a clear-cut Husker win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 9-6 in predicting the winner and 9-6 against the spread.

Air Force beat Houston 47-20 in the Armed Forces Bowl, outgaining Case Keenum and the Cougars 563 yards to 331 yards in total offense, and thus further confirming the enormous strength of the Mountain West Conference, which is now 4-0 in bowl games this season. All the bowl eligible teams have won their games and only undefeated TCU remains to play, unhappily matched with Boise State rather than with a team from a Big 6 conference. The BCS and the pollsters have a lot of egg on their faces already, and this blowout by the Falcons only adds insult to injury. We predicted a Falcon win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 10-6 in predicting the winner and 10-6 against the spread.

Oklahoma barely got by Stanford 31-27 in spite of the fact that Cardinal quarterback Andrew Luck was unable to play due to surgery on his throwing hand, as Heisman runner-up Toby Gerhart ran for 135 yards and backup QB Tavita Pritchard put in a commendable performance. The Sooners put up 477 yards, holding Stanford to 262 yards. We predicted a Sooner win due to the injury to Luck. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 11-6 in predicting the winner and 10-7 against the spread.

Navy beat Missouri 35-13 in one of the most surprising bowl game results thus far, as the Midshipmen put of 385 yards rushing. The game was closer than the score indicated, as Navy held only a 21-13 margin at the start of the 4th quarter. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 11-7 in predicting the winner and 10-8 against the spread.

Iowa State beat Minnesota 14-13, We called the win for the Golden Gophers. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 11-8 in predicting the winner and 10-9 against the spread.

Virginia Tech quashed the Tennessee Volunteers 37-14, putting up 438 yards to 240 yards for the Vols. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 12-8 in predicting the winner and 11-9 against the spread.

Northwestern put up 608 yards total offense in regulation - 621 with the overtime included - and lost a heartbreaker to Auburn 38-35 in a wild game that could have gone either way. The Wildcats QB Mike Kafka completed 47 of 78 passes and was not sacked once - that is arguably not the so-called tough SEC defense that everyone always talks about - unless one also mentions that the Tigers intercepted 5 passes, or they would clearly have otherwise lost the game. We predicted an Auburn win, but never dreamt it would be this close. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 13-8 in predicting the winner and 11-10 against the spread.

Penn State beat LSU 19-17 in a hard-fought defensive struggle as Penn State outgained the Tigers 347 yards to 244 yards in total offense. We predicted a Nittany Lions win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 14-8 in predicting the winner and 11-11 against the spread.

Bowden goes out a winner. The Florida State Seminoles upset the West Virginia Mountaineers 33-21 in Bobby Bowden's last game as head coach for Florida State. We predicted a West Virginia victory. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 14-9 in predicting the winner and 11-12 against the spread.

The Ohio State Buckeyes reclaimed the Rose Bowl with a 26-17 win over the Oregon Ducks as the Buckeyes put up 419 yards total offense and held the Ducks to only 260 yards. We predicted a Ducks victory. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 14-10 in predicting the winner and 12-12 against the spread.

The Florida Gators thumped a visibly frustrated, outmanned, head-coachless and therefore angry Cincinnati Bearcats team 51-24 in a game which clearly showed that the head coach was sadly missed. Florida quarterback Tim Tebow finished his college football career in grand style by completing 31 of 35 passes for a massive 482 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Bearcats had no answer for Tebow. We predicted a Florida win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 15-10 in predicting the winner and 12-13 against the spread.

The South Florida Bulls beat the Northern Illinois Huskies 27-3 after a 3-3 tie at halftime. We predicted a South Florida win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 16-10 in predicting the winner and 13-13 against the spread.

The Connecticut Huskies upset the South Carolina Gamecocks 20-7, holding South Carolina to 203 yards total offense and gaining 258 yards themselves in a defensive struggle. e predicted a Gamecock win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 16-11 in predicting the winner and 13-14 against the spread.

In one of the most poorly officiated and played games we have seen in a long time, the Mississippi Rebels beat the Oklahoma State Cowboys 21-7. We predicted an Ole Miss win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 17-11 in predicting the winner and 14-14 against the spread.

Due to incredibly incompetent time management on the part of the Arkansas coaching staff, East Carolina had two chances in the last minute and a half of regulation time to win the game but their kicker missed both field goal tries and then, to put icing on the kicking cake, also missed in overtime as the Razorbacks won a game they should never have won, 20-17, as the Pirates put up more than 100 yards more in total offense and were the dominant team. We predicted an Arkansas win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 18-11 in predicting the winner and 14-15 against the spread.

