Thursday, August 28, 2014

Week 1 2014 College Football Game Prediction Results by SportPundit

Update:

We had a good start into the college football prediction season. This 1st week we were 72-12 in picking the winner (many FBS vs. FCS games are "locks" and have no line), 22-14-3 against the spread, 23-14 against the CFPT prediction average, and 23-14 against the CFPT prediction median.
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See our Preseason College Football Rankings and Ratings 2014
and our Week 1 picks at this link.

Below are now the game results. Note that we use the online ESPN scoreboard whereas the ESPN mobile scoreboard is a disaster (using team abbreviations some of which are known only to those who make those pages). In past years, we used Yahoo! Rivals but that sports site has been totally ruined by apparently sports newbies fully changing the layout, which used to be the best, and now is the worst.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

The game odds ("point spread", "spread") used here were taken either from the College Football Prediction Tracker (hereinafter cited as "CFPT") as posted Thursday, August 14, 2014 at 4:09:03 PM (US time) or the lines posted at Oddsshark as of August 15 (European time). Please note that posted odds can differ among the various sources and that these can also often change over time, but our predictions do not reflect later changes once we have posted odds here as the basis for comparing our own selections. We do this FOR FUN. Professional oddsmakers do it for a living and they are skilled at what they do. Never rely on our posted odds here for betting. Go to the sources and always check and cross-check, e.g. the OddsShark.com preview of conferences and teams is a good place to start, e.g. try Nebraska for a nice overview. We mention that only once since our blog purpose here is not to advertise betting sites but rather to provide football information, and, in the case of predictions, entertainment, only. We cite to many other sources below. Take a look.

NEW EXTRA NOTICE: Please note that our primarily YPPSYS-based rating system provides primarily a good idea concerning the relative strength of teams, but does not take into statistical account many variables that determine individual game results, such as matchups of passing and rushing offenses and defenses, turnovers, kicking and special teams, conference strengths, traditional rivalries, player status, and other factors affecting coach and player motivation that often determine outcomes. Our predictions could be improved, but that would turn out to be a job, whereas this is just for fun. Fans! Enjoy the pageantry of the games! Do not be so concerned about the winner. ENJOY! Life goes on.

Make sure you look at the preseason team analyses at Phil Steele's College Football Preview (getting his magazine could be useful and we have in fact ordered several copies) and also look at SportsRatings: College Football, based on, to quote their website "mainly Phil Steele's preview magazine and cfbstats, both of which are much more helpful than the NCAA's new, less-useful official site. Schedule listings are adapted from James Howell's site. Team helmet .gifs are from The Helmet Project." 

Please note:  In quoting the game odds below, a minus sign prededing the odds means the visiting team is favored. This can be confusing in some games that are played at so-called "neutral" locations where the teams are nevertheless given "home" and "visiting" team status in the odds. If no odds are posted online by the oddsmakers for a particular game at the time of our posting of this blog posting, we have ??, awaiting this information, which we add later.

Wednesday, August 27, 2014 (see waiver)

Abilene Christian Wildcats at Georgia State Panthers at the Georgia Dome
The Panthers were favored over the Wildcats by 5.5 points.
Our call: 35-31 for Georgia State
Result: Will Lutz kicked Georgia State (0-12 last year and riding a 16-game losing streak) to its first victory as an FBS team by making a 26-yard field goal with 4 seconds left to cap an exciting 38-37 win over the FCS Abilene Christian Wildcats. 
This 1st week, we are 1-0 in picking the winner and 1-0 against the spread.

