LEVEL 1 - CHAMPIONS - rating (plus) +2.50 and higher : LSU, Clemson, Ohio State, Alabama
LEVEL 2 - STRONGEST CHALLENGERS : rating (plus) +2.49 to (plus) +0.49 : Oklahoma, Georgia, Florida, Oregon, Wisconsin, Michigan, Notre Dame, Penn State, Auburn, Baylor
LEVEL 3 - MEDIUM-STRENGTH CHALLENGERS in the TOP 25 : rating (plus) +0.50 to (minus) -0.25 : Iowa, Minnesota, USC, Texas A&M, Texas, Utah, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, Memphis, Cincinnati, UCF
LEVEL 4 - STRIVING TOWARD TOP 25 RECOGNITION : rating (minus) -0.26 to (minus) -0.99 : Washington, Navy, TCU, Tennessee, Appalachian State, North Carolina, Michigan State, Boise State, Kansas State, South Carolina, Arizona State, Mississippi State, Mississippi, Louisiana (UL Lafayette), Indiana, Nebraska, Kentucky, Air Force, Virginia, Washington State
LEVEL 5 - RISING ABOVE FOOTBALL AVERAGEDOM : rating (minus) -1.00 to (minus) -1.29 : SMU, Virginia Tech, Pittsburgh, Tulane, Missouri, Florida State, Louisville, Miami of Florida, Oregon State, California, West Virginia, Kansas
Level 6 - ENTRENCHED IN FOOTBALL AVERAGEDOM : rating (minus) -1.30 to (minus) -1.99 : Arizona, Temple, UCLA, Hawaii, San Diego State, BYU, Stanford, Texas Tech, Illinois, Tulsa, Utah State, Colorado, Wyoming, Purdue, Marshall, Florida Atlantic, Maryland
Level 7 - FALLEN BELOW FOOTBALL AVERAGEDOM : rating (minus) -2.00 to (minus) -2.49 : Wake Forest, Boston College, Northwestern, Fresno State, Syracuse, Western Kentucky, Colorado State, Georgia Tech, UAB, Central Michigan, Houston, San Jose State, Louisiana Tech, South Florida, Duke, Southern Miss, Liberty, Arkansas State
Level 8 - THE LOWER LEVELS : rating (minus) -2.50 to (minus) -2.99 : Arkansas, Georgia Southern, North Carolina State, Miami of Ohio, Ohio, Vanderbilt, Buffalo, Kent State, Western Michigan, Charlotte, Ball State, Louisiana Monroe, Florida International, Eastern Michigan, Middle Tennessee, Georgia State, Nevada, Northern Illinois, Toledo
Level 9 - THE LOWER FRINGES : rating (minus) -3.00 to (minus) -3.99 : North Texas, Troy, Coastal Carolina, Army, Texas State, East Carolina, UNLV, Rutgers, South Alabama, UTSA, New Mexico, Rice
Level 10 - BEYOND THE PALE - NOWHERE TO GO BUT UP : rating (minus) -4.00 to (minus) -4.99 : New Mexico State, Bowling Green, Connecticut, Old Dominion, UTEP, Massachusetts, Akron
YPP stats from cfbstats.com
Schedule Difficulty (SD) is based on the Massey Ratings
-- but in many cases we have adjusted them and marked those by an asterisk *
(* = adjusted).
Schedule Difficulty stats are rough approximations - just compare the ColleyMatrix to see how much they can diverge.
NAYPPA = Net Average Yards Per Play Advantage - Calculation by SportPundit.
AYPP = Adjusted Yards Per Play. The "calculation of rank" is made by taking NAYPPA minus the "calibration adjustment for schedule difficulty" = CSD (3 x SD divided by 100). We do all calculations in our head, which can be done swiftly, but there may be error as a result of doing things too fast, so we make no guarantees as to accuracy.
The system is not perfect! But it can give a good idea of the relative strengths of many of the teams without looking at the margin of victory or won-loss records against varied opposition and under various circumstances. Some placements are curious, but on the whole, the rankings can be quite useful.
