Monday, December 03, 2012

Final College Football Rankings 2012 FBS at Regular Season End but Pre-Bowl

Final College Football Rankings 2012 FBS at the End of Regular Season Play but Pre-Bowl by SportPundit & YPPSYS, Yards Per Play System

Teams below are color-coded by conference -- the selected color was random.
The color-coding of the rankings shows quickly that teams from the same conference tend to "clump" together, thus making the general strength (or weakness) of the conference more visible.
 
These ratings and rankings AFTER the FOURTEENTH week of play (we consider the Army vs. Navy game a "bowl game") are based on the primary measure of "net average yards per play advantage" (NAYPPA), a specific predictive calculation which we were the first to implement, minus a calculation of the schedule difficulty. Starting about mid-season, ours is not an ordinal ranking of schedule difficulty by 1, 2, 3, 4, etc. but is rather based on the average rank of the teams played. We also apply adjustments early in the season because not enough games have been played and such stats are skewed, leading to poor predictions. The inclusion of FCS teams in scheduling makes calculation of the strength of schedule difficult and the strength of FCS teams is an approximation. We use Sagarin USA Today and Massey Ratings for assistance in calculating the strength of FCS teams for purposes of calculating schedule difficulty, which is not an exact science by any means, but only an estimate.

As a measuring stick, note that the best college teams of all time had a NAYPPA of not greater than 3.0 for an entire season. Schedules have become easier recently, e.g. through FCS scheduling, and Boise State had a 3.5 season NAYPPA two years ago but lost a game.

See Best Teams Ever: (top three as examples below)
In past recent years, an average FBS team gained ca. 5.4 yards per play on offense and allows ca. 5.4 yards per play on defense, a statistic that holds fairly constant. The yards per play on offense has increased somewhat in the last couple of years after FBS teams started scheduling weaker FCS teams. The weaker an opponent the better the NAYPPA stat usually becomes, hence one has to adjust for schedule difficulty, which is not easy to do, especially given the law of diminishing returns in terms of yards-per-play advantage and weakness of the opposing team.

We get the yards-per-play stats that we use from the college or university online football websites that are linked below under "yards per play offense" or from cfbstats.com, a website with loads of college football statistics.


THE YPPSYS TEAM RANKINGS AND RATINGS AFTER WEEK 14 OF PLAY

2012
Sport
Pundit
Rank
AFTER
WEEK
FOURTEEN (14)
TEAM FBS
color-coded by conference
NAYPPA
net average yards per play advantage offense over defense

yards
per
play offense

yards
per
play defense


Schedule difficulty as opponent average rank
plus or minus  subjective adjustments (this is our calculation based on various sources including our own rankings)


W-L
record
2012

YPPSYS
Team
Rating NAYPPA
minus .01 x
2 x schedule difficulty
minus .2 for every loss.





 