Thursday, August 28, 2014
 

Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks
The Gamecocks were favored over the Aggies by 10.5 points. The CFPT prediction average of the numerous computer ratings systems scanned by CFPT was 8.10 points, with a prediction median of 8.83 points, favoring the Gamecocks.
Our call: 35-28 for South Carolina
Result: The Aggies rolled past the Gamecocks with surprising ease 52-28 as Texas A&M QB Kenny Hill passed for 3 touchdowns and a school record 511 yards on 44 completions in 60 attempts. Starting the season with a conference matchup is just not a good idea. Too many potential flaws early in the season, and the Gamecocks had them, trailing 31-14 at the half.
This 1st week, we are 1-1 in picking the winner, 2-0 against the spread, 1-0 against CFPT prediction average, & 1-0 against CFPT prediction median.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
The Demon Deacons were favored over the Warhawks by 2.5 points, with a CFPT prediction average of -3.84 and a prediction median of -5.89 favoring Wake Forest.
Our call: 27-21 for Wake Forest.  
Result:  The Demon Deacons new head coach, Dave Clawson had a rough start at Wake Forest, leading 10-0 at halftime and then losing 17-10 in a game clearly dominated by the Warhawks, who outgained the Demon Deacons 352 to 94 total yards and held Wake Forest to -3 yards rushing.
This 1st week, we are 1-2 in picking the winner, 2-1 against the spread, 1-1 against CFPT prediction average, & 1-1 against CFPT prediction median.

Eastern Illinois Panthers at Minnesota Golden Gophers
The Gophers were favored over Panthers by 27.5 points. Can that be true?
Our call: 31-30 for Minnesota.
Result: 42-20 for Minnesota. We beat the spread but were nevertheless surprised that the Golden Gophers rolled up such a margin as Eastern Illinois outgained them 409 to 338 yards.

This 1st week, we are 2-2 in picking the winner, 3-1 against the spread, 1-1 against CFPT prediction average, & 1-1 against CFPT prediction median.

Howard Bison at Akron Zips
Our call: 35-17 for Akron.
Result: The Zips shut out the Bison 41-0 as Kyle Pohl threw for 304 yards and 4 touchdowns.
This 1st week, we are 3-2 in picking the winner, 3-1 against the spread, 1-1 against CFPT prediction average, & 1-1 against CFPT prediction median.

Presbyterian Blue Hose at Northern Illinois Huskies
Our call: 47-17 for Northern Illinois.
Result: The Huskies led 55-3 after three quarters and that was the final score as Northern Illinois outgained the Blue Hose 635 to 127 yards.
This 1st week, we are 4-2 in picking the winner, 3-1 against the spread, 1-1 against CFPT prediction average, & 1-1 against CFPT prediction median.

Chattanooga Mocs at Central Michigan Chippewas
Our call: 27-26 for Central Michigan.
Result: As we suspected, the Chippewas had their hands full with the Mocs, coming back from a 16-7 halftime deficit to win 20-16.
This 1st week, we are 5-2 in picking the winner, 3-1 against the spread, 1-1 against CFPT prediction average, & 1-1 against CFPT prediction median.

Idaho State Bengals at Utah Utes
Our call: 47-7 for Utah.
Result: The Utes put away the Bengals 56-14, passing for 351 yards and running for 238. 
This 1st week, we are 6-2 in picking the winner, 3-1 against the spread, 1-1 against CFPT prediction average, & 1-1 against CFPT prediction median.

Tulane Green Wave at Tulsa Golden Hurricane
The Golden Hurricane were favored over the Green Wave by 5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of minus -0.68 and a prediction median of minus -3.39, i.e. favoring Tulane.
Our call: 31-27 for Tulane.
Result: We knew Tulane was under-rated but it did not help us in the final score, as the Golden Hurricane won 38-31 in two overtimes, after trailing 21-7 in the second quarter. These are the predictions you hate to lose, because, essentially, your pick was good.
This 1st week, we are 6-3 in picking the winner, 3-2 against the spread, 1-2 against CFPT prediction average, & 1-2 against CFPT prediction median.

Boise State Broncos vs. Mississippi (Ole Miss) Rebels in the Georgia Dome.
The Rebels were favored over the Broncos by 10 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -5.42 points and a prediction median of -7.00 points favoring Ole Miss.
Our call: 35-24 for Ole Miss
Result: Mississippi erupted for 28 fourth quarter points to top the Broncos 35-13 in a game marked by seven intercepted passes, 4 by Ole Miss.
This 1st week, we are 7-3 in picking the winner, 4-2 against the spread, 2-2 against CFPT prediction average, & 2-2 against CFPT prediction median.