SportPundit NCAA Division I FBS College Football Rankings 2019 after Bowls and Playoffs (rank is determined by AYPP, the adjusted yards per play rating).
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 1 | LSU | 7.89 | 5.11 | +2.78 | 1 -0.00 +2.78 | 15-0 |
| 2 | Clemson | 7.38 | 4.46 | +2.92 | 7 -0.51 +2.71 | 14-1 |
| 3 | Ohio State | 6.94 | 4.13 | +2.81 | *3 -0.09 +2.71 | 13-1 |
| 4 | Alabama | 7.89 | 4.81 | +3.07 | 12 -0.36 +2.71 | 11-2 |
| 5 | Oklahoma | 7.96 | 5.63 | +2.33 | 9 -0.27 +2.06 | 12-2 |
| 6 | Georgia | 6.08 | 4.29 | +1.79 | 6 -0.18 +1.55 | 12-2 |
| 7 | Florida | 6.47 | 4.90 | +1.57 | 15 -0.45 +1.12 | 11-2 |
| 8 | Oregon | 6.34 | 4.73 | +1.61 | 19 -0.57 +1.04 | 12-2 |
| 9 | Wisconsin | 6.30 | 4.79 | +1.51 | *16 -0.48 +1.03 | 10-4 |
| 10 | Michigan | 5.77 | 4.72 | +1.05 | 4 -0.12 +0.93 | 9-4 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | 6.30 | 4.67 | +1.63 | 25 -0.75 +0.88 | 11-2 |
| 12 | Penn State | 6.05 | 4.82 | +1.23 | 14 -0.42 +0.81 | 11-2 |
| 13 | Auburn | 5.58 | 4.84 | +0.74 | 2 -0.03 +0.71 | 9-4 |
| 14 | Baylor | 6.22 | 4.89 | +1.33 | 23 -0.69 +0.64 | 11-3 |
| 15 | Iowa | 5.52 | 4.80 | +0.72 | *10 -0.30 +0.42 | 10-3 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 16 | Minnesota | 6.36 | 5.06 | +1.30 | *30 -0.90 +0.40 | 11-2 |
| 17 | USC | 6.52 | 5.70 | +0.82 | 17 -0.51 +0.31 | 8-5 |
| 18 | Texas A&M | 5.82 | 5.25 | +0.57 | 11 -0.33 +0.24 | 8-5 |
| 19 | Texas | 6.37 | 6.11 | +0.26 | *3 -0.09 +0.17 | 8-5 |
| 20 | Utah | 6.59 | 4.64 | +1.95 | *60 -1.80 +0.15 | 11-3 |
| 21 | Oklahoma St. | 6.39 | 5.79 | +0.60 | *15 -0.45 +0.15 | 8-5 |
| 22 | Iowa State | 6.45 | 5.36 | +1.09 | *35 -1.05 +0.04 | 7-6 |
| 23 | Memphis | 6.85 | 5.37 | +1.48 | *50 -1.50 -0.02 | 12-2 |
| 24 | Cincinnati | 5.55 | 5.21 | +0.34 | *15 -0.45 -0.11 | 11-3 |
| 25 | UCF | 6.92 | 4.57 | +2.35 | *85 -2.55 -0.20 | 10-3 |
| 26 | Washington | 5.83 | 5.11 | +0.72 | 33 -0.97 -0.27 | 8-5 |
| 27 | Navy | 6.76 | 5.26 | +1.50 | *60 -1.80 -0.30 | 11-2 |
| 28 | TCU | 5.51 | 5.37 | +0.14 | *19 -0.57 -0.43 | 5-7 |
| 29 | Tennessee | 5.82 | 5.04 | +0.78 | 41 -1.23 -0.45 | 8-5 |
| 30 | Appalachian St. | 6.26 | 5.01 | +1.25 | *57 -1.71 -0.46 | 13-1 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 31 | North Carolina | 6.43 | 5.43 | +1.00 | *50 -1.50 -0.50 | 7-6 |
