Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Texas A&M to Leave Big 12 Conditional on Acceptance by the SEC

Texas A&M Sets a Date to Leave Big 12 is the headline of an article by Pete Thamel at The New York Times, College Football section.

Monday, August 15, 2011

Pro Golfers Swing Differently than Amateurs: Stanford School of Medicine Study Shows Biomechanical Differences: Hip Rotation Initiates Downswing

Jessica Rose, PhD, and a team of researchers at the Stanford University School of Medicine have obtained valuable new insights on the golf swing. As John Sanford writes:
"For the first time, several key rotational-biomechanic elements of the golf stroke in its entirety, from backswing to follow-through, were analyzed, and then the data were used to generate benchmark curves, said Jessica Rose, PhD, associate professor of orthopaedic surgery and senior author of the study."
The medical object of the study was of course to study golf-induced injuries by studying swing fundamentals. It was found that pros do in fact swing differently than amateurs:
"Researchers analyzed several biomechanical elements of subjects’ golf swings, including S-factor (tilt of the shoulders), O-factor (tilt of the hips) and X-factor — the relative rotation of the hips to the shoulders, measured in degrees — which is considered key to power generation. Previous research has shown that pro golfers who hit the ball far generally have a larger peak X-factor than their peers, but this study is more extensive in that it considers X-factor in relation to other rotational biomechanics of the golf swing over the full duration of the motion."
Of immense use to all golfers, pro or amateur, and immensely valuable to teaching professionals, the study found for the first time scientifically that it is hip rotation that initiates the downswing:
"Conrad Ray, the Knowles Family Director of Men’s Golf at Stanford University and a co-author of the study, said the findings give scientific backing to the elements of golf-swing form that professionals have long understood are vital for generating power. The study also helps to clarify some unresolved questions about golf-swing biomechanics, Ray said. “One question that always comes from students is, ‘What starts the downswing?’” he said. “People have had different answers. Some would say the hands, or others would say the shoulders or the lower body. But the study confirms that rotation of the hips initiates the downswing. So that, to me, is an interesting finding.”"

Predicting Big 12 Football Team Conference Realignment and Future: Amy Daughters at Bleacher Report Reports

Although the Texas A&M move to the SEC has been placed on hold, at least temporarily, the preservation of the current Big 12 down the road looks less likely than ever.

The main cause in our opinion is University of Texas greed via its TV network, which has forced other Big 12 conference members to look for greener turf.

Amy Daughters at Bleacher Report reports on College Football Realignment: Predicting the Landing Spot of Every Big 12 Member.

Detroit Lions in 34-3 Win Over Cincinnati in 2011 Preseason Opener

Chuck Klonke at DetroitLions.com reports that Lions get off to a solid start with a 34-3 preseason win over Cincinnati.

A bit late, we thought we had already posted this one.

Texas A&M Move to the SEC on Hold

At USA Today, Jack Carey writes that Texas A&M defection to SEC on hold, but maybe temporarily.

Huskers - Preseason View - AP

A piece about the Cornhuskers in the Big Ten by the Associated Press, reported at the GazetteXtra, Janesville, WI, in Nebraska eyes title as league newcomer.

Kelly's Photo at Lockerz.com Shows @ndamukong_suh making an appearance at Kid Rock

Lockerz.com : Kelly's Photo
shows
@ndamukong_suh making an appearance at Kid Rock

It is going to be as much fun rooting for the Lions this year as for the Huskers of Nebraska and the Cardinal of Stanford. As always, may the best team win!

Sunday, August 14, 2011

College Football Predictions 2011 Week 1 by YPPSYS, the Yards Per Play System

Our game predictions for the 1st week of College Football 2011 (Week One)  are based upon our YPPSYS Preseason College Football Rankings 2011, as based largely on our YPPSYS Final 2010 Rankings, but also involving subjective judgment on our part. YPPSYS means "yards per play system", as that is our main ranking component, based primarily on stats at cfbstats.com, but we also use schedule difficulty and conference rankings as based on calculations at Massey Ratings and Sagarin USA Today. See also the 2011 Rivals.com Preseason 120 Countdown.

The odds ("opening line") -- not all games have a betting line -- that are quoted here are taken from the College Football Prediction Tracker as of Tuesday, August 9, 2011, 11:02 AM, but many of these odds will change over time and can have changed substantially by game time. We do not adjust our predictions for that. Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

Games on Thursday, September 1, 2011


Murray State at Louisville
The Cardinals are uncertain at quarterback but the defense is strong. The Racers were 6-5 last year against much weaker opposition than the Cards.
We call it:  38-7 for Louisville.