Texas Tech beat Michigan State 41-31 as Steven "Sticks" Sheffield came in to save the day for the Red Raiders, who were trailing 31-27 when starting quarterback Taylor Potts, no slouch at QB himself, having completed 29 of 43 passes for 372 yards and 2 touchdowns, was injured. Sheffield - in our opinion - is the probbaly the best scrambling passing quarterback in the nation who has put up spectacular games and numbers when called on several times this season to play for an injured Potts, before being injured himself. We do not understand Sheffield not being the starting QB at Texas Tech. We predicted a Texas Tech win 38-28. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 19-11 in predicting the winner and 15-15 against the spread.

Boise State beat TCU 17-10 in a game virtualy equal in the stats. Due to the scandalous pairing of these two unbeaten teams by the BCS, the fact that they were not matched up against teams in the Big 6 conferences precluded anyone from knowing just how good these teams were. We predicted a narrow TCU win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 19-12 in predicting the winner and 16-15 against the spread.

Iowa beat Georgia Tech 24-14 as the strong Hawkeye defense stifled the running game of the Yellow Jackets, allowing only 143 rushing yards on 41 carries and 12 passing yards on 2 of 9 completions. Iowa by contrast put up 403 yards total offense and dominated the game as Ricky Stanzi completed 17 of 29 passes for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns. We predicted an Iowa win. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 20-12 in predicting the winner and 17-15 against the spread.

Central Michigan beat Troy 44-41 in two overtimes in an offensive struggle as both teams gained more than 500 yards total offense. We predicted victory by the Chippewas. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 21-12 in predicting the winner and 17-16 against the spread.

Alabama beat Texas 37-21 as Longhorn QB Colt McCoy was lost for the game on the opening drive due to a shoulder injury to his throwing arm by what looked to us like unnecessary roughness by Alabama - tackling by aiming at the opposing quarterback's throwing shoulder (?) - forcing Texas to play the rest of the game with true freshman Garrett Gilbert who as a backup QB had only thrown 26 previous passes in college football. It made for an ugly game, one to forget. Our NCAA I FBS bowl record is now 21-13 in predicting the winner and 17-17 against the spread.

NAIA

We predicted a win by Sioux Falls - who plan to move to NCAA Division II in 2011 - but it was much closer than expected as the Cougars defended their NAIA Football Championship against the Lindenwood Lions 25-22 in the Russell Athletic 54th annual NAIA National Championship game. The win was the 29th in the row for Sioux Falls, who thereby supplanted NCAA Division III Mount Union as the current holder of the longest winning streak in college football. Mount Union's 29-game winning streak was snapped in this year's Division 3 championship game.

NCAA Division III

We predicted a win by Mount Union by 3 points, but they lost in the championship game, where the NCAA Division III football championship playoffs otherwise went pretty much as anticipated. The two teams that nearly everyone predicted to be in the finals (the 2009 Stagg Bowl) played each other again for the 5th year in succession in a series still led by Mount Union 3-2. This year, the Wisconsin-Whitewater Warhawks won 38-28 in a fairly even game statistically as the opposing Mount Union Purple Raiders played a poor first half, trailing 28-14 at halftime. Mount Union rebounded to tie the game 28-28 in the second half, but then committed three costly fumble turnovers in the 4th quarter, cutting off their own scoring opportunities and handing the game to the Warhawks. The loss marked the end of Mount Union's nation-leading 29-game win streak. Mount Union has to learn to hold on to the ball in inclement weather, as they lost similarly in 2007 due their inability to hold on to the football when the weather was bad.

NCAA Division II

We predicted a win by Northwest Missouri State by 5 points. After four straight years of being in the NCAA Division II football championship game - and losing - the Bearcats finally broke the jinx in their 5th attempt and beat the Grand Valley State Lakers 30-23 for the championship. Although Grand Valley held the football for 37:27 minutes as opposed to only 22:33 minutes for Northwest Missouri, the Bearcats gained 6.5 yards per play as opposed to the Lakers 4.9 yards per play, thus virtually balancing the teams' total offenses in a game that was fairly equal statistically.

NCAA Division I FCS (the old Division I-AA)

We predicted a Villanova win over Montana by 4 points, and the Wildcats beat the previously undefeated Grizzlies 23-21, who lost in the championship game for the second straight year and for the third time in the lat six years. Maybe 2010 will be charm, in a year when the playoffs will be expanded to 20 teams and the championship game will be pushed into January. Take a look at some fine game photos by David Swanson at Philly.com Sports.