| 32 | Michigan State | 5.19 | 4.96 | +0.23 | *25 -0.75 -0.52 | 7-6 |
| 33 | Boise State | 6.05 | 5.22 | +0.83 | *45 -1.35 -0.52 | 12-2 |
| 34 | Kansas State | 5.55 | 6.17 | -0.62 | **0 -0.00 -0.62 | 8-5 |
| 35 | South Carolina | 5.18 | 5.53 | -0.35 | 10 -0.30 -0.65 | 4-8 |
| 36 | Arizona State | 5.74 | 5.51 | +0.23 | *30 -0.90 -0.67 | 8-5 |
| 37 | Mississippi State | 6.16 | 6.30 | -0.14 | *18 -0.54 -0.68 | 6-7 |
| 38 | Mississippi | 6.00 | 5.82 | +0.18 | *29 -0.87 -0.69 | 4-8 |
| 39 | Louisiana-Laf. | 7.01 | 5.45 | +1.56 | *75 -2.25 -0.69 | 11-3 |
| 40 | Indiana | 6.08 | 5.36 | +0.72 | 50 -1.47 -0.75 | 8-5 |
| 41 | Nebraska | 5.76 | 5.61 | +0.15 | *30 -0.90 -0.75 | 5-7 |
| 42 | Kentucky | 6.17 | 5.21 | +0.96 | 57 -1.71 -0.75 | 8-5 |
| 43 | Air Force | 6.22 | 5.53 | +0.69 | *50 -1.50 -0.81 | 11-2 |
| 44 | Virginia | 5.66 | 5.75 | -0.09 | *25 -0.75 -0.84 | 9-5 |
| 45 | Washington St. | 7.14 | 6.64 | +0.50 | 45 -1.35 -0.85 | 6-7 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 46 | SMU | 6.14 | 5.76 | +0.38 | *44 -1.32 -1.00 | 10-3 |
| 47 | Virginia Tech | 5.65 | 5.20 | +0.45 | *50 -1.50 -1.05 | 8-5 |
| 48 | Pittsburgh | 5.18 | 4.50 | +0.68 | *60 -1.80 -1.12 | 8-5 |
| 49 | Tulane | 6.16 | 5.49 | +0.67 | *60 -1.80 -1.13 | 7-6 |
| 50 | Missouri | 5.27 | 4.86 | +0.41 | 52 -1.56 -1.15 | 6-6 |
| 51 | Florida State | 5.84 | 5.31 | +0.53 | 56 -1.68 -1.15 | 6-7 |
| 52 | Louisville | 6.68 | 6.33 | +0.35 | *50 -1.50 -1.15 | 8-5 |
| 53 | Miami of Florida | 5.66 | 4.74 | +0.92 | 70 -2.10 -1.18 | 6-7 |
| 54 | Oregon State | 5.95 | 6.05 | -0.10 | *36 -1.08 -1.18 | 5-7 |
| 55 | California | 5.08 | 5.37 | -0.29 | *30 -0.90 -1.19 | 8-5 |
| 56 | West Virginia | 4.90 | 5.48 | -0.58 | 21 -0.63 -1.21 | 5-7 |
| 57 | Kansas | 5.86 | 6.15 | -0.29 | 31 -0.93 -1.22 | 3-9 |
| 58 | Arizona | 6.05 | 6.36 | -0.31 | *35 -1.05 -1.36 | 4-8 |
| 59 | Temple | 5.36 | 4.93 | +0.43 | *60 -1.80 -1.37 | 8-5 |
| 60 | UCLA | 5.31 | 6.71 | -1.40 | *1 -0.00 -1.40 | 4-8 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 61 | Hawaii | 6.69 | 6.29 | +0.40 | *60 -1.80 -1.40 | 9-5 |
| 62 | San Diego State | 4.78 | 4.65 | -0.13 | *52 -1.56 -1.43 | 10-3 |
| 63 | BYU | 6.18 | 5.60 | +0.58 | 68 -2.04 -1.46 | 7-6 |
| 64 | Stanford | 5.59 | 6.30 | -0.71 | 25 -0.75 -1.46 | 4-8 |
| 65 | Texas Tech | 6.09 | 6.59 | -0.50 | 32 -0.96 -1.46 | 4-8 |