Cal Poly Mustangs at New Mexico State Aggies
Our call: 34-31 for Cal Poly. T
Result: The Aggies beat the Mustangs 28-10.
This 1st week, we are 7-4 in picking the winner, 4-2 against the spread, 2-2 against CFPT prediction average, & 2-2 against CFPT prediction median.

Temple Owls at Vanderbilt Commodores
The Commodores were favored over the Owls by 16 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 18.11 points and a prediction median of 17.70 points favoring Vanderbilt.
Our call: 41-20 for Vanderbilt
Result: In a disastrous start for new head coach Derek Mason and in one of the biggest surprises of the early football season, the heavily favored Commodores were humiliated on their home field by the Owls 37-7. Temple lost by only 3 points to UCF toward the end of last season and had many close-game losses in a 2-10 season that could turn around this year.
This 1st week, we are 7-5 in picking the winner, 4-3 against the spread, 2-3 against CFPT prediction average, & 2-3 against CFPT prediction median.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Washington State Cougars 
The Cougars were favored over the Scarlet Knights by 8 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 9.30 points and a prediction median of 9.34 points favoring Washington State.
Our call: 30-27 for Washington State
Result: The Scarlet Knights surprised the Cougars 41-38 in an offensive battle marked by several lead changes as Rutgers showed it was in good form in getting ready for its first Big Ten conference year.
This 1st week, we are 7-6 in picking the winner, 5-3 against the spread, 3-3 against CFPT prediction average, & 3-3 against CFPT prediction median.

North Dakota (formerly "Fighting Sioux") at San Jose State Spartans
Our call: 47-14 for San Jose State
Result: The Spartans topped North Dakota 42-10 as Blake Jurich passed for 3 touchdowns.
This 1st week, we are 8-6 in picking the winner, 5-3 against the spread, 3-3 against CFPT prediction average, & 3-3 against CFPT prediction median.

Weber State Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils
Our call: 71-7 for Arizona State
Result: The Sun Devils rolled up a 38-0 lead in the 3rd quarter before easing to a 45-14 win, as D.J. Foster ran for 147 yards and three TDs.
This 1st week, we are 9-6 in picking the winner, 5-3 against the spread, 3-3 against CFPT prediction average, & 3-3 against CFPT prediction median.

Friday, August 29, 2014


BYU (Brigham Young U) Cougars at UConn (U of Connecticut) Huskies
The Cougars were favored over the Huskies by 16.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -13.65 points and a prediction median of -13.20 points favoring BYU.
Our call: 24-17 for BYU
Result: NewHuskies head coach Bob Diaco was given a rough start, as BYU thumped UConn 35-10, with Tysom Hill 28 of 36 for 308 yards and 3 TDs. 
This 1st week, we are 10-6 in picking the winner, 5-4 against the spread, 3-4 against CFPT prediction average, & 3-4 against CFPT prediction median.

Villanova Wildcats at Syracuse Orange
Our call: 27-20 for Syracuse
Result: Syracuse pulled out the win 27-26 in two overtimes. Villanova outgained the Orange 389 to 320 yards.
This 1st week, we are 11-6 in picking the winner, 5-4 against the spread, 3-4 against CFPT prediction average, & 3-4 against CFPT prediction median.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Michigan State Spartans
Our call: 31-7 for Michigan State
Result: The Spartans rolled to a 38-0 halftime advantage and then cruised to the 45-7 win.
This 1st week, we are 12-6 in picking the winner, 5-4 against the spread, 3-4 against CFPT prediction average, & 3-4 against CFPT prediction median.

