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Wednesday, November 02, 2016

College Football Game Predictions and Results for Week 10 2016 FBS by SportPundit


College Football Game Predictions and Results for Week 10 2016 FBS by SportPundit

This 10th week we finished
45-15 in calling the winner
23-35-1 against the spread
23-35 against the CFPT prediction average, and
31-27-1 against the over/under.

After Week 10 our cumulative season results are:
470-158 in picking the winner
279-316-24 against the spread
234-285 against the CFPT average, and
319-280-15 against the over/under.

Below are our -- SportPundit -- prediction results for NCAA Division I FBS College Football in ESPN Week 10, based primarily on our After Week 9 College Football Rankings and Ratings for FBS 2016-2017 by SportPundit. We also look at the USA Today Sagarin College Football 2016 Ratings, the Massey Ratings for 2016 NCAA I Football and the Dr. Kambour home field advantage calculations. We compose our schedule using ESPN and NCCA.com.

Our system is based -- but not exclusively -- on net average yards per play stats, calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played. Other adjustments are also made (*=adjustment) because the ypp system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams. Plus, teams improve ... or not ... as the season goes along. We are going to pay more attention to the matchups of offenses and defenses and "trend". We take the cumulative yards per play stat data from cfbstats.com and from the college and university football athletic pages online. The ypp system is useful, but not perfect and would be better if additional stats were added, but we do not have the time for that....

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

This week we took the opening lines (if available) and the CFPT prediction average from the CFPT (College Football Prediction Tracker), as posted on Monday, November 1, 2016 : 9:48:30 AM. We take the opening over/under from Oddsshark viz. VegasInsider.com as well as their opening odds for games where the opening odds are posted later. All odds and stats are here by us posted WITHOUT ANY guarantee of accuracy, and without any liability on our part for our posted materials or links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions for fun. If important for the reader, the reader must consult the original sites. We use the opening line ("OL") if available, not the updated line ("UL), since we compete against opening odds, if possible. We call the score and not the spread as such because our stats permit that calculation.

We write "were favored". The odds of the opening line are usually changed by the time we make our predictions. We do not compete against those changed odds. We used the CFPT as of the above date.

Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Western Michigan at Ball State
The Broncos were favored over the Cardinals by 18.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 21.19 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: The Broncos opened their season with a win over Northwestern and are on track to go undefeated this season.
Result: Western Michigan went to 9-0 with a dominant 52-20 win. Corey Davis caught 12 passes for 272 yards.

Bowling Green at Northern Illinois
The Huskies were favored over the Falcons by 15.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Northern Illinois by 13.60 points. The O/U (over/under) was 65 points.
Our Call: The Huskies and Falcons are both having off years but Northern Illinois should be stronger than Bowling Green.
Result: The Huskies topped the Falcons 45-20 as Joel Bouagnon scored 5 TDs.

We could not get our predictions online on time for the above games so that they are not counted this week in our own results.

Wednesday, November 2, 2016

Toledo at Akron
The Rockets were favored over the Zips by 9 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Toledo by 9.72 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64 points.
Our Call: 41-31 for Toledo. After the Toledo loss to Ohio and the Akron loss to Buffalo, this is a difficult one to predict. Interestingly, Ohio and Buffalo meet this week. At cfbstats.com: total offense: Toledo 6th Akron 71st: total defense: Toledo 42nd Akron 118th.
Result: The Rockets rolled past Akron 48-17.
By the way, one interesting way to calculate a game spread is to add the total offense and total defense rankings for each team, subtract one from the other and multiply by 2 and then divide by 10. Example: Toledo 6th + 42nd = 48. Akron 71st + 118th = 189. Difference = 141 multiplied by 2 = 282 divided by 10 = a spread of 28.2 points. The actual game result was a spread of 31 points. We may use it to check the viability of some of our own predictions.
This 10th week we are 1-0 in calling the winner, 1-0 against the spread, 1-0 against the CFPT prediction average, and 1-0 against the over/under.

Thursday, November 3, 2016

Buffalo at Ohio
The Bobcats were favored over the Bulls by 19.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio by 17.46 points. The O/U (over/under) was 47.5 points.
Our Call: 34-17 for Ohio.The Bulls came out of nowhere to beat Akron last week and Ohio upset Toledo. At cfbstats.com: total offense: Buffalo 114th  Ohio 51st: total defense: Buffalo 85th Ohio 41st.
Result: The Bobcats clawed the Bulls 34-10. Using our above formula: Buffalo 114th + 85th = 199. Ohio 51st + 41st = 92. Difference = 107 multiplied by 2 = 214 divided by 10 = a spread of 21.4 points.
This 10th week we are 2-0 in calling the winner, 1-1 against the spread, 1-1 against the CFPT prediction average, and 1-1 against the over/under.