Villanova at Temple (the Mayor’s Cup game)
Nova was one of the strongest teams in Division I FCS football last year, losing in the national championship finals 41-31 to ultimate champion Eastern Washington. Temple is without Al Golden so who knows what effect that will have on the team.
We call it:
  24-23 for Villanova.

South Carolina State at Central Michigan
The Bulldogs (9-3 in 2010) lost their opener 41-10 last year to Georgia Tech, a much stronger team than Central Michigan.
We call it:  37-21 for the Chippewas.

Florida International is favored at home by 14 points over North Texas.
The Panthers on their home turf and under head coach Mario Cristobal should be stronger than the Mean Green, who are thin on talent, fired head coach Todd Dodge, 8-40 in four years, and open their season in a new $80 million stadium under Dan McCarney, who coached the Iowa State Cyclones 1994-2006 and was defensive line coach for South Florida and Florida the last 3 years. Dodge neglected defense. McCarney does not.
We call it:  24-17 for Florida International.

New Hampshire at Toledo
The Wildcats are a perennially strong team in the CAA, Colonial Athletic Conference, which Sagarin ranks higher than the MAC, the Mid-American Conference, though the Rockets are inconsistent and always hard to gauge.We call it:  31-27 for the Wildcats.

Fordham at Connecticut
The Huskies should have few problems with the a Rams team which looks back on a storied history, but the days of Vince Lombardi etc. are long gone.
We call it:  38-10 for Connecticut.

Western Carolina at Georgia Tech
So what is a Catamount? The "cat team" from Cullowhee will have their hands full against the run-dominant Yellowjackets.
We call it:  47-14 for Georgia Tech.

North Carolina Central
at Rutgers
The Scarlet Knights had a bad year in 2010 and finished 4-8 and are picked last in the Big East this year. They should win this one. The NCCU marching band, the Marching Sound Machine, is the best about the Eagles, and was selected to march in the 2011 Rose Bowl Parade, but the football team went 3-8 in 2010. The Eagles have been readmitted to the MEAC conference, where they had been a member from 1970-1979.
We call it:  47-13 for Rutgers.

Syracuse is favored at home over Wake Forest by 7 points.
Doug Marrone has brought style to Syracuse again and they may improve on their resurgent 8-5 record and bowl win of last year.
We call it:  24-13 for Syracuse.

Mississippi State is favored by 27.5 points on the road at Memphis.
Our rankings put Mississippi State in the Top 20, one spot ahead of Auburn and two places ahead of South Carolina. 
We call it:
  49-10 for the Bulldogs.

Montana State at Utah
The Utes begin their first year in the Pac 12 out of conference with a game against the Montana State Bobcats, an FCS team that during the regular season last year beat ultimate and improbable FCS champion Eastern Washington 30-7, but lost to a weak FBS Washington State team 23-22. Teams like Montana State have good players but not the depth to compete with major schools on a consistent basis.
We call it:
  38-7 for the Utes.

Wisconsin is favored at home over UNLV by 35 points.
The Badgers' thundering offense will roll over teams without adequate defenses and UNLV ranked 116th of 120 FBS teams against the run in 2010. No chance here.
We call it:  52-7 for Wisconsin.

Idaho is favored at home by 8 points over Bowling Green
Idaho was 6-7 last year with 3 losses to top-ranked teams. The Falcons were the worst rushing team in the nation last season.
We call it:  35-14 for the Vandals.

Kentucky is favored over Western Kentucky by 19 points (neutral location).
The Hilltoppers were 2-10 last year and lost to Kentucky 63-28, but they had the Sun Belt's Offensive Player of the Year in running back Bobby Rainey, who gained 184 yards running against the SEC Wildcats. New offensive coordinator Zach Azzani, who coached the wide receivers in Central Michigan's potent passing offense, will diversify the offense this year so the Hilltoppers should be much more balanced offensively, and hence better. They have an excellent head coach in Willie Taggart, so expect Western Kentucky to improve this year, especially in the Sun Belt. They might give Kentucky a scare.
We call it:  42-35 for the Wildcats.

