Wednesday, November 26, 2014

College Football Game Prediction RESULTS Week 14 2014 by SportPundit

This week we added as a special feature a notation of the ESPN Football Power Index ("FPI", updated daily at ESPN) which agrees to a great degree with our own rankings.  ESPN takes the "average" team as zero and then plots how many points better (+) or worse (-, i.e. minus) a team is than the the average. The FPI stats we quote here were those listed at ESPN on November 23, at which time Alabama had the highest FPI of +26.2 points above average and Eastern Michigan the lowest FPI of -24.3 points below average or a difference of 50.5 points between the top and the bottom in FBS. 

NCAA College Football FBS Game Prediction RESULTS for Week 14 2014

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind.  No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

The past 13th week we were 39-20 in predicting the winner, 29-24 against the spread, 32-21 against the CFPT prediction average and 26-24-3 against the over/under.

After the 13th Week of play we are 545-198 in calling the winner (73%), 316-307 against the spread, excluding ties (50.7%), and 328-307 against the CFPT prediction average (51.7%).


The game odds ("point spread", "spread") used here were taken as far as possible from the opening lines posted at Oddsshark viz. the College Football Prediction Tracker ("CFPT") November 24 or later. The "CFPT prediction average" was taken from CFPT Monday, November 24, 2014,  11:12 AM (U.S. time). The over/under stats came first on Wednesday (incomplete). Please note that posted odds can differ among the various sources and that these can also often change over time, but our predictions do not reflect later changes once we have posted odds here as the basis for comparing our own selections. We do this FOR FUN. Professional oddsmakers do it for a living and they are skilled at what they do. Never rely on our posted odds here for betting. Go to the sources and always check and cross-check.

To see our ratings and rankings after the 13th week which were used to make the predictions below, see our College Football Rankings and Ratings After Week 13 FBS 2014.

Weekday games have proven very unpredictable in the past because some teams rise to the occasion of being seen by a wide TV audience.

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Ohio at Miami of Ohio
The Redhawks were favored over the Bobcats by 2 points (opening line), but we may have misread this at Oddsshark, since the CFPT has the opening line at 1 point in favor of Ohio. The CFPT prediction average was 1 point favoring Ohio. The over/under was 48.5 points.
ESPN Football Power Index FPI -  Ohio -12.4, Miami of Ohio -16.4, a difference of 4 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Miami of Ohio.
Result: 24-21 for Ohio. The Redhawks led 21-0 with 4:43 left in the 1st half but then allowed a game-changing 84-yard kickoff return for a TD and were stymied offensively in the second half, losing to a 28-yard field goal as time expired in the 4th quarter.
This week we are 0-1 in calling the winner, 0-1 against the spread , 0-1 against the CFPT prediction average and 0-1 against the over/under.

Thursday, November 27, 2014

LSU at Texas A&M
The Tigers were favored over the Aggies by 2.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -0.89 points favoring LSU.
The over/under was 51 points.
ESPN FPI -  LSU +18.0, Texas A&M +14.9, a difference of 3.1 points.
Our call: 34-27 for LSU.
Result: ?? for ??.

TCU at Texas
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Longhorns by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -8.21 points favoring TCU.
The over/under was 56.5 points.
ESPN FPI - TCU +20.2, Texas +10.2, a difference of 10 points.
Our call: 30-24 for TCU.
Result: ?? for ??.

Friday, November 28, 2014

Northern Illinois at Western Michigan
The Broncos were favored over the Huskies by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 5.19 points favoring Western Michigan.
The over/under was 58.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Northern Illinois -1.8, Western Michigan -2.5, a difference of 0.7 points.
Our call: 33-31 for Western Michigan.
Result: ?? for ??.

Nebraska at Iowa
The Hawkeyes were favored over the Cornhuskers by 1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -2.15 points favoring Nebraska.
The over/under was 56 points.
ESPN FPI - Nebraska +11.7, Iowa +4.2, a difference of 7.5 points.
Our call: 31-23 for Nebraska.
Result: ?? for ??.