Oklahoma at Iowa State
The Sooners were favored over the Cyclones by 19.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 18.21 points. The O/U (over/under) was 72 points.
Our Call: 41-24 for Oklahoma.The Cyclones seem to be tougher at home. At cfbstats.com: total offense: Oklahoma 3rd Iowa State 79th: total defense: Oklahoma 93rd Iowa State 107th.
Result: The Cyclones were tough at home as the Sooners edged Iowa State 34-24, scoring only 2 field goas in the second half. Using our above formula: Oklahoma 3rd + 93rd = 96. Iowa State 79th + 107th = 186. Difference = 93 multiplied by 2 = 186 divided by 10 = a spread of 18.6 points.
This 10th week we are 3-0 in calling the winner, 2-1 against the spread, 2-1 against the CFPT prediction average, and 2-1 against the over/under.

Arkansas State at Georgia State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Panthers by 2 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 0.35 points. The O/U (over/under) was 45.5 points.
Our Call: 27-24 for Arkansas State. After four straight losses, the Red Wolves have won three in a row, all at home. This one is on the road though. At cfbstats.com: total offense: Arkansas State 89th  Georgia State 126th: total defense: Arkansas State 77th Georgia State 58th.
Result: Arkansas State has never lost to Georgia State and won again, this time 31-16. Using our above formula: Arkansas State 89th + 77th = 166. Georgia State 126th + 58th = 184. Difference = 18 multiplied by 2 = 36 divided by 10 = a spread of 3.6 points.
This 10th week we are 4-0 in calling the winner, 3-1 against the spread, 3-1 against the CFPT prediction average, and 3-1 against the over/under.

UCLA at Colorado
The Buffaloes were favored over the Bruins by 10.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado by 10.46 points. The O/U (over/under) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 31-20 for Colorado.The Buffaloes are back. At cfbstats.com: total offense UCLA 56th Colorado 19th: total defense: UCLA 37th Colorado 12th.
Result: Colorado prevailed over UCLA for the first time since the year 2003, winning 20-10. Using our above formula: UCLA 56th + 37th = 93. Colorado 19th + 12th = 31. Difference = 62 multiplied by 2 = 124 divided by 10 = a spread of 12.4 points.
This 10th week we are 5-0 in calling the winner, 3-2 against the spread, 3-2 against the CFPT prediction average, and 4-1 against the over/under.

Friday, November 4, 2016

Central Michigan at Miami of Ohio
The Chippewas were favored over the RedHawks by 3.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Central Michigan by 3.78 points. The O/U (over/under) was 48 points.
Our Call: 30-24 for Central Michigan.The Chippewas beat ranked Oklahoma State early in the season, but then lost their last game to Kent State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Central Michigan 57th Miami of Ohio 112th: total defense: Central Michigan 26th Miami of Ohio 23rd.
Result: Suddenly, Miami of Ohio is playing like a contender, as they popped the Chippewas 37-17. Using our above formula: Central Michigan 57th + 26th = 83. Miami of Ohio 112th + 23rd = 135. Difference = 52 multiplied by 2 = 104 divided by 10 = a spread of 10.4 points favoring the Chippewas.
This 10th week we are 5-1 in calling the winner, 3-3 against the spread, 3-3 against the CFPT prediction average, and 5-1 against the over/under.

Temple at Connecticut
The Owls were favored over the Huskies by 11.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Temple by 11.31 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 30-17 for Temple. Football is often the case of how teams match up. Team A can beat Team B. B can beat C. And C can beat A. Try this for recent comparative scores: UConn (A) beat Cincinnati (B) 20-9, Cincinnati (B) beat East Carolina (C) 31-19 and last week, East Carolina (C) then blew out Connecticut (A) 41-3. QED. Temple beat Cincinnati 34-13.
Result: The Owls shut out UConn 21-0, scoring only in the 1st quarter.
This 10th week we are 6-1 in calling the winner, 4-3 against the spread, 4-3 against the CFPT prediction average, and 6-1 against the over/under.

San Jose State at Boise State
The Broncos were favored over the Spartans by 28 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Boise State by 27.78 points. The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 47-17 for Boise State. The Broncos nearly lost to Colorado State the previous week in a near miraculous Ram recovery and then lost to Wyoming last week. Do they now turn on the engines as a road towards recovery? At cfbstats.com: total offense San Jose State 105th Boise State 27th: total defense: San Jose State 96th Boise State 46th.
Result: The Broncos outscored the Spartans 45-31.
This 10th week we are 7-1 in calling the winner, 4-4 against the spread, 4-4 against the CFPT prediction average, and 7-1 against the over/under.

Saturday, November 5, 2016

Navy vs. Notre Dame at the Jaguars EverBank Field in Jacksonville, Florida
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Midshipmen by 5.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Notre Dame by 1.21 points. The O/U (over/under) was 65.5 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Navy. We rate each team at -2.1 rating points. It is a neutral field. At cfbstats.com: rushing offense Navy 5th Notre Dame 94th; rushing defense Navy 83rd Notre Dame 60th; passing offense Navy 120th Notre Dame 35th; passing defense Navy 89th Notre Dame 68th. Navy has lost the last five meetings. Are the Midshipmen due?
Result: Navy beat the Fighting Irish for only the 5th time in 52 years 28-27.
This 10th week we are 8-1 in calling the winner, 5-4 against the spread, 5-4 against the CFPT prediction average, and 8-1 against the over/under.