UC Davis at Arizona State
The Sun Devils, one of the largest universities in the USA by undergraduate population, have been playing below par in past seasons and this is the year they should move upward again -- with 20 returning starters! UC Davis lost 52-3 to Pac 10 now Pac 12 Cal last year.
We call it:
  56-7 for Arizona State.

Games on Friday, September 2, 2011


Youngstown State at Michigan State
The Penguins lost to Penn State 44-14 last year on their way to a 3-8 season, while the Spartans overachieved in going 11-2 with mediocre stats. Michigan State lost key players to graduation and could lose as many as 6 games this year, but not this one.
We call it:  35-14 for Michigan State.

TCU is favored on the road at Baylor by 6.5 points.
"No respect" for the Horned Frogs by the oddsmakers, in spite of their undefeated season last year and a traditionally fantastic defense, which wins football games. Baylor will be improved through the maturing and health of Robert Griffin III. Still, the Bears should be no match for TCU.
We call it:  23-7 for TCU.

Games on Saturday, September 3, 2011


Auburn is favored at home over Utah State by 22 points.
One thing is certain this season, and that is that Auburn will have a difficult time repeating as national champions, but one should not forget that Chizik and Malzahn have been recruiting tremendous speed at all positions, so that this will still be a very prolific team in spite of the loss of Heisman winner Cam Newton and the loss of 16 starters. The Aggies were 4-8 last year and finished with a 50-14 loss to Boise State.
We call it:  44-14 for the Tigers.

Northern Arizona
at Arizona
The Wildcats imploded last year, losing their last five games. The Lumberjacks were 6-5 and lost to Arizona State 41-20. We see a similar spread here.
We call it:
  34-14 for Arizona.

Boston College is favored at home by 3 points over Northwestern
The Eagles last year had a strong rushing defense led by LB Luke Kuechly, a mediocre pass defense and a nothing offense, while the Wildcats had a weak defense and a strong offense, as long as their quarterback was healthy. QB Persa is back, making this a very interesting game.
We call it:  27-17 for the Eagles.

Missouri is favored at home by 16 points over Miami of Ohio
The Tigers can not be happy with the scheduling of this expected easy opening game against a team that had the best turn-around in the nation last year, as the Redhawks went from 1-11 in 2009 to 10-4 in 2010, including a bowl win in the GoDaddy Bowl. They lost early in the season to Missouri 51-13, but the Tigers, 10-3 in 2010, lost their top quarterback Blaine Gabbert to graduation, while much of the rest of the offense returns.
We call it:  45-17 for the Tigers.

Ohio State is favored at home by 32.5 points over Akron.
Akron may be best remembered for its mention in the James Stewart film starring the invisible six-foot rabbit Harvey and that is pretty much the status of the Zips, the worst team in FBS last year, against the Buckeyes, who will surely pour on the heat to prove that they are a force to be reckoned with, despite the many NCAA scandals surrounding the team.
We call it:  63-0 for the Buckeyes.

Indiana State at Penn State
Joe Paterno's Nittany Lions have quite a mismatch here against the Missouri Valley Sycamores, who were 6-5 last year and lost 40-7 to Cincinnati.
We call it:  44-7 for Penn State.

Tennessee Tech at Iowa
The Golden Eagles lost to ranked Arkansas 44-3 and TCU 62-7 last year, but the Hawkeyes have a more sedate offense and may be weaker this year.
We call it:  35-10 for Iowa.

Purdue is favored at home by 17.5 points over Middle Tennessee State.
The Blue Raiders opened their 2010 season with a loss to Big Ten Minnesota 24-17, who were beaten by Purdue 28-17.
We call it:  31-14 for Purdue.

Alabama is favored at home over Kent State by 36 points.
Nick Saban has so much more football talent than the Golden Flashes that predicting a score in a game like this is difficult, since the game will possibly be used to test out quarterbacks, etc., early in the season, since that is the major trouble spot at Alabama. 1st year coach Darrell Hazell - of Ohio State - is putting in a spread offense for Kent State, which could present some challenges for the Crimson Tide defenses.
We call it:  49-14 for Alabama.