1 
Alabama
2.8
6.9
4.1

55
12-1
+1.5
2 Notre Dame 1.5
6.0
4.5

55
12-0
+0.4
3
Oregon 1.7
6.7
5.0

55
12-1
+0.4

4 Georgia
1.9
7.0
5.1

55
11-2
+0.4
5 LSU
1.1
5.6
4.5

45
10-2
+0.3
6 Ohio State
1.1
6.1
5.0

40
12-0
+0.3
7 Texas A&M 1.7
6.9
5.2

50

10-2

+0.3

8Stanford
0.8
5.5
4.7

25
11-2
+0.3
9 Florida 1.0
5.3
4.3

40
11-1
+0.0
10
South Carolina
0.9

5.6
4.7

50
10-2
+0.0
11 Kansas State 1.0
6.4
5.4

40
11-1
+0.0
12 Oklahoma
1.2
6.6
5.4

40
10-2
+0.0
13
UCLA 0.5
6.1
5.6

0
9-4
+0.0
14 Wisconsin
1.3

6.0
4.7


35

8-5

+0.0

15 Nebraska 1.3
6.3
5.0

35
10-3
+0.0
16 Michigan
1.6
6.3
4.7

40
8-4
+0.0
17 Oregon State 1.0
6.1
5.1

20
9-3
+0.0
18 USC
1.5
6.8
5.3

25
7-5
+0.0
19 Florida State
3.1
7.0
3.9

135
11-2
+0.0

20 Texas 0.3
6.4
6.1

0
8-4
-0.5
21 Utah State
2.3
6.6
4.3


135

10-2

-0.8

22 San Jose St. 1.2
6.4
5.2

85
10-2
-0.9

23 Boise State 1.4

5.9
4.5

95
10-2
-0.9
24
Baylor
0.8
7.0
6.2


35

7-5

-0.9

25 Oklahoma State 1.7
7.0
5.3

80
7-5
-0.9
26 Texas Tech 1.1
6.5
5.4

55
7-5
-1.0
27 Penn State
0.5
5.4
4.9

35
8-4
-1.0
28 Northwestern 0.1
5.4
5.3

25
9-3
-1.0
29 Arizona State
1.0
5.7
4.7


50
7-5
-1.0
30 TCU
0.5
5.6
5.1

30
7-5
-1.1
31 West Virginia 0.3
6.6
6.3

10
7-5
-1.1
32 Michigan State 0.7
5.0
4.3

30
6-6
-1.1
33 Arizona 0.3 6.3
6.0

20
7-5

-1.1
34 Clemson 0.8
6.5
5.7

75
10-2
-1.1
35 BYU 0.9
5.3
4.4

50
7-5
-1.1
36 Vanderbilt
1.1
5.8
4.7

70
8-4
-1.1
37 Mississippi 0.4
5.9
5.5

15
6-6
-1.1
38 North. Illinois
2.1
6.6
4.5

150
12-1
-1.1
39 Louisville 0.6
6.0
5.4

65
10-2
-1.1
40 
Rutgers 0.7
5.5
4.8

65
9-3
-1.2
41 Cincinnati
1.2
6.4
5.2

90
9-3
-1.2
42 North Carolina
1.3
6.5
5.2

90
8-4
-1.3
43 Washington
-0.3
5.0
5.3

0
7-5
-1.3
44
Arkansas State 1.2
6.6
5.4

95
9-3
-1.3

45 Fresno State
1.6
6.3
4.7

120
9-3
-1.4
46 Mississippi St.
0.4

6.0
5.6


55

8-4

-1.5

47
Iowa State -0.6
5.2
5.8

0
6-6
-1.5
48 San Diego State
0.7
6.0
5.3

80
9-3
-1.5
49 Arkansas 0.4
6.1
5.7

25
4-8
-1.7
50 Minnesota -0.3
4.9
5.2

35
6-6
-1.7
51 Syracuse 0.3
6.0
5.7

70
7-5
-1.7
52 Pittsburgh 0.9
5.9
5.0

70
6-6
-1.7
53 Tulsa
0.7
5.6
4.9

95
10-3
-1.8
54 UCF
0.9
6.0
5.1

95
9-4
-1.8
55 Miami (Florida)
0.4
6.5
6.1

60
7-5
-1.8
56 Virginia Tech
0.4
5.4
5.0

50
6-6
-1.8
57 Georgia Tech
0.4
6.2
5.8

40
6-7
-1.8

58
Louis.-Lafayette
0.8
6.7
5.9

90
8-4
-1.8
59 Louis.-Monroe 
0.1

5.8
5.7


55

8-4

-1.8
60 Auburn
-0.7
5.3
6.0

0
3-9
-1.9
61 Kent State 0.1
5.8
5.7


80
11-2
-1.9
62 West. Kentucky
0.8
6.0
5.2

85
7-5
-1.9
63 Missouri
-0.6
4.9
5.5

0
5-7
-2.0
64
Utah
-0.4
4.9
5.3

10
5-7
-2.0
65 Louisiana Tech
0.1
6.6
6.5

75
9-3
-2.0
66 Navy 0.1
5.9
5.8

65
7-4
-2.0
67 Tennessee 0.3
6.4
6.1

50
5-7
-2.1
68 N.C. State
-0.5
5.2
5.7

30
7-5
-2.1
69 California
0.1
5.8
5.7

20
3-9
-2.1
70 Mid. Tennessee -0.3
5.8
6.1

50
8-4
-2.1
71 Ball State 
-0.5
5.8
6.3

50
9-3
-2.1
72 Toledo
-0.1
6.2
6.3

80
9-3
-2.3
73 Purdue -0.1
5.5
5.6

50
6-6
-2.3
74 Air Force
0.0 5.8
5.8

55
6-6
-2.3
75 Nevada
0.3
6.2
5.9

80
7-5
-2.3
76  Bowling Green 0.8
5.4
4.6

115
8-4
-2.3
77 Ohio
0.1
5.6
5.5

80

8-4

-2.3

78 Indiana -0.4
5.7
6.1

20
4-8
-2.4
79 Iowa
-0.8

4.7
5.5

0
4-8
-2.4
80 Virginia
0.2
5.3
5.1

30
4-8
-2.4
81 Temple
-1.1
5.1
6.3

5
4-7
-2.4

82 South Florida -0.3
5.6
5.7

35
3-9
-2.4
83 Connecticut 0.3
4.8
4.5

75
5-7
-2.4
84 East Carolina -0.2
5.6
5.8

75
8-4
-2.5
85 Kentucky -0.7
4.8
5.5

0*