Air Force at Army
The Black Knights were favored over the Falcons by 2 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Army by 2.85 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Air Force. At cfbstats.com: rushing offense Army 2nd Air Force 6th; rushing defense Army 7th Air Force 14th; passing offense Army 128th Air Force 118th; passing defense Army 5th Air Force 78th. Air Force has played the tougher schedule: for NCAA Division I, Sagarin at USA Today has Army 132nd Air Force 116th while MasseyRatings has Army 131st Air Force 112th. Our own ratings may rate the Falcon schedule much too strong.
Result: Air Force beat Army 31-12.
This 10th week we are 9-1 in calling the winner, 6-4 against the spread, 6-4 against the CFPT prediction average, and 8-2 against the over/under.

Louisville at Boston College
The Cardinals were favored over the Eagles by 25 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Louisville by 21.14 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for Louisville. At cfbstats.com: total offense Louisville 2nd Boston College 122nd: total defense: Boston College 7th Louisville 10th.
Result: The Cardinals had a 52-7 lead after 3 quarters and that was the final score after a scoreless fourth quarter.
This 10th week we are 10-1 in calling the winner, 6-5 against the spread, 6-5 against the CFPT prediction average, and 9-2 against the over/under.

Vanderbilt at Auburn
The Tigers were favored over the Commodores by 24.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Auburn by 24.10 points. The O/U (over/under) was 45.5 points.
Our Call: 44-10 for Auburn. At cfbstats.com: total offense Auburn 11th Vanderbilt 124th: total defense: Auburn 30th Vanderbilt 62nd.
Result: Auburn struggled to a 23-16 win over Vanderbilt.
This 10th week we are 11-1 in calling the winner, 6-6 against the spread, 6-6 against the CFPT prediction average, and 9-3 against the over/under.

Texas A&M at Mississippi State
The Aggies were favored over the Bulldogs by 12 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Texas A&M by 12.77 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60.5 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Texas A&M. At cfbstats.com: total offense Texas A&M 16th Mississippi State 47th: total defense: Texas A&M 83rd Mississippi State 76th. We see here that the defense of A&M is its Achilles Heel.
Result: Mississippi State pulled off one of the biggger upsets this year, topping highly ranked Texas A&M 35-28.
This 10th week we are 11-2 in calling the winner, 7-6 against the spread, 7-6 against the CFPT prediction average, and 9-4 against the over/under.

Wisconsin at Northwestern
The Badgers were favored over the Wildcats by 5.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Wisconsin by 5.88 points. The O/U (over/under) was 39.5 points.
Our Call: 17-16 for Northwestern.  At cfbstats.com: total offense Wisconsin 96th Northwestern 89th: total defense: Wisconsin 9th Northwestern 72nd. Northwestern beat Wisconsin the last 2 years. The Wildcats started miserably this year but have picked up steadily due to their main strength, which appears to be superb head coaching. Somehow they get the job done in spite of being a smaller school by undergraduate enrollment, similar to Stanford.
Result: Wisconsin prevailed over Northwestern 21-7 in a defensive struggle.
This 10th week we are 12-2 in calling the winner, 7-7 against the spread, 7-7 against the CFPT prediction average, and 10-4 against the over/under.

Georgia Southern at Mississippi
The Rebels were favored over the Eagles by 27 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Ole Miss by 22.25 points. The O/U (over/under) was 63 points.
Our Call: 41-13 for Ole Miss. At cfbstats.com: total offense Georgia Southern 82nd Mississippi 34th: total defense: Georgia Southern 53rd Mississippi 116th.
Result: Ole Miss beat Georgia Southern 37-27 after trailing 14-3 at the end of the 1st quarter, as the Rebels scored 28 points in the 2nd.
This 10th week we are 13-2 in calling the winner, 7-8 against the spread, 7-8 against the CFPT prediction average, and 10-5 against the over/under.

Texas at Texas Tech
The Longhorns were favored over the Red Raiders by 4 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Texas Tech by 0.37 points. The O/U (over/under) was 80 points.
Our Call: 41-40 for Texas Tech. At cfbstats.com: total offense Texas Tech 1st Texas 26th: total defense: Texas 112th Texas Tech 126th.
Result: Texas outscored the Red Raiders 45-37.
This 10th week we are 13-3 in calling the winner, 7-9 against the spread, 7-9 against the CFPT prediction average, and 11-5 against the over/under.

Michigan State at Illinois
The Spartans were favored over the Illini by 9.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Michigan State by 4.85 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Michigan State. The Spartans have had a disastrous year, but looked good in the 4th quarter against Michigan with Brian Lewerke at the helm, who was 6 for 10 for 100 yards and 1 TD, but is now out for the season. At cfbstats.com: Michigan State ranks 81st in the nation in total offense, and only 57th in its traditional specialty, total defense, where this year the Wolverines rule. Last year the Spartans were 26th in total defense and the year before that 8th. This year they have a weak offense with an ineffectual quarterback, and average defense. Illinois this season brought in Lovie Smith from the NFL as new head coach, but thus far the results have been disappointing. The Illini rank 121st in total offense and 61st in total defense.
Result: Illinois upset the struggling Spartans 31-27.
This 10th week we are 13-4 in calling the winner, 7-10 against the spread, 7-10 against the CFPT prediction average, and 12-5 against the over/under.