Appalachian State
at Virginia Tech
The multiple FCS champion Mountaineers have delayed making a decision to join the FBS. They were beaten 48-10 by Florida last year, lost in overtime to Georgia Southern, and were overwhelmed by Villanova in the playoffs. The Hokies lost last season's opener 33-30 to Boise State and were ambushed by FCS James Madison in their 2nd game last year, before winning the rest of their regular season games and the ACC championship. Stanford defeated them 40-12 in the Orange Bowl. Given the Hokies relatively easy schedule this year, they could easily go undefeated and still not get into the BCS championship game, because their BCS rating will be too low, even if they win this game.
We call it:  42-21 for Virginia Tech.

South Dakota at Air Force
The Falcons lat year were a much better team than their rating, barely losing to top ten teams Oklahoma and Utah by 3 and 5 points, losing badly to TCU 38-7 and losing by 2 to San Diego State, also a greatly under-rated team. The Coyotes worst loss was to UCF 38-7.
We call it:
  31-7 for Air Force.

USC is favored at home by 21 points over Minnesota.
The Trojans should be better, but so should also the Gophers as noted at ESPN that "new coach Jerry Kill is putting his diverse spread attack in the hands of MarQueis Gray, who has been moved back to quarterback from wide receiver, much to the delight of many Gophers fans who believe they might have another Robinson." This may be tougher for USC than thought.
We call it:  35-28 for the USC.

Florida State is favored at home by 29 points over Louisiana-Monroe (ULM).
The Seminoles lost their last regular season game 44-33 to Virginia tech last year and then beat South Carolina 26-17 in the Chhick-fil-A-BOWL. They are definitely on the upswing with their 10-4 record last year. The Warhawks lost 51-0 to LSU and 52-3 to Auburn last year so this is no real test of how strong Florida State will be this year.
We call it:  49-10 for Florida State.

Notre Dame is favored at home by 10.5 points against South Florida.
Brian Kelly is developing Notre Dame into a football power and the only question this year is just how far along is he? The Bulls lost to Florida 38-14 last year and are still a notch below the top teams.
We call it:  37-21 for the Fighting Irish.

Michigan is favored at home by 14.5 points over Western Michigan
Michigan man Brady Hoke, as Stewart Mandel writes at Sports Illustrated, is in the process of returning the Wolverines to football greatness, and his hire of a defensive guru as capable as Baltimore ravens Greg Mattison, defensive line coach for Florida's 2006 national title team, was essential, since the defense last year was miserable and has to be improved greatly. The leaky Michigan secondary (112th in the nation last year out of 120 teams) will be tested immediately by the Western Michigan passing attack, which ranked 16th in the nation in 2010.
We call it:
  41-21 for Michigan.

James Madison at North Carolina
The Tar Heels fired head coach Butch Davis just two weeks prior to the start of preseason practice in connection with an NCAA investigation of various improprieties within the football program. Everett Withers was named as the interim head coach. Can the Dukes pull off another upset like they did against Virginia Tech last year? The team can not be underestimated as almost all of its 5 losses last year were cliffhangers and preseason polls put the Dukes second in the tough CAA conference.
We call it:  31-24 for the Tar Heels.

Chattanooga
at Nebraska
The Mocs put up at least 14 points in every game last year, scoring 14, 17, 24, 35 and 41 points in the games they lost (!) including a 62-24 loss to eventual national champion Auburn. Needless to say, Chattanooga has not played a defense like the Blackshirts, who should dominate this game. The unknown Husker element is the offense, and this game will tell us something about how well the Cornhusker's Big Red machine will fare this season under new offensive coordinator Tim Beck. As a Husker alum, we are optimistic.
We call it:
  65-0 for Nebraska.

Clemson is favored at home by 15 points over Troy State
The coaching staff has been shaken up at Clemson so that the slumping Tigers of Dabo Swinney may pick up this year. Meanwhile, the Clemson defense will have to stop the potent Troy passing game.
We call it:  38-17 for Clemson.

Houston is favored at home by 3.5 points over UCLA
Stellar QB Case Keenum is back for the Cougars and if he stays healthy, Houston is a force to be reckoned with in any game, especially since some top running backs enhance the offense. As for defense, new defensive line coach Carlton Hall from Harvard yells out "114" anytime there is a slack in effort -- that was the Houston rank against the run last year. UCLA bored to tears in 2010 with a 32nd rank rushing and a 116th rank passing, leading to a 104th rank in points scored. How can you beat Houston if you can't score?
We call it:  41-20 for Houston.

Illinois is favored at home by 20 points over Arkansas State
The Illini had the 11th best rushing attack in the nation last year and the Red Wolves had the 111th worst rushing defense. The Arkansas State strength is on offense, where they scored no fewer than 19 points in losing 8 games.
We call it:  38-28 for Illinois.