Bowling Green Falcons at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
The Falcons were favored over the Hilltoppers by 8 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -8.08 points and a prediction median of -8.00 points favoring Bowling Green
Our call: 33-24 for Bowling Green (Ohio).
Result:  Dino Babers, the new head coach of the Falcons, defending MAC champs, had a tough beginning against the Hilltoppers, headed by new head coach Jeff Brohm in their Conference USA debut, who rolled up 700+ yards in a 59-31 rout, which surprisingly had no turnovers. Western Kentucky's Brandon Doughty completed 46 of 56 passes for 569 yards and 6 TDS. The Falcons will have to work on their pass defense.
This 1st week, we are 12-7 in picking the winner, 5-5 against the spread, 3-5 against CFPT prediction average, & 3-5 against CFPT prediction median.

UTSA Roadrunners at Houston Cougars
The Cougars were favored over the Roadrunners by 11 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 11.72 points and a prediction median of 10.50 points favoring Houston.
Our call: 44-34 for Houston
Result: We knew the Roadrunners were improved, but who could have foreseen a 27-7 win over Houston? The Cougars turned the ball over 6 times in gaining only 208 total yards and -26 yards rushing.
This 1st week, we are 12-8 in picking the winner, 6-5 against the spread, 4-5 against CFPT prediction average, & 4-5 against CFPT prediction median.

Colorado State Rams vs. Colorado Buffaloes at Sports Authority Field at Mile High in Denver
The Buffaloes were favored over the Rams by 2.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -4.65 points and a prediction median of -4.49 points favoring Colorado State.
Our call: 31-27 for Colorado
Result: The Buffaloes lost an early 10-0 lead as the Rams prevailed 31-17.
This 1st week, we are 12-9 in picking the winner, 6-6 against the spread, 4-6 against CFPT prediction average, & 4-6 against CFPT prediction median.

UNLV Rebels at Arizona Wildcats
The Wildcats were favored over the Rebels by 23.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 21.99 points and a prediction median of 21.50 points favoring Arizona.
Our call: 47-21 for Arizona
Result: The Wildcats crushed the Rebels 58-13, putting up 787 yards, as Anu Solomon threw for 425 yards and 4 touchdowns. 
This 1st week, we are 13-9 in picking the winner, 7-6 against the spread, 5-6 against CFPT prediction average, & 5-6 against CFPT prediction median.

Saturday, August 30, 2014


Penn State Nittany Lions vs. UCF Knights at Croke Park Stadium in Dublin, IRELAND, the Croke Park Classic, an international game
The Knights were favored by 1 point over the Nittany Lions. CFPT has a prediction average of 2.79 points and a prediction median of 2.89 points favoring Central Florida.
Our call: 31-28 for Penn State
Result: James Franklin made good on his debut as Nittany Lions head coach as Penn State scored a field goal with the clock running out to win 26-24 in a game in which they substantially outgained the Knights 511 to 246 yards as Christian Hackenberg completed 32 of 47 passes for 454 yards, but only 1 touchdown and two interceptions.
This 1st week, we are 14-9 in picking the winner, 8-6 against the spread, 6-6 against CFPT prediction average, & 6-6 against CFPT prediction median.


Delaware Fightin Blue Hens at Pittsburgh Panthers
Our call: 45-17 for Pittsburgh
Result: Pittsburgh shut out Delaware 62-0, gaining 506 yards and holding the Fightin Blue Hens to 71 total yards.
This 1st week, we are 15-9 in picking the winner, 8-6 against the spread, 6-6 against CFPT prediction average, & 6-6 against CFPT prediction median.

UCLA Bruins at Virginia Cavaliers
The Bruins were favored over the Cavaliers by 21.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -23.78 points and a prediction median of -22.78 points favoring UCLA.
Our call: 38-14 for UCLA
Result: The Bruins capitalized on three defensive touchdowns in the second quarter while struggling to a 28-20 victory in which they were outgained 386 to 358 yards.
This 1st week, we are 16-9 in picking the winner, 8-7 against the spread, 6-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 6-7 against CFPT prediction median.