Indiana at Rutgers
The Hoosiers were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 11.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Indiana by 9.93 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54.5 points.
Our Call: 35-21 for Indiana. At cfbstats.com: total offense Indiana 39th Rutgers 127th: total defense: Indiana 59th Rutgers 88th.
Result: Indiana beat the Scarlet Knights 33-27.
This 10th week we are 14-4 in calling the winner, 7-11 against the spread, 7-11 against the CFPT prediction average, and 13-5 against the over/under.

Georgia Tech at North Carolina
The Tar Heels were favored over the Yellow Jackets by 11 points. The CFPT prediction average favored North Carolina by 10.50 points. The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for North Carolina. At cfbstats.com: total offense Georgia Tech 83rd North Carolina 45th: total defense: Georgia Tech 40th North Carolina 60th.
Result: The Tar Heels topped the Yellow Jackets 48-20 .
This 10th week we are 15-4 in calling the winner, 7-12 against the spread, 7-12 against the CFPT prediction average, and 14-5 against the over/under.

Pittsburgh at Miami of Florida
The Hurricanes were favored over the Panthers by 3.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Miami by 3.65 points. The O/U (over/under) was 61 points.
Our Call: 31-27 for Miami. At cfbstats.com: total offense Pittsburgh 55th Miami 70th: total defense: Pittsburgh 70th Miami 27th.
Result: The Hurricanes ended a four-game losing streak with a strong win over Pittsburgh 51-28.
This 10th week we are 16-4 in calling the winner, 8-12 against the spread, 8-12 against the CFPT prediction average, and 14-6 against the over/under.

Monmouth at Coastal Carolina
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points.  The O/U (over/under) was ?? points.
Our Call: 41-17 for Coastal Carolina.
Result: The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers topped the Monmouth Hawks 38-17.
This 10th week we are 17-4 in calling the winner, 8-12 against the spread, 8-12 against the CFPT prediction average, and 14-6 against the over/under.

UTSA (Texas San Antonio) at Middle Tennessee (MTSU)
The Blue Raiders were favored over the Roadrunners by 17 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Middle Tennessee by 14.57 points. The O/U (over/under) was 62 points.
Our Call: 41-27 for Middle Tennessee. At cfbstats.com: total offense UTSA 88th MTSU 7th: total defense:  UTSA 68th  MTSU 95th. The Roadrunners have not lost by more than 14 this year.
Result: UTSA upset highly favored Middle Tennessee handily by 45-25.
This 10th week we are 17-5 in calling the winner, 9-12 against the spread, 9-12 against the CFPT prediction average, and 15-6 against the over/under.

Virginia at Wake Forest
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Cavaliers by 2 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Wake Forest by 5.40 points. The O/U (over/under) was 45 points.
Our Call: 30-17 for Wake Forest. At cfbstats.com: total offense Virginia 97th Wake Forest 120th: total defense: Virginia 113th Wake Forest 45th.
Result: Wake Forest edged Virgnia with 10-point 4th quarter 27-20.
This 10th week we are 18-5 in calling the winner, 10-12 against the spread, 10-12 against the CFPT prediction average, and 16-6 against the over/under.

Maryland at Michigan
The Wolverines were favored over the Terrapins by 30.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Maryland by 29.33 points. The O/U (over/under) was 57 points.
Our Call: 41-13 for Michigan. At cfbstats.com: total offense Maryland 52nd Michigan 31st: total defense: Maryland 63rd Michigan 1st.
Result: The Wolverines ran roughshod over the Terps 59-3.
This 10th week we are 19-5 in calling the winner, 10-13 against the spread, 10-13 against the CFPT prediction average, and 16-7 against the over/under.

Syracuse at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Orange by 26 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 26.81 points. The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.
Our Call: 41-24 for Clemson. At cfbstats.com: total offense Syracuse 25th Clemson 30th: total defense: Syracuse 105th Clemson 14th.
Result: Clemson destroyed Syracuse 54-0.
This 10th week we are 20-5 in calling the winner, 10-14 against the spread, 10-14 against the CFPT prediction average, and 16-8 against the over/under.

Oklahoma State at Kansas State
The Wildcats were favored over the Cowboys by 1.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma State by 1.19 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for Kansas State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Oklahoma State 35th Kansas State 107th: total defense: Oklahoma State 101st Kansas State 31st. Here we see that the offenses and defenses balance out so we see this game as a matter of home field advantage.
Result: The Cowboys recovered from a 37-28 deficit in the 4th quarter to win 43-34. One does not expect K-State to give up a lead like that towards the end of the game. Is Bill Snyder losing the magic touch?
This 10th week we are 20-6 in calling the winner, 10-15 against the spread, 10-15 against the CFPT prediction average, and 16-9 against the over/under.

Virginia Tech at Duke
The Hokies were favored over the Blue Devils by 12 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Virginia Tech by 12.03 points. The O/U (over/under) was 52.5 points.
Our Call: 35-21 for Virginia Tech. At cfbstats.com: total offense Virginia Tech 40th Duke 69th: total defense:  Virginia Tech 15th Duke 56th.
Result: The Hokies squeaked past the Blue Devils 24-21.
This 10th week we are 21-6 in calling the winner, 10-16 against the spread, 10-16 against the CFPT prediction average, and 16-10 against the over/under.