Delaware at Navy
The Fightin Blue Hens won the CAA last year and were 2nd in the FCS national championship game, losing to Eastern Washington 20-19, needlessly throwing away a 19-point lead in second half of the game, a game which they clearly dominated. But that was surely the result of coaching errors, playing it too safe and trying to protect a lead rather than going for the win and staying aggressive on offense and defense. The Midshipmen were 9-4 in 2010 and 6th nationally in rushing in FBS but face a stiff rushing defense here.
We call it:  24-21 for Delaware.

Southeastern Louisiana at Tulane
We call it:  34-21 for the Green Wave.

Sacramento State at Oregon State
We call it:  38-7 for the Beavers.

Brigham Young University (BYU) is favored by 2.5 points on the road at Mississippi (Ole Miss)
BYU plays as an independent this year. Will the Big 12 come calling?
Houston Nutt has a top freshman class and the defense looks good. We rate both teams about even. Can BYU beat Ole Miss in Mississippi? We doubt it.
We call it:
  28-27 for the Ole Miss.

Stanford is favored at home by 27 points over San Jose State.
Stanford has the best quarterback in the country in Andrew Luck and a strong physical team that pounded Virginia Tech 40-12 in the Orange Bowl to close out last season. If head coach Jim Harbaugh had not gone to the NFL 49ers, Stanford would probably be ranked Nr. 1 or 2 today by the polls. People in the know say successor David Shaw is a brilliant coach. Well, we shall all see if that is true. Bookmakers are careful people so that their spread of 27 points is much less than the 40-point spread seen on average by football pundits followed at the College Football Prediction Tracker. Our own stats suggest close to a 50 point advantage for the Cardinal. The Spartans were 1-12 last year.
We call it:  63-0 for Stanford.

Idaho State at Washington State
We call it:  35-14 for the Cougars.

Liberty
at North Carolina State
We call it:  34-17 for the Wolfpack.

Colorado State is favored by 4.5 points on the road at New Mexico
We call it:  30-21 for the Rams.

Pittsburgh is favored at home over Buffalo by 29.5 points.
We call it:  48-10 for the Panthers.

William & Mary at Virginia
The Tribe was ranked No. 1 in the CAA football preseason poll, but they are unlikely to beat the Cavaliers.
We call it:  27-20 for Virginia.

Montana at Tennessee
We call it:  31-17 for the Vols.

Missouri State at Arkansas
We call it:  48-13 for the Razorbacks.

California is favored at home by 10 points over Fresno State
We call it:  30-10 for Bears.

Florida is favored at home by 31 points over Florida Atlantic
We call it:  45-7 for the Gators.

Northern Iowa at Iowa State
We call it:  28-21 for the Cyclones.

Indiana is favored on the road over Ball State by 6.5 points (neutral location)
We call it:  31-21 for the Hoosiers.

Richmond at Duke
We call it:  24-17 for Duke.

Oklahoma State is favored at home by 36.5 points over Louisiana-Lafayette (ULL).
We call it:  59-7 for the Cowboys.

Texas is favored at home by 22 points over Rice.
We are rather surprised at that minimal spread for the Longhorns.
We call it:  42-7 for Texas.

Eastern Washington at Washington
The Eagles beat Delaware 20-19 for the FCS national championship last season. The Washington Huskies closed out last season with a reversal of their regular-season blowout loss to Nebraska in a bowl game not to be over-rated as not too many people in Husker Nation cared about that game, for numerous known reasons.
We call it:  31-24 for the Huskies.

Charleston Southern
at UCF
We call it:  41-7 for the Golden Knights.

Austin Peay
at Cincinnati
We call it:  34-13 for the Bearcats.

Howard at Eastern Michigan
We call it:  40-14 for the Eagles.

McNeese State at Kansas
We call it:  31-14 for the Jayhawks.

Eastern Kentucky at Kansas State
We call it:  31-10 for the Wildcats.

Northern Illinois is favored at home by 9.5 points against Army.
We call it:  35-24 for the Huskies.

South Carolina is favored by 20.5 points over East Carolina (neutral location).
We call it:  45-17 for the Gamecocks.

Texas State at Texas Tech
We call it:  47-7 for the Red Raiders.