Western Kentucky at Marshall
The Thundering Herd were favored over the Hilltoppers by 21 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 18.91 points favoring Marshall.
The over/under was 74.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Marshall +14.4, Western Kentucky -3.6, a difference of 18 points.
Our call: 48-31 for Marshall.
Result: ?? for ??.

Central Florida (UCF) at South Florida
The Knights were favored over the Bulls by 12 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -11.12 points favoring UCF.
The over/under was 42.5 points.
ESPN FPI - UCF +4.3, South Florida -9.7, a difference of 14 points.
Our call: 31-14 for UCF.
Result: ?? for ??.

Houston at SMU
The Cougars were favored over the Mustangs by 22 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -20.28 points favoring Houston.
The over/under was 49 points.
ESPN FPI - Houston +5.2, SMU -22.2, a difference of 27.4 points.
Our call: 31-7 for Houston.
Result: ?? for ??.

Toledo at Eastern Michigan
The Rockets were favored over the Eagles by 23 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -19.57 points favoring Toledo.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Toledo -2.7, Eastern Michigan -24.3, a difference of 21.6 points.
Our call: 38-24 for Toledo.
Result: ?? for ??.

Ball State at Bowling Green
The Falcons were favored over the Cardinals by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 7.52 points favoring Bowling Green.
The over/under was 57 points.
ESPN FPI - Bowling Green -6.3, Ball State -11.2, a difference of 4.9 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Bowling Green.
Result: ?? for ??.

Buffalo at Massachusetts
The Bulls were favored over the Minutemen by 1 point.
The CFPT prediction average was 2.76 points favoring Massachusetts.
The over/under was ??? points.
ESPN FPI - Buffalo -12.4, UMass -14.2, a difference of 1.8 points. 
Our call: 34-27 for Massachusetts.
Result: ?? for ??.

Akron at Kent State
The Zips were favored over the Golden Flashes by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -2.38 points favoring Akron.
The over/under was 41.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Akron -10.1, Kent State -16.1, a difference of 6 points.
Our call: 24-21 for Kent State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Arkansas at Missouri
The Razorbacks were favored over the Tigers by -1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 0.10 points favoring Missouri.
The over/under was ??? points.
ESPN FPI - Arkansas +17.7, Missouri +11.1, a difference of 6.6 points.  
Our call: 27-20 for Arkansas.
Result: ?? for ??.

Navy at South Alabama
The Midshipmen were favored over the Jaguars by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -7.11 points favoring Navy.
The over/under was 54 points.
ESPN FPI - Navy +2.5, South Alabama -8.9, a difference of 11.4 points.
Our call: 30-27 for Navy.
Result: ?? for ??.

Arizona State at Arizona
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points.
The CFPT prediction average was 2.43 points favoring Arizona.
The over/under was ??? points.
ESPN FPI - Arizona +15.8, Arizona State +13.9, a difference of 1.9 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Arizona State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Stanford at UCLA
The Bruins were favored over the Cardinal by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 7.43 points favoring UCLA.
The over/under was 50 points.
ESPN FPI - UCLA +20.0, Stanford +15.7, a difference of 4.3 points.
Our call: 24-23 for Stanford.
Result: ?? for ??.

Colorado State at Air Force
The Rams were favored over the Falcons by 7 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -6.47 points favoring Colorado State.
The over/under was 59.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Colorado State +4.7, Air Force -3.0, a difference of 7.7 points.
Our call: 38-27 for Colorado State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Virginia at Virginia Tech
The Cavaliers were favored over the Hokies by 2 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 2.15 points favoring Virginia Tech.
The over/under was 40.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Virginia +7.3, Virginia Tech +5.9, a difference of 1.4 points. 
Our call: 20-13 for Virginia Tech.
Result: ?? for ??.

East Carolina at Tulsa
The Pirates were favored over the Golden Hurricane by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -15.67 points favoring East Carolina.
The over/under was 66.5 points.
ESPN FPI - East Carolina +4.7, Tulsa -12.5, a difference of 17.2 points. 
Our call: 41-23 for East Carolina.
Result: ?? for ??.