Purdue at Minnesota
The Golden Gophers were favored over the Boilermakers by 16.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Minnesota by 18.84 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 37-21 for Minnesota. At cfbstats.com: total offense Purdue 62nd Minnesota 94th: total defense: Purdue 104th Minnesota 21st.
Result: Minnesota trailed 28-23 at the half but came back to win 44-31.
This 10th week we are 22-6 in calling the winner, 11-16 against the spread, 11-16 against the CFPT prediction average, and 16-11 against the over/under.

Texas State at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Bobcatsd by 31.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Appalachian State by 30.64 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54.5 points.
Our Call: 42-14 for Appalachian State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Texas State 117th Appalachian State 77th: total defense: Texas State 121st Appalachian State 19th.
Result: The Mountaineers rode a 28-3 halftime cushion ta a 35-10 win.
This 10th week we are 23-6 in calling the winner, 12-16 against the spread, 12-16 against the CFPT prediction average, and 16-12 against the over/under.

Oregon State at Stanford
The Cardinal were favored over the Beavers by 14.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Stanford by 17.99 points. The O/U (over/under) was 42.5 points.
Our Call: 31-17 for Stanford. At cfbstats.com: total offense Oregon State 11th Stanford 124th: total defense: Oregon State 103rd Stanford 128th. We say this as a Stanford Law School alum: There appears to be no excuse for a football program with Stanford quality to rank at the bottom of FBS football in offense. Do appropriate coaching changes need to be made in the program?
Result: Stanford prevailed over the Beavers 26-15.
This 10th week we are 24-6 in calling the winner, 13-16 against the spread, 13-16 against the CFPT prediction average, and 16-13 against the over/under.

Florida at Arkansas
The Gators were favored over the Razorbacks by 4 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Florida by 4.12 points. The O/U (over/under) was 48 points.
Our Call: 27-20 for Florida. At cfbstats.com: total offense Florida 75th Arkansas 61st: total defense: Florida 2nd Arkansas 87th.
Result: The Razorbacks won their first SEC conference game of the season and upset the Gators 31-10, outgaining them 466 to 241 yards.
This 10th week we are 24-7 in calling the winner, 13-17 against the spread, 13-17 against the CFPT prediction average, and 17-13 against the over/under.

TCU at Baylor
The Bears were favored over the Horned Frogs by 10 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Baylor by 11.21 points. The O/U (over/under) was 70 points.
Our Call: 38-24 for Baylor. At cfbstats.com: total offense TCU 24th Baylor 4th: total defense: TCU 67th Baylor 25th.
Result: The Horned Frogs crushed the Bears 62-22.
This 10th week we are 24-8 in calling the winner, 13-18 against the spread, 13-18 against the CFPT prediction average, and 17-14 against the over/under.

Florida Atlantic (FAU) at Rice
The Rice Owls were favored over the Florida Atlantic Owls by 2.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Rice by 5.90 points. The O/U (over/under) was 59.5 points.
Our Call: 33-27 for Rice. At cfbstats.com: total offense FAU 119th Rice 101st: total defense: FAU 120th Rice 128th.
Result: Florida Atlantic topped Rice 42-25, putting Rice squarely at the bottom of the FBS ranking ladder.
This 10th week we are 24-9 in calling the winner, 13-19 against the spread, 13-19 against the CFPT prediction average, and 18-14 against the over/under.

Charlotte at Southern Mississippi
The Golden Eagles were favored over the 49ers by 19.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Miss by 19.78 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64.5 points.
Our Call: 44-24 for Southern Miss. At cfbstats.com: total offense Charlotte 86th Southern Miss 22nd: total defense: Charlotte 94th Southern Miss 16th. The Golden Eagles record appears to be far below their stat-based potential.
Result: The 49ers stunned the Golden Eagles 38-27.
This 10th week we are 24-10 in calling the winner, 13-20 against the spread, 13-20 against the CFPT prediction average, and 19-14 against the over/under.

Fresno State at Colorado State
The Rams were favored over the Bulldogs by 14.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado State by 15.78 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 38-17 for Colorado State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Fresno State 111th Colorado State 66th: total defense: Fresno State 89th Colorado State 75th.
Result: The resurgent Rams blitzed Fresno State 37-0.
This 10th week we are 25-10 in calling the winner, 14-20 against the spread, 14-20 against the CFPT prediction average, and 19-15 against the over/under.

BYU at Cincinnati
The Cougars were favored over the Bearcats by 9.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored BYU by 9.29 points. The O/U (over/under) was 50 points.
Our Call: 30-27 for BYU. At cfbstats.com: total offense BYU 78th Cincinnati 84th: total defense: BYU 82nd Cincinnati 92nd.
Result: The Cougars topped the Bearcats 20-3.
This 10th week we are 26-10 in calling the winner, 14-21 against the spread, 14-21 against the CFPT prediction average, and 19-16 against the over/under.