Friday, January 01, 2010

HAPPY NEW YEAR 2010 and WELCOME TO THE NEW DECADE OF THE 2010s - THE TEENS which follow THE AUGHTS (2000s)

HAPPY NEW YEAR 2010!

The New Year always begins for us with the televized live New Year's Concert (in German "Neujahrskonzert") of the Vienna Philharmonic (Wiener Philharmoniker) which is broadcast worldwide (ca. 11:15 a.m. European time) and this year reached a record 72 countries.

Each year a conductor of world renown is invited to conduct the orchestra and today it was the amazingly dynamic 85-year old French conductor Georges Prêtre ("his interests include riding, swimming, aviation, judo, and karate") whose presentation in 2008 was so warmly received that he was invited again for 2010, conducting in a manner which we to us reflects "the Vienna style".

This year's concert proved to be an absolutely spectacular presentation sponsored by Rolex, who must have put a lot of money into this year's concert, judging by the sheer professionality and extravagance of the production.

For example, the 77-year old Italian fashion designer Valentino (Valentino Garavani) was enticed out of retirement to design 18 ballet dresses for two ballets danced for the first time at the Museum of Art History in Vienna (Kunsthistorisches Museum, KHM). We heard comments that these were the most beautiful, feminine ballet dresses that some people had ever seen.

The conductor in 2011 will be Franz Welser-Möst, "who in 2010 becomes the General Music Director of the Vienna State Opera. Franz Welser-Möst has been musical director in Nörrköping and Winterthur, principal conductor of the London Philharmonic Orchestra and Music Director of the Zurich Opera. Since 2002 he has been Music Director of the Cleveland Orchestra."

The concert is so popular that each year lots are drawn for the privilege of buying tickets, and registration for the ticket drawing commences this year on January 2 and ends on January 23. A registration from MUST be filled out and each registrant can register once only (multiple registrations are ignored) for any or all of three concerts: the Preview Performance (Dec. 30, 2010, 11:00 AM), the New Year's Eve Concert (December 31, 2010, 7:30 PM,), and the New Year's Concert (January 1, 2011, 11:15 AM). No one can obtain more than two tickets and prices range up to €940 per seat for the New Year's Concert, which is the most expensive concert of the three in terms of tickets. (See Ticket Drawing.)

Most Popular Posts of All Time

The ISandIS Network

Our Websites and Blogs: 3D Printing and More 99 is not 100 Aabecis AK Photo Blog Ancient Egypt Weblog Ancient Signs (the book) Ancient World Blog AndisKaulins.com Anthropomorphic Design Archaeology Travel Photos (blog) Archaeology Travel Photos (Flickr) Archaeo Pundit Arts Pundit Astrology and Birth Baltic Coachman Bible Pundit Biotechnology Pundit Book Pundit Chronology of the Ancient World Computer Pundit DVD Pundit Easter Island Script Echolat edu.edu Einstein’s Voice Energy Environment and Climate Blog Etruscan Bronze Liver of Piacenza EU Laws EU Legal EU Pundit FaceBook Pundit Gadget Pundit Garden Pundit Golf Pundit Google Pundit Gourmet Pundit Hand Proof HousePundit Human Migrations Idea Pundit Illyrian Language Indus Valley Script Infinity One : The Secret of the First Disk (the game) Jostandis Journal Pundit Kaulins Genealogy Blog Kaulinsium Kiel & Kieler Latvian Blog LawPundit.com Law Pundit Blog LexiLine.com LexiLine Group Lexiline Journal Library Pundit Lingwhizt LinkedIn Literary Pundit Magnifichess Make it Music Maps and Cartography Megalithic World Megaliths Blog) Megaliths.net Minoan Culture Mutatis Mutandis Nanotech Pundit Nostratic Languages Official Pundit Phaistos Disc Pharaonic Hieroglyphs Photo Blog of the World Pinterest Prehistoric Art Pundit Private Wealth Blog PunditMania Quanticalian Quick to Travel Quill Pundit Road Pundit Shelfari SlideShare (akaulins) Sport Pundit Star Pundit Stars Stones and Scholars (blog) Stars Stones and Scholars (book) Stonehenge Pundit The Enchanted Glass Twitter Pundit UbiquitousPundit Vision of Change VoicePundit WatchPundit Wine Pundit Word Pundit xistmz YahooPundit zistmz