Saturday, November 29, 2014

Cincinnati at Temple
The Bearcats were favored over the Owls by 5.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -3.82 points favoring Cincinnati.
The over/under was 58 points.
ESPN FPI - Cincinnati +6.4, Temple +0.4, a difference of 6 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Cincinnati.
Result: ?? for ??.
 
South Carolina at Clemson
The Tigers were favored over the Gamecocks by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 4.06 points favoring Clemson.
The over/under was ??? points.
ESPN FPI - Clemson +13.1, South Carolina +11.2, a difference of 1.9 points. 
Our call: 27-26 for South Carolina.
Result: ?? for ??.

Georgia Tech at Georgia
The Bulldogs were favored over the Yellow Jackets by 13 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 10.92 points favoring Georgia.
The over/under was 66 points.
ESPN FPI - Georgia +24.1, Georgia Tech +13.7, a difference of 10.4 points.
Our call: 42-28 for Georgia.
Result: ?? for ??.

Kentucky at Louisville
The Cardinals were favored over the Wildcats by 13.50 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 13.18 points favoring Louisville.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Louisville +11.6, Kentucky +2.6, a difference of 9 points.
Our call: 27-16 for Louisville.
Result: ?? for ??.

West Virginia at Iowa State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points.
The CFPT prediction average was -11.94 points favoring Iowa State.
The over/under was ??? points.
ESPN FPI - West Virginia +11.7 , Iowa State -5.5, a difference of 17.2 points. 
Our call: 34-17 for West Virginia.
Result: ?? for ??.

Michigan at Ohio State
The Buckeyes were favored over the Wolverines by 20 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 20.77 points favoring Ohio State.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Ohio State +21.3, Michigan +5.6, a difference of 15.7 points.
Our call: 38-14 for Ohio State.
Result: ?? for ??.

North Texas at Texas San Antonio (UTSA)
The Roadrunners were favored over the Mean Green by 5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 2.86 points favoring UTSA.
The over/under was 42.5 points.
ESPN FPI - UTSA -10.7, North Texas -11.1, a difference of 0.4 points.
Our call: 24-23 for North Texas.
Result: ?? for ??.

Old Dominion at Florida Atlantic
The Owls were favored over the Monarchs by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 3.18 points favoring FAU.
The over/under was 67 points.
ESPN FPI - Old Dominion -9.7, Florida Atlantic -11.6, a difference of 1.9 points.
Our call: 35-30 for Florida Atlantic.
Result: ?? for ??.

Rice at Louisiana Tech
The Bulldogs were favored over the Owls by 6.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 7.36 points favoring Louisiana Tech.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Louisiana Tech +2.0, Rice -2.4, a difference of 4.4 points.
Our call: 27-24 for Rice.
Result: ?? for ??.

Illinois at Northwestern
The Wildcats were favored over the Illini by 8.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 10.20 points favoring Northwestern.
The over/under was 52 points.
ESPN FPI - Northwestern +1.6, Illinois -5.1, a difference of 6.7 points. 
Our call: 31-24 for Northwestern.
Result: ?? for ??.

Purdue at Indiana
The Hoosiers were favored over the Boilermakers by 3 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 3.28 points favoring Indiana.
The over/under was 58.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Indiana -2.9, Purdue -5.4, a difference of 2.5 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Indiana.
Result: ?? for ??.

North Carolina State at North Carolina
The Tar Heels were favored over the Wolfpack by 8 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 7.82 points favoring North Carolina.
The over/under was 69 points.
ESPN FPI - North Carolina +6.6, NC State +2.0, a difference of 4.6 points.  
Our call: 34-27 for North Carolina.
Result: ?? for ??.

Syracuse at Boston College
The Eagles were favored over the Orange by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 10.33 points favoring Boston College.
The over/under was 41.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Boston College +4.3, Syracuse -1.4, a difference of 5.7 points.   
Our call: 30-14 for Boston College.
Result: ?? for ??.

Louisiana Lafayette at Troy
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Trojans by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -9.09 points favoring ULL.
The over/under was 57 points.
ESPN FPI - LA Lafayette -4.2, Troy -19.4, a difference of 15.2 points. 
Our call: 35-30 for Louisiana Lafayette.
Result: ?? for ??.