Massachusetts at Troy
The Trojans were favored over the Minutemen by 22 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 21.94 points. The O/U (over/under) was 56.5 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for Troy. At cfbstats.com: total offense UMass 115th Troy 28th: total defense: UMass 103rd Troy 43rd.
Result: Troy outscored the Minutemen 52-31.
This 10th week we are 27-10 in calling the winner, 14-22 against the spread, 14-22 against the CFPT prediction average, and 20-16 against the over/under.

Missouri at South Carolina
The Gamecocks were favored over the Tigers by 6.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored South Carolina by 4.72 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51 points.
Our Call: 26-23 for South Carolina. At cfbstats.com: total offense Missouri 21st South Carolina 123rd: total defense: Missouri 117th South Carolina 48th.
Result: The Gamecocks beat the Tigers 31-21.
This 10th week we are 28-10 in calling the winner, 14-23 against the spread, 14-23 against the CFPT prediction average, and 20-17 against the over/under.

Tennessee Tech at Tennessee
The Vols were favored over the Golden Eagles by 44 points. The O/U (over/under) was 65.5 points.
Our Call: 49-7 for Tennessee.The Volunteers have disappointed this year but the stats show us clearly why that is so. At cfbstats.com: Vols total offense 92nd: total defense: 69th.
Result: The Volunteers beat the Golden Eagles 55-0.
This 10th week we are 29-10 in calling the winner, 14-24 against the spread, 14-24 against the CFPT prediction average, and 20-18 against the over/under.

Arizona at Washington State
The Cougars were favored over the Wildcats by 15.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Washington State by 19.30 points. The O/U (over/under) was 66 points.
Our Call: 42-21 for Washington State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Arizona 63rd Washington State 23rd: total defense: Arizona 108th Washington State 51st.
Result: The Cougars trounced the Wildcats 69-7.
This 10th week we are 30-10 in calling the winner, 15-24 against the spread, 15-24 against the CFPT prediction average, and 20-19 against the over/under.

Memphis at SMU
The Tigers were favored over the Mustangs by 3.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Memphis by 2.93 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64 points.
Our Call: 31-30 for SMU. At cfbstats.com: total offense Memphis 43rd SMU 60th: total defense: Memphis 89th SMU 86th.
Result: Memphis dominated SMU 51-7.
This 10th week we are 30-11 in calling the winner, 15-25 against the spread, 15-25 against the CFPT prediction average, and 21-19 against the over/under.

Idaho at Louisiana Lafayette (LA Lafayette, ULL)
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Vandals by 5.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored ULL by 3.10 points. The O/U (over/under) was 55.5 points.
Our Call: 33-27 for ULL. At cfbstats.com: total offense Idaho 99th ULL 93rd: total defense: Idaho 111th ULL 50th.
Result: The Vandals ransacked the Ragin' Cajuns 23-13.
This 10th week we are 30-12 in calling the winner, 15-26 against the spread, 15-26 against the CFPT prediction average, and 21-20 against the over/under.

South Alabama at Louisiana Monroe (LA Monroe, ULM)
The Jaguars were favored over the Warhawks by 13 points. The CFPT prediction average favored South Alabama by 11.49 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for South Alabama. At cfbstats.com: total offense South Alabama 110th ULM 91st: total defense: South Alabama 39th 119th.
Result: Louisiana Monroe upset the Jaguars in overtime 42-35.
This 10th week we are 30-13 in calling the winner, 16-26 against the spread, 16-26 against the CFPT prediction average, and 22-20 against the over/under.

Tulane at UCF (Central Florida)
The Knights were favored over the Green Wave by 15 points. The CFPT prediction average favored UCF by 13.08 points. The O/U (over/under) was 53.5 points.
Our Call: 30-17 for UCF. At cfbstats.com: total offense Tulane 108th UCF 95th: total defense: Tulane 36th UCF 33rd. We root for UCF and former Husker great, now Knights 1st-year head coach Scott Frost but Tulane has a strong new head coach in former Georgia Southern head coach Willie Fritz.
Result: After trailing 6-0 in the 1st quarter, the Knights blitzed Tulane 37-6.
This 10th week we are 31-13 in calling the winner, 16-27 against the spread, 16-27 against the CFPT prediction average, and 23-20 against the over/under.

Florida International (FIU) at Western Kentucky
The Hilltoppers were favored over the Golden Panthers by 26.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Western Kentucky by 26.88 points. The O/U (over/under) was 65.5 points.
Our Call: 49-24 for Western Kentucky. At cfbstats.com: total offense FIU 87th Western Kentucky 12th: total defense: FIU 81st Western Kentucky 55th.
Result: Western Kentucky prevailed easily over FIU 49-21.
This 10th week we are 32-13 in calling the winner, 16-28 against the spread, 16-28 against the CFPT prediction average, and 24-20 against the over/under.

Louisiana Tech at North Texas
The Bulldogs were favored over the Mean Green by 19.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Louisiana Tech by 11.52 points. The O/U (over/under) was 67.5 points.
Our Call: 37-30 for Louisiana Tech. At cfbstats.com: total offense Louisiana Tech 5th North Texas 109th: total defense: Louisiana Tech 74th North Texas 64th.
Result: Louisiana Tech's offense was too much for the Mean Green 45-24.
This 10th week we are 33-13 in calling the winner, 16-29 against the spread, 16-29 against the CFPT prediction average, and 24-21 against the over/under.