| 66 | Illinois | 5.00 | 5.60 | -0.60 | *30 -0.90 -1.50 | 6-7 |
| 67 | Tulsa | 5.32 | 5.67 | -0.35 | 39 -1.17 -1.52 | 4-8 |
| 68 | Utah State | 5.81 | 5.64 | +0.17 | *60 -1.80 -1.63 | 7-6 |
| 69 | Colorado | 5.50 | 6.51 | -1.01 | 21 -0.63 -1.64 | 5-7 |
| 70 | Wyoming | 5.49 | 5.03 | +0.46 | *70 -2.10 -1.64 | 8-5 |
| 71 | Purdue | 5.47 | 6.02 | -0.55 | 37 -1.11 -1.66 | 4-8 |
| 72 | Marshall | 5.77 | 5.54 | +0.23 | *70 -2.10 -1.87 | 8-5 |
| 73 | Florida Atlantic | 5.94 | 5.38 | +0.56 | *82 -2.46 -1.90 | 10-3 |
| 74 | Maryland | 5.37 | 5.95 | -0.48 | 48 -1.44 -1.92 | 3-9 |
| 75 | Wake Forest | 5.72 | 5.78 | -0.06 | 65 -1.95 -2.01 | 8-5 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 76 | Boston College | 5.91 | 6.46 | -0.55 | *49 -1.47 -2.02 | 6-7 |
| 77 | Northwestern | 4.23 | 5.06 | -0.83 | 40 -1.20 -2.03 | 3-9 |
| 78 | Fresno State | 6.04 | 5.73 | +0.31 | 78 -2.34 -2.03 | 4-8 |
| 79 | Syracuse | 5.21 | 6.07 | -0.86 | *40 -1.20 -2.06 | 5-7 |
| 80 | Western Kentucky | 5.60 | 5.22 | +0.38 | *83 -2.49 -2.11 | 9-4 |
| 81 | Colorado St. | 6.24 | 5.58 | +0.66 | 94 -2.82 -2.16 | 4-8 |
| 82 | Georgia Tech | 4.79 | 5.83 | -1.04 | *40 -1.20 -2.24 | 3-9 |
| 83 | UAB | 5.50 | 4.71 | +0.79 | *101 -3.03 -2.24 | 9-5 |
| 84 | Central Michigan | 6.08 | 5.42 | +0.66 | *97 -2.91 -2.25 | 8-6 |
| 85 | Houston | 6.02 | 6.81 | -0.79 | 50 -1.50 -2.29 | 4-8 |
| 86 | San Jose State | 6.36 | 5.80 | +0.56 | *95 -2.85 -2.29 | 5-7 |
| 87 | Louisiana Tech | 6.09 | 5.22 | +0.77 | *102 -3.06 -2.29 | 10-3 |
| 88 | South Florida | 5.14 | 5.39 | -0.25 | 69 -2.07 -2.32 | 4-8 |
| 89 | Duke | 4.53 | 5.35 | -0.82 | 51 -1.53 -2.35 | 5-7 |
| 90 | Southern Miss | 6.07 | 5.71 | +0.36 | *93 -2.79 -2.43 | 7-6 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 91 | Liberty | 6.44 | 5.74 | +0.70 | *105 -3.15 -2.45 | 8-5 |
| 92 | Arkansas State | 6.17 | 6.11 | +0.06 | *85 -2.55 -2.49 | 8-5 |
| 93 | Arkansas | 5.21 | 6.54 | -1.33 | *39 -1.17 -2.50 | 2-10 |
| 94 | Georgia Southern | 5.19 | 5.66 | -0.47 | *70 -2.10 -2.57 | 7-6 |
| 95 | NC State | 5.18 | 5.59 | -0.41 | *75 -2.25 -2.66 | 4-8 |
| 96 | Miami of Ohio | 4.97 | 5.27 | -0.30 | *79 -2.37 -2.67 | 8-6 |
| 97 | Ohio | 6.68 | 5.95 | +0.73 | *114 -3.42 -2.69 | 7-6 |
| 98 | Vanderbilt | 4.78 | 6.57 | -1.79 | *30 -0.90 -2.69 | 3-9 |
| 99 | Buffalo | 5.39 | 4.87 | +0.52 | *107 -3.21 -2.69 | 8-5 |