North Dakota State Bison at Iowa State Cyclones
Our call: 35-31 for North Dakota State
Result: The Bison and new head coach Chris Klieman picked up where they left off last year, winning again for their 25th straight victory, as they beat the Cyclones 34-14 after coming back from a 14-0 deficit in the first half. North Dakota State outgained Iowa State 503 to 253 yards.
This 1st week, we are 17-9 in picking the winner, 8-7 against the spread, 6-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 6-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Youngstown State Penguins at Illinois Fighting Illini
Our call: 41-31 for Illinois.
Result: The Illini trailed 17-14 in the fourth quarter before coming back for a 28-17 win over the Penguins, who outgained them 375 to 363 yards.
This 1st week, we are 18-9 in picking the winner, 8-7 against the spread, 6-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 6-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Indiana State Sycamores at Indiana Hoosiers
Our call: 52-14 for Indiana.
Result: The Hoosiers piled up 566 yards offense while holding the Sycamores to 170 total yards in an otherwise hard-fought 28-10 win.
This 1st week, we are 19-9 in picking the winner, 8-7 against the spread, 6-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 6-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Northern Iowa Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes
Our call: 31-24 for Iowa
Result: The score was 24-23 in the 4th quarter in a close game won by the Hawkeyes 31-23, as the Panthers outgained Iowa 405 to 401 yards. 
This 1st week, we are 20-9 in picking the winner, 8-7 against the spread, 6-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 6-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Appalachian State Mountaineers at Michigan Wolverines
The Wolverines were favored over the Mountaineers by 34 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 33.04 points and a prediction median of 33.31 points favoring Michigan.
Our call: 51-7 for Michigan
Result: The Wolverines rolled up a 35-0 halftime lead, winning 52-14, as Devin Gardner threw for 3 TDs to Devin Funchess, while Derrick Green and De'Veon Smith both broke the 100-yard rushing mark with 170 and 115 yards respectively.
This 1st week, we are 21-9 in picking the winner, 8-7 against the spread, 6-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 6-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Navy Midshipmen
The Buckeyes were favored over the Midshipmen by 17 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -15.41 points and a prediction median of -16.18 points favoring Ohio State.
Our call: 41-21 for Ohio State
Result: The Buckeyes trailed 7-6 at the half and 14-13 in the 3rd quarter, before pulling away to win 34-17 against a gallant Navy team that rushed for 370 yards. J.T. Barrett as the Ohio State quarterback taking over for the injured Braxton Miller completed 12 of 15 passes for 226 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, and ran for another 50 yards.
This 1st week, we are 22-9 in picking the winner, 8-7-1 against the spread, 7-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 7-7 against CFPT prediction median.


Western Michigan Broncos at Purdue Boilermakers
The Boilermakers were favored over the Broncos by 11.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 10.11 points and a prediction median of 11.53 points favoring Purdue.
Our call: 27-26 for Purdue
Result: The Boilermakers led only 37-34 in the 4th quarter but scored a late TD to win 43-34, in spite of being outgained by the Broncos, 456 to 407 yards.
This 1st week, we are 23-9 in picking the winner, 9-7-1 against the spread, 8-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 8-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Troy Trojans at UAB Blazers
Troy was favored by 1 point over the Blazers. CFPT has a prediction average of -8.41 points and a prediction median of -9.00 points favoring Troy.
Our call: 31-30 for UAB. UAB's new head coach Bill Clark comes from Jacksonville State, and new offensive coordinator, Bryant Vincent from South Alabama.  Clark's first recruiting class is 64% JUCO ranks, which might make the Blazers stronger than expected. See UAB preview at Sports-Ratings.com.
Result: We left our analysis standing above to explain this win ... UAB is MUCH STRONGER than many expected, thumping favored Troy 48-10, outgaining the Trojans 489 to 272 yards.
This 1st week, we are 24-9 in picking the winner, 10-7-1 against the spread, 9-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 9-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks at Kentucky Wildcats
Our call: 37-17 for Kentucky
Result: Kentucky led 35-0 at halftime in beating the Skyhawks 59-14, as the Wildcats outgained Tennesse-Martin 656 to 398 yards.
This 1st week, we are 25-9 in picking the winner, 10-7-1 against the spread, 9-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 9-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Wofford Terriers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Our call: 34-27 for Georgia Tech
Result: The Yellow Jackets prevailed 38-19 over the Terriers 38-19 after leading only 24-19 early in the 4th quarter. Georgia Tech outgained Wofford 508 to 326 yards.
This 1st week, we are 26-9 in picking the winner, 10-7-1 against the spread, 9-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 9-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Georgia Southern Eagles at North Carolina State Wolfpack
The Wolfpack were favored over the Eagles by 22 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 7.81 points and a prediction median of 9.68 points favoring NC State.
Our call: 31-24 for North Carolina State
Result: NC State scored with 1:37 to play, its only lead of the game, to eke out the win 24-23.
This 1st week, we are 27-9 in picking the winner, 11-7-1 against the spread, 10-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 10-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Colgate Raiders at Ball State Cardinals
Our call: 49-7 for Ball State.
Result: The Cardinals beat the Raiders 30-10, as Ball State outgained Colgate 514 to 227 yards.
This 1st week, we are 28-9 in picking the winner, 11-7-1 against the spread, 10-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 10-7 against CFPT prediction median.