Utah at Colorado
The Utes were favored over the Buffaloes by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -10.30 points favoring Utah.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Utah +11,7 , Colorado -1.8, a difference of 13.5 points. 
Our call: 35-17 for Utah.
Result: ?? for ??.

Texas State at Georgia State
The Bobcats were favored over the Panthers by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -11.48 points favoring Texas State.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Texas State -7.7, Georgia State -23.1, a difference of 15.4 points.
Our call: 37-21 for Texas State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Idaho at Appalachian State
The Mountaineers were favored over the Vandals by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 16.29 points favoring Appalachian State.
The over/under was 63 points.
ESPN FPI - Appalachian State -6.5, Idaho -20.1, a difference of 13.6 points.  
Our call: 38-26 for Appalachian State.
Result: ?? for ??.

New Mexico State at Arkansas State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Aggies by 22 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 20.88 points favoring Arkansas State.
The over/under was 64 points.
ESPN FPI - Arkansas State -2.8, New Mexico State -23.2, a difference of 20.4 points.
Our call: 34-20 for Arkansas State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Wyoming at New Mexico
The Lobos were favored over the Cowboys by 4.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 1.62 points favoring New Mexico.
The over/under was 61 points.
ESPN FPI - Wyoming -12.5, New Mexico -12.5, a difference of 0 points. 
Our call: 38-31 for Wyoming.
Result: ?? for ??.

San Jose State at San Diego State
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points.
The CFPT prediction average was 10.54 points favoring San Diego State.
The over/under was ??? points.
ESPN FPI - San Diego State -4.1, San Jose State -10.2, a difference of 6.1 points. 
Our call: 34-21 for San Diego State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Notre Dame at USC (Southern California)
The Trojans were favored over the Fighting Irish by 7.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 6.25 points favoring Southern Cal.
The over/under was 62.5 points.
ESPN FPI - USC +17.5, Notre Dame +13.5, a difference of 4 points.
Our call: 30-28 for USC.
Result: ?? for ??.

Mississippi State at Mississippi
The Bulldogs were favored over the Rebels by -1.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 0.79 points favoring Ole Miss.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Ole Miss +21.9, Mississippi State +21.7, a difference of 0.2 points. 
Our call: 27-26 for Ole Miss.
Result: ?? for ??.

Florida at Florida State
The Seminoles were favored over the Gators by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 9.12 points favoring Florida State.
The over/under was 52.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Florida State +21.3, Florida +14.8, a difference of 6.5 points. 
Our call: 27-26 for Florida.
Result: ?? for ??.

Baylor at Texas Tech
The Bears were favored over the Red Raiders by 24.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -23.38 points favoring Baylor.
The over/under was 79 points.
ESPN FPI - Baylor +23.5, Texas Tech -1.1, a difference of 24.6 points.  
Our call: 45-24 for Baylor.
Result: ?? for ??.

Rutgers at Maryland
The Terrapins were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 9 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 7.98 points favoring Maryland.
The over/under was 54 points.
ESPN FPI - Maryland +5.6, Rutgers -1.0, a difference of 6.6 points. 
Our call: 31-21 for Maryland.
Result: ?? for ??.

UAB at Southern Miss
The Blazers were favored over the Golden Eagles by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -6.46 points favoring UAB.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
ESPN FPI - UAB -6.0, Southern Miss -14.4, a difference of 8.4 points.
Our call: 31-24 for UAB.
Result: ?? for ??.

Michigan State at Penn State
The Spartans were favored over the Nittany Lions by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -12.93 points favoring Michigan State.
The over/under was 45 points.
ESPN FPI - Michigan State +20.0, Penn State +4.5, a difference of 15.5 points.
Our call: 31-14 for Michigan State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Minnesota at Wisconsin
The Badgers were favored over the Golden Gophers by 13.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 11.97 points favoring Wisconsin.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Wisconsin +18.2, Minnesota +7.1, a difference of 11.1 points. 
Our call: 34-20 for Wisconsin.
Result: ?? for ??.