2-10
-2.7
86 Marshall 
0.1
5.9
5.8

70
5-7
-2.7
87 Washington St. -0.8
4.9
5.7

15
3-9
-2.9
88 Maryland -0.6
4.4
5.0

35
4-8
-2.9
89 Duke -1.2
5.3
6.5

25
6-6
-2.9
90  
Cent. Michigan 
0.1
6.2
6.1

75
6-6
-3.0
91 
Buffalo 0.0
5.2
5.2

75
4-8
-3.1
92  
West. Michigan
0.2
5.8
5.6

75

4-8
-3.1
93 Houston
0.2
5.8
5.6

95
5-7
-3.1
94 Troy -0.1
6.2
6.3

80
5-7
-3.1
95 Rice -1.1
5.4
6.5

40
6-6
-3.1
96
UTSA
-0.2
5.8
6.0

110
8-4
-3.2
97
North Texas -0.6
5.5
6.1

50
4-8
-3.2
98 SMU
-0.3
5.2
5.5

85
6-6
-3.2
99 Illinois
-1.3
4.5
5.8

0
2-10
-3.3
100 Wyoming
-0.7
5.5
6.2

50
4-8
-3.3
101
Texas State
-0.6
5.9
6.5

60
4-8
-3.4
102
Memphis
-0.4
5.0
5.4

65
4-8
-3.5
103 Wake Forest -1.4
4.4
5.8

35
5-7
-3.5
104 Boston College -0.5
5.1
5.6

50
2-10
-3.5
105 Colorado State
-0.1
5.4
5.5

90
4-8
-3.5
106
East. Michigan 
-1.4
5.3
6.7

5
2-10
-3.5
107 Miami (Ohio) -0.8
5.5
6.3

60
4-8
-3.6
108
Hawaii
-1.1
4.3
5.4

40
3-9
-3.7
109
UNLV
-0.8
5.2
6.0

35
2-11
-3.7
110 Fl. Int'l FIU 
-0.2
5.4
5.6

85
3-9
-3.7
111
New Mexico -1.1
5.7
6.8

35
4-9
-3.8
112 UTEP 
-0.7
5.4
6.1

70
3-9
-3.9
113 
Kansas
-1.8
5.0
6.8

0
1-11
-4.0
114 Tulane
-1.7
4.7
6.4

30
2-10
-4.3
115 UAB
-0.6

5.6
6.2


95

3-9

-4.3

116 Army -1.2
5.7
6.9

70
2-9
-4.4
117 
Florida Atlantic 
-1.1
5.1
6.2

75
3-9
-4.4
118
Massachusetts
-2.5
3.9
6.4

0
1-11
-4.7
119
South Alabama
-1.0
4.6
5.6

75
2-11
-4.7
120 Colorado -2.7
4.4
7.1

0
1-11
-4.9
121 Akron 
-0.6
5.4
6.0

105
1-11
-4.9
122 Idaho -1.9
4.7
6.6

50
1-11
-5.1
123 New Mexico St. -1.6 5.1
6.7

70

1-11

-5.2
124
Southern Miss -1.2
4.9
6.1

80
0-12
-5.2






No comments:

Post a Comment

Most Popular Posts of All Time

Blog Archive

The ISandIS Network

Our Websites and Blogs: 3D Printing and More 99 is not 100 Aabecis AK Photo Blog Ancient Egypt Weblog Ancient Signs (the book) Ancient World Blog AndisKaulins.com Anthropomorphic Design Archaeology Travel Photos (blog) Archaeology Travel Photos (Flickr) Archaeo Pundit Arts Pundit Astrology and Birth Baltic Coachman Bible Pundit Biotechnology Pundit Book Pundit Chronology of the Ancient World Computer Pundit DVD Pundit Easter Island Script Echolat edu.edu Einstein’s Voice Energy Environment and Climate Blog Etruscan Bronze Liver of Piacenza EU Laws EU Legal EU Pundit FaceBook Pundit Gadget Pundit Garden Pundit Golf Pundit Google Pundit Gourmet Pundit Hand Proof HousePundit Human Migrations Idea Pundit Illyrian Language Indus Valley Script Infinity One : The Secret of the First Disk (the game) Jostandis Journal Pundit Kaulins Genealogy Blog Kaulinsium Kiel & Kieler Latvian Blog LawPundit.com Law Pundit Blog LexiLine.com LexiLine Group Lexiline Journal Library Pundit Lingwhizt LinkedIn Literary Pundit Magnifichess Make it Music Maps and Cartography Megalithic World Megaliths Blog) Megaliths.net Minoan Culture Mutatis Mutandis Nanotech Pundit Nostratic Languages Official Pundit Phaistos Disc Pharaonic Hieroglyphs Photo Blog of the World Pinterest Prehistoric Art Pundit Private Wealth Blog PunditMania Quanticalian Quick to Travel Quill Pundit Road Pundit Shelfari SlideShare (akaulins) Sport Pundit Star Pundit Stars Stones and Scholars (blog) Stars Stones and Scholars (book) Stonehenge Pundit The Enchanted Glass Twitter Pundit UbiquitousPundit Vision of Change VoicePundit WatchPundit Wine Pundit Word Pundit xistmz YahooPundit zistmz