| 100 | Kent State | 5.83 | 6.32 | -0.49 | *73 -2.19 -2.70 | 7-6 |
| 101 | Western Michigan | 6.33 | 5.85 | +0.48 | *106 -3.18 -2.70 | 7-6 |
| 102 | Charlotte | 6.31 | 6.01 | +0.30 | *100 -3.00 -2.70 | 7-6 |
| 103 | Ball State | 6.11 | 5.82 | +0.29 | *101 -3.03 -2.74 | 5-7 |
| 104 | Louisiana Monroe | 6.37 | 6.71 | -0.34 | *80 -2.40 -2.74 | 5-7 |
| 105 | Florida Int'l FIU | 5.59 | 5.66 | -0.07 | *90 -2.70 -2.77 | 6-7 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 106 | Eastern Michigan | 5.97 | 6.07 | -0.10 | *90 -2.70 -2.80 | 6-7 |
| 107 | Middle Tennessee | 6.36 | 6.21 | +0.15 | *101 -3.00 -2.85 | 4-8 |
| 108 | Georgia State | 5.85 | 6.64 | -0.79 | *70 -2.10 -2.89 | 7-6 |
| 109 | Nevada | 5.02 | 6.07 | -1.05 | *60 -1.80 -2.95 | 7-6 |
| 110 | Northern Illinois | 5.22 | 6.08 | -0.86 | *70 -2.10 -2.96 | 5-7 |
| 111 | Toledo | 6.09 | 6.62 | -0.53 | *80 -2.40 -2.97 | 6-6 |
| 112 | North Texas | 5.92 | 5.73 | +0.19 | *110 -3.30 -3.11 | 4-8 |
| 113 | Troy | 6.13 | 6.20 | -0.07 | 105 -3.15 -3.22 | 5-7 |
| 114 | Coastal Carolina | 5.53 | 6.05 | -0.52 | *90 -2.70 -3.22 | 5-7 |
| 115 | Army | 5.86 | 5.53 | +0.33 | *120 -3.60 -3.27 | 5-7 |
| 116 | Texas State | 4.97 | 5.72 | -0.75 | 90 -2.70 -3.45 | 3-9 |
| 117 | East Carolina | 5.74 | 6.52 | -0.78 | *90 -2.70 -3.48 | 4-8 |
| 118 | UNLV | 5.41 | 6.26 | -0.85 | 90 -2.70 -3.55 | 4-8 |
| 119 | Rutgers | 4.46 | 6.22 | -1.76 | 61 -1.83 -3.64 | 2-10 |
| 120 | South Alabama | 5.01 | 5.77 | -0.76 | *100 -3.00 -3.76 | 2-10 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
| 121 | UTSA | 5.05 | 6.53 | -1.48 | *80 -2.40 -3.88 | 4-8 |
| 122 | New Mexico | 5.77 | 6.71 | -0.94 | *98 -2.94 -3.88 | 2-10 |
| 123 | Rice | 4.69 | 5.97 | -1.28 | *90 -2.70 -3.98 | 3-9 |
| 124 | New Mexico State | 5.21 | 6.58 | -1.37 | *100 -3.00 -4.37 | 2-10 |
| 125 | Bowling Green | 4.56 | 7.03 | -2.47 | *80 -2.40 -4.87 | 3-9 |
| 126 | Connecticut | 5.11 | 7.00 | -1.89 | *100 -3.15 -4.89 | 2-10 |
| 127 | Old Dominion | 4.06 | 5.66 | -1.60 | *110 -3.30 -4.90 | 1-11 |
| 128 | UTEP | 5.14 | 6.76 | -1.62 | *110 -3.30 -4.92 | 1-11 |
| 129 | Massachusetts | 4.28 | 7.77 | -3.49 | *120 -3.60 -4.99 | 1-11 |
| 130 | Akron | 4.02 | 5.70 | -1.68 | *111 -3.33 -4.99 | 0-12 |
| Rank | Team | Ypp Off | Ypp Def | NAYPPA | SD CSD AYPP | W-L |
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