Elon at Vanderbilt
We call it:  28-21 for the Commodores.

Boise State is favored by 3 points on the road at Georgia.
We call it:  34-21 for the Broncos.

Oregon is favored by 1 point at LSU (game played at Cowboy Stadium)
We call it:  24-14 for the Ducks.

Ohio is favored by 7 on the road at New Mexico State
We call it:  28-14 for the Bobcats.

Oklahoma is favored at home by 21 points over Tulsa.
We call it:  31-17 for the Sooners.

Stony Brook at UTEP
We call it:  34-17 for the Miners.

Weber State at Wyoming
We call it:  28-21 for the Cowboys.

Cal Poly at San Diego State
San Diego state pummelled Navy in the Poinsettia Bowl 35-14 even outrushing the nation's 6th-ranked rushing team. Even without Brady Hoke, they will be good in 2011.
We call it:  42-14 for the Aztecs.

Southern Mississippi (Southern Miss) is favored at home by 13 points over Louisiana Tech
We call it:  30-14 for Southern Miss.

Hawaii is favored by 6.5 points at home over Colorado
We call it:  31-21 for the Rainbows.

Games on Sunday, September 4, 2011

West Virginia is favored at home by 21 points over Marshall.
We call it:  41-14 for the Mountaineers.

Texas A&M is favored at home by 15 points over SMU.
SMU has 18 returning starters, including the quarterback Padron, on a constantly improving team under head coach June Jones. The Aggies have to be careful not to fall over their own preseason press clippings.
We call it:  Our own stats would favor the Aggies by about 17 points, but we call it 35-24 for the Texas A&M.

Games on Monday, September 5, 2011

Miami (FL) is favored by 5.5. points on the road at Maryland
We call it:  28-21 for the Hurricanes.

Thursday, August 11, 2011

Big 12 Future Doubtful as Texas Governor Confirms Rumors of A&M to SEC

The way we see it, the Big 12 is headed for either ultimate dissolution or for a substantial rearrangement as Texas Gov. Stokes A&M to SEC Rumors

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

New York Giants Rookie Cornerback and Former Husker Prince Amukamara Signed Friday, Broke His Foot on Saturday and Was on Crutches on Sunday: OUCH!

Fred Kerber at the NYPost.com writes about Prince Amukamara that Giants' Prince says broken foot is 'a fluke', but the training camp injury that came in his first day of training camp could keep him out for perhaps at least 8 to 10 weeks in a position where the Giants really need him. Amukamara has never had a serious injury before so let us hope it stays a fluke. Football after all is a contact sport and injuries are inevitable, though we always hope they are minor. Fellow former Husker Ndamukong Suh sent Prince a Twitter get well wish.

One can really get some insights about football from the football players' Twitter tweets and see that these young men enjoy their game, which is their profession at this stage of their lives. It gives football more of a human face, which is good for the sport. Take a look e.g. at:

Ndamukong Suh
Jahvid Best
Prince Amukamara who with the NY Giants rooms with
Phil Dillard
Tyler Sash

Those are just some of the names that turned up initially when I followed some of the players' tweets.





Friday, August 05, 2011

Preseason 2011 FBS College Football Coaches' Poll Out at USA Today: Sooners Ranked Number One: Poll Comparison with YPPSYS Rankings of All 120 FBS Teams

USA Today 2011 Coaches Top 25 Preseason Poll of College Football FBS Teams 
vs.
YPPSYS College Football Preseason Rankings 2011.


BleacherReport at Big Red Today in an article by Sam McKewon of the Omaha World-Herald comments on the just published USA Today 2011 Coaches Top 25 Preseason Poll of College Football FBS teams and asks: Where's Nebraska?

The coaches rank Oklahoma at the top of the preseason poll, but we consider it unlikely that the Sooners can finish this season as the top-ranked team in the country. Their stats last year were too weak, and even if they improve markedly, they still have a ways to go to national championship dominance. On average, the SEC and Pac 12 also have stronger teams than the Big 12. If the head coach had not changed in the off season, Stanford might be ranked Number 1 by the polls, but we give the Cardinal players and their new head coach the benefit of the doubt until proven wrong. Plus, who can beat Nebraska if their offense jells under the new offensive coordinator?

Below is a comparison of rankings of the top 25 teams (plus all other teams receiving votes) according to USA Today vs. the YPPSYS rank of all 120 FBS teams. We have left a column to fill in where each team actually finishes in the post-bowl rankings at the end of the 2011/2012 season.