Kansas at Kansas State
The Wildcats were favored over the Jayhawks by 28 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 24.87 points favoring Kansas State.
The over/under was 51.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Kansas State +15.9, Kansas -7.1, a difference of 23 points. 
Our call: 34-10 for Kansas State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Connecticut at Memphis
The Tigers were favored over the Huskies by 20.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 22.72 points favoring Memphis.
The over/under was 45 points.
ESPN FPI - Memphis +9.3, Connecticut -12.2, a difference of 21.5 points.
Our call: 37-13 for Memphis.
Result: ?? for ??.

Tennessee at Vanderbilt
The Volunteers were favored over the Commodores by 17 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -15.63 points favoring Tennessee.
The over/under was 49.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Tennessee +11.4, Vanderbilt -9.0, a difference of 20.4 points. 
Our call: 34-17 for Tennessee.
Result: ?? for ??.

BYU at California
The Golden Bears were favored over the Cougars by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 1.80 points favoring Cal.
The over/under was 72 points.
ESPN FPI - BYU +9.6, Cal +4.9, a difference of 4.7 points. 
Our call: 31-30 for BYU.
Result: ?? for ??.

Louisiana Monroe at Georgia Southern
The Eagles were favored over the Warhawks by 14 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 12.23 points favoring Georgia Southern.
The over/under was 54 points.
ESPN FPI - Georgia Southern -0.4, UL Monroe -11.0, a difference of 10.6 points.
Our call: 37-21 for Georgia Southern.
Result: ?? for ??.

Hawaii at Fresno State
The Bulldogs were favored over the Warriors by 11 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 7.55 points favoring Fresno State.
The over/under was 57.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Fresno State -4.9, Hawaii -10.0, a difference of 5.1 points.
Our call: 33-21 for Fresno State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Wake Forest at Duke
The Blue Devils were favored over the Demon Deacons by 18 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 18.5 points favoring Duke.
The over/under was 43 points.
ESPN FPI - Duke +8.3, Wake Forest -10.5, a difference of 18.8 points. 
Our call: 28-7 for Duke.
Result: ?? for ??.

Pittsburgh at Miami of Florida
The ?? were favored over the ?? by ?? points.
The CFPT prediction average was 10.55 points favoring Miami of Florida.
The over/under was ??? points.
ESPN FPI - Miami of Florida +13.1, Pittsburgh +6.1, a difference of 7 points. 
Our call: 37-24 for Miami of Florida.
Result: ?? for ??.

Middle Tennessee at Texas El Paso (UTEP)
The Miners were favored over the Blue Raiders by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 3.57 points favoring UTEP.
The over/under was 57 points.
ESPN FPI - Middle Tennessee -4.4, UTEP -8.6, a difference of 4.2 points.
Our call: 31-30 for Middle Tennessee.
Result: ?? for ??.

Auburn at Alabama
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Tigers by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 9.58 points favoring Alabama.
The over/under was 53.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Alabama +26.2, Auburn +21.5, a difference of 4.7 points.
Our call: 27-26 for Alabama.
Result: ?? for ??.

Oregon at Oregon State
The Ducks were favored over the Beavers by 20 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -21.08 points favoring Oregon.
The over/under was 67 points.
ESPN FPI - Oregon +25.5, Oregon State +2.1, a difference of 23.4 points.
Our call: 49-21 for Oregon.
Result: ?? for ??.

Utah State at Boise State
The Broncos were favored over the Aggies by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was 6.74 points favoring Boise State.
The over/under was 55.5 points.
ESPN FPI - Boise State +9.2, Utah State +2.0, a difference of 7.2 points.  
Our call: 35-23 for Boise State.
Result: ?? for ??.

Washington at Washington State
The Huskies were favored over the Cougars by 4 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -5.05 points favoring Washington.
The over/under was 65 points.
ESPN FPI - Washington +10.0, Washington State +2.5, a difference of 7.5 points.
Our call: 34-24 for Washington.
Result: ?? for ??.

Nevada at UNLV
The Wolf Pack were favored over the Rebels by 9.5 points.
The CFPT prediction average was -11.84 points favoring Nevada.
The over/under was 62 points.
ESPN FPI - Nevada +0.4, UNLV -16.5, a difference of 16.9 points.
Our call: 38-26 for Nevada.
Result: ?? for ??.

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