Marshall at Old Dominion
The Monarchs were favored over the Thundering Herd by 8 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Old Dominion by 8.48 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 37-27 for Old Dominion. At cfbstats.com: total offense Marshall 104th Old Dominion 65th: total defense: Marshall 115th Old Dominion 66th.
Result: Old Dominion topped Marshall 38-14.
This 10th week we are 34-13 in calling the winner, 17-29 against the spread, 17-29 against the CFPT prediction average, and 24-22 against the over/under.

Florida State at North Carolina State
The Seminoles were favored over the Wolfpack by 8 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Florida State by 7.87 points. The O/U (over/under) was 58 points.
Our Call: 34-27 for Florida State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Florida State 29th North Carolina State 73rd: total defense: Florida State 65th North Carolina State 28th.
Result: The Seminoles came back from a 20-10 deficit to win 24-20.
This 10th week we are 35-13 in calling the winner, 18-29 against the spread, 18-29 against the CFPT prediction average, and 24-23 against the over/under.

Hawaii at San Diego State
The Aztecs were favored over the Warriors by 21 points. The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 19.95 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 41-17 for San Diego State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Hawaii 67th San Diego State 59th: total defense: Hawaii 110th San Diego State 5th.
Result: The Aztecs shut out the Warriors 55-0 in a blowout win.
This 10th week we are 36-13 in calling the winner, 19-29 against the spread, 19-29 against the CFPT prediction average, and 25-23 against the over/under.

Oregon at USC
The Trojans were favored over the Ducks by 14 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Southern Cal by 12.60 points. The O/U (over/under) was 75.5 points.
Our Call: 41-31 for USC. At cfbstats.com: total offense Oregon 9th USC 37th: total defense: Oregon 127th USC 49th.
Result: The Trojans beat the Ducks convincingly 45-20.
This 10th week we are 37-13 in calling the winner, 19-30 against the spread, 19-30 against the CFPT prediction average, and 26-23 against the over/under.

Kansas at West Virginia
The Mountaineers were favored over the Jayhawks by 34.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored West Virginia by 32.96 points. The O/U (over/under) was 56 points.
Our Call: 45-13 for West Virginia. At cfbstats.com: total offense Kansas 118th West Virginia 18th: total defense: Kansas 102nd West Virginia 52nd.
Result: West Virginia prevailed over Kansas 48-21.
This 10th week we are 38-13 in calling the winner, 20-30 against the spread, 20-30 against the CFPT prediction average, and 27-23 against the over/under.

Iowa at Penn State
The NIttany Lions were favored over the Hawkeyes by 6.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Penn State by 7.29 points. The O/U (over/under) was 53 points.
Our Call: 34-24 for Penn State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Iowa 113th Penn State 80th: total defense: Iowa 44th Penn State 47th.
Result: Penn State put its offense into high gear in a 41-14 win.
This 10th week we are 39-13 in calling the winner, 21-30 against the spread, 21-30 against the CFPT prediction average, and 28-23 against the over/under.

Georgia at Kentucky
The Bulldogs were favored over the Wildcats by 3 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Georgia by 0.26 points. The O/U (over/under) was 52 points.
Our Call: 27-26 for Kentucky. At total offense Georgia 100th Kentucky 71st: total defense: Georgia 18th Kentucky 80th. We would ordinarily have Georgia by 3 based on a home field advantage of 3 points for the Wildcats, but Kambour calculates a home field advantage of 6.7202 points.
Result: The Bulldogs came back from a 21-13 deficit to win 27-24.
This 10th week we are 39-14 in calling the winner, 21-30-1 against the spread, 21-31 against the CFPT prediction average, and 28-24 against the over/under.

Alabama at LSU
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Tigers by 7.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Alabama by 10.02 points. The O/U (over/under) was 50 points.
Our Call: 27-26  for LSU. At cfbstats.com: total offense Alabama 17th LSU 53rd: total defense: Alabama 4th LSU 13th. Our stats would favor the Crimson Tide by 9 points. Kambour calculates a home field advantage for LSU of 4.5178 points. We add an Orgeron-bonus of 5 points. It could go either way.
Result: The Crimson Tide and LSU played 0-0 for three quarters, but Alabama put 10 points on the board in the last stanza to win 10-0, holding LSU to 125 yards total offense.
This 10th week we are 39-15 in calling the winner, 21-31-1 against the spread, 22-31 against the CFPT prediction average, and 28-25 against the over/under.