Preseason
YPPSYS (= yards per play system)
2011 College Football FBS Team Ranking
USA Today 2011 
Coaches'
Preseason
College Football Rankings
How much higher
or lower
is USA Today preseason rank by coaches than by YPPSYS
YPPSYS
Final 2011 Rankings
at the end of the 2011/2012 season
USA Today
Final 2011 Rankings
at the end of the 2011/2012 season


1. Stanford


6


-5 (Stanford is ranked 5 spots  lower by the coaches poll at USA Today)




2. Nebraska


11


-9 (9 lower)




3. Alabama


2


+1 (1 higher)




4. Oregon


3


+1 (1 higher)




5. Boise State


7


-2 (2 lower)




6. Oklahoma


1


+5 (5 higher)




7. LSU


4


+3 (3 higher)




8. Oklahoma State


8


0 (identical rank)




9. TCU


15


-6 (6 lower)




10. Virginia Tech


13


-3




11. Wisconsin


10


+1




12. Arkansas


14


-2




13. Florida State


5


+8




14. Ohio State


16


-2




15. Notre Dame


18


+3




16. USC


NCAA sanction


--




17. Arizona State


26


-9




18. Mississippi State


20


-2




19. Auburn


19


0




20. South Carolina


12


+8




21. Florida


23


-2




22. Michigan


34


-12




23. Texas


24


-1




24. UCF


33


-9




25. Missouri


21


+4




26. Miami (Florida)


29


-3




27. Georgia


22


+5




28. North Carolina


36


-8




29. Michigan State


17


+12




30. Texas A&M


9


+21




31. Washington


48


-17




32. Arizona


32


0




33. San Diego St.


--


--




34. Nevada


50


-16




35. Utah


28


+7




36. Penn State


25


+11




37. Iowa


30


+7




38. Maryland


--


--




39. Southern Miss


42


-3




40. Tennessee


41


-1




41. Louisville


--


--




42. Oregon State


46


-4




43. West Virginia


27


+16




44. Air Force


35


+11




45. Clemson


40


+5




46. Pittsburgh


47


-1




47. Houston


37


+10




48. South Florida


38


+10




49. Tulsa


--


--




50. N.C. State


44


+6




51. Colorado


--


--




52. Hawaii


39


+13




53. California


--


--




54. Illinois


--


--




55. Texas Tech


--


--




56. Boston College


--


--




57. Navy


--


--




58. SMU


--


--




59. Northern Illinois


45


+14




60. Georgia Tech


49


+11




61. Baylor


--


--




62. Syracuse


--


--




63. Virginia


--


--




64. Kansas State


--


--




65. BYU


43


+22




66. Northwestern


31


+35




67. Mississippi


--


--




68. Kentucky


--


--




69. Iowa State


--


--




70. Fresno State


--


--




71. Purdue


--


--




72. Army


--


--




73. Minnesota


--


--




74. Miami (OH)


--


--




75. Kansas


--


--




76. Connecticut


--


--




77. Troy


--


--




78. UCLA


--


--




79. Kent State


--


--




80. Vanderbilt


--


--




81. Washington St.


--


--




82. Wake Forest


--


--




83. Toledo


--


--




84. UAB


--


--




85. Cincinnati


--


--




86. Temple


--


--




87. Duke


--


--




88. Indiana


--


--




89. Ohio


--


--




90. West. Michigan


--


--




91. Rutgers


--


--




92. Wyoming


--


--




93. UTEP


--


--




94. Florida Int'l


--


--




95. Marshall


--


--




96. Tulane


--


--




97. Idaho


--


--




98. Louisiana Tech


--


--




99. Colorado State


--


--




100. East Carolina


--


--




101. M. Tennessee


--


--




102. Utah State


--


--




103. C. Michigan


--


--




104. Arkansas State


--


--




105. Rice


--


--




106. San Jose State


--


--




107. L.-Monroe


--


--




108. North Texas


--


--




109. Florida Atl


--


--




110. UNLV


--


--




111. Ball State


--


--




112. Buffalo


--


--




113. L.-Lafayette


--


--




114. Memphis


--


--




115. W. Kentucky


--


--




116. New Mexico St


--


--




117. New Mexico


--


--




118. Bowling Green


--


--




119. East. Michigan


--


--




120. Akron


--


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