Nebraska at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Cornhuskers by 13.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Ohio State by 15.15 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call: 30-23 for Ohio State. At cfbstats.com: total offense Ohio State 20th Nebraska 48th: total defense: Ohio State 6th Nebraska 20th. Schedule rank Division I: Sagarin Ohio State 33rd Nebraska 59th; MasseyRatings Ohio State 14th Nebraska 50th. As a Nebraska undergraduate alum, we add a "hope" bonus of one touchdown.
Result: 62-3 for the Buckeyes in a romp as Nebraska passed 33 times, completing only 9 and rushed 24 times for 78 yards. As a Husker alum from the "good old days" we increasingly cheer on Scott Frost at UCF and Craig Bohl at Wyoming. 
This 10th week we are 40-15 in calling the winner, 21-32-1 against the spread, 22-32 against the CFPT prediction average, and 28-26 against the over/under.

Houston Baptist at UTEP
The Miners were favored over the Huskies by 22.5 points. The O/U (over/under) was 52 points.
Our Call: 44-17 for UTEP.
Result: UTEP topped Houston Baptist 42-10.
This 10th week we are 41-15 in calling the winner, 22-32-1 against the spread, 22-32 against the CFPT prediction average, and 28-26-1 against the over/under.

East Carolina at Tulsa
The Golden Hurricane were favored over the Pirates by 7 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Tulsa by 11.52 points. The O/U (over/under) was 72.5 points.
Our Call: 34-31 for Tulsa. At cfbstats.com: total offense East Carolina 13th Tulsa 15th: total defense: East Carolina 73rd Tulsa 78th.
Result: Tulsa cruised to 45-24 victory.
This 10th week we are 42-15 in calling the winner, 22-33-1 against the spread, 22-33 against the CFPT prediction average, and 29-26-1 against the over/under.

Nevada at New Mexico
The Lobos were favored over the Wolf Pack by 12.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored New Mexico by 11.68 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60.5 points.
Our Call: 37-30 for New Mexico. At cfbstats.com: total offense Nevada 102nd New Mexico 36th: total defense: Nevada 99th New Mexico 35th. The Lobos have excellent stats, but against one of the weakest schedules.
Result: The Lobos topped the Wolf Pack 35-26.
This 10th week we are 43-15 in calling the winner, 23-33-1 against the spread, 23-33 against the CFPT prediction average, and 30-26-1 against the over/under.

Utah State at Wyoming
The Cowboys were favored over the Aggies by 7 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Wyoming by 7.30 points. The O/U (over/under) was 58.5 points.
Our Call: 31-30 for Wyoming. At cfbstats.com: total offense Utah State 98th Wyoming 49th: total defense: Utah State 34th Wyoming 100th.
Result: Wyoming beat the Aggies 52-28.
This 10th week we are 44-15 in calling the winner, 23-34-1 against the spread, 23-34 against the CFPT prediction average, and 31-26-1 against the over/under.

Washington at California
The Huskies were favored over the Golden Bears by 15.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Washington by 16.17 points. The O/U (over/under) was 77.5 points.
Our Call: 41-27 for Washington. At cfbstats.com: total offense Washington 32nd California 8th: total defense: Washington 17th California 124th.
Result: The Huskies rolled past the Golden Bears 66-27.
This 10th week we finished 45-15 in calling the winner, 23-35-1 against the spread, 23-35 against the CFPT prediction average, and 31-27-1 against the over/under.

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Sky Earth Native America


Sky Earth Native America 1 :
American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy
,
Volume 1, Edition 2, 266 pages, by Andis Kaulins.

  • Sky Earth Native America 2 :
    American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
    Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy
    ,
    Volume 2, Edition 2, 262 pages, by Andis Kaulins.

  • Both volumes have the same cover except for the labels "Volume 1" viz. "Volume 2".
    The image on the cover was created using public domain space photos of Earth from NASA.

    -----

    Both book volumes contain the following basic book description:
    "Alice Cunningham Fletcher observed in her 1902 publication in the American Anthropologist
    that there is ample evidence that some ancient cultures in Native America, e.g. the Pawnee in Nebraska,
    geographically located their villages according to patterns seen in stars of the heavens.
    See Alice C. Fletcher, Star Cult Among the Pawnee--A Preliminary Report,
    American Anthropologist, 4, 730-736, 1902.
    Ralph N. Buckstaff wrote:
    "These Indians recognized the constellations as we do, also the important stars,
    drawing them according to their magnitude.
    The groups were placed with a great deal of thought and care and show long study.
    ... They were keen observers....
    The Pawnee Indians must have had a knowledge of astronomy comparable to that of the early white men."
    See Ralph N. Buckstaff, Stars and Constellations of a Pawnee Sky Map,
    American Anthropologist, Vol. 29, Nr. 2, April-June 1927, pp. 279-285, 1927.
    In our book, we take these observations one level further
    and show that megalithic sites and petroglyphic rock carving and pictographic rock art in Native America,
    together with mounds and earthworks, were made to represent territorial geographic landmarks
    placed according to the stars of the sky using the ready map of the starry sky
    in the hermetic tradition, "as above, so below".
    That mirror image of the heavens on terrestrial land is the "Sky Earth" of Native America,
    whose "rock stars" are the real stars of the heavens, "immortalized" by rock art petroglyphs, pictographs,
    cave paintings, earthworks and mounds of various kinds (stone, earth, shells) on our Earth.
    These landmarks were placed systematically
    in North America, Central America (Meso-America) and South America
    and can to a large degree be reconstructed as the Sky Earth of Native America."

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