Nicholls State Colonels at Air Force Falcons
Our call: 38-24 for Air Force.
Result: The Falcons outgained the Colonels in total yards 558 to 263 in winning 44-16.
This 1st week, we are 29-9 in picking the winner, 11-7-1 against the spread, 10-7 against CFPT prediction average, & 10-7 against CFPT prediction median.

Boston College Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen
The Eagles were favored over the Minutemen by 14.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -21.65 points and a prediction median of -23.00 points favoring Boston College.
Our call: 37-23 for Boston College. 
Result: UMass hung on for the first half and trailed only 6-0 but faded in the second stanza as the Eagles beat the Minutemen 30-7 and outgaining them 511 to 202 yards.
This 1st week, we are 30-9 in picking the winner, 11-8-1 against the spread, 10-8 against CFPT prediction average, & 10-8 against CFPT prediction median.


Southern Utah Thunderbirds at Nevada Wolf Pack
Our call: 35-7 for Nevada
Result: The Wolf Pack topped the Thunderbirds 28-19, as Nevada outgained Southern Utah 547 to 380 yards.
This 1st week, we are 31-9 in picking the winner, 11-8-1 against the spread, 10-8 against CFPT prediction average, & 10-8 against CFPT prediction median.

William & Mary Tribe at Virginia Tech Hokies
Our call: 34-17 for Virginia Tech
Result: The Hokies dropped the Tribe 34-9, as Virginia Tech outgained William & Mary 488 to 193 yards. Michael Brewer passed for 2 TDs and Shai McKenzie rushed for 106 yards and 1 TD.
This 1st week, we are 32-9 in picking the winner, 11-8-1 against the spread, 10-8 against CFPT prediction average, & 10-8 against CFPT prediction median.


West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Mountaineers by 25.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -26.73 points and a prediction median of -27.00 points favoring the Crimson Tide.
Our call: 42-14 for Alabama 
Result: The Crimson Tide had its hands full with the Mountaineers, winning only 33-23, as Alabama outgained West Virginia 538 to 393 yards. Clint Trickett threw for 365 yards and 1 TD for West Virginia but the Mountaineers were held to 28 net yards rushing. For Alabama, T.J. Yeldon ran for 126 yards and 2 TDs and Derrick Henry for 113 yards and 1 TD.
This 1st week, we are 33-9 in picking the winner, 11-9-1 against the spread, 10-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 10-9 against CFPT prediction median.

James Madison Dukes at Maryland Terrapins
Our call: 34-17 for Maryland.
Result: The Terrapins rolled past the Dukes 52-7.This 1st week, we are 34-9 in picking the winner, 11-9-1 against the spread, 10-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 10-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Florida Atlantic Owls (FAU) at Nebraska Cornhuskers
The Huskers were favored over the Owls by 23 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 16.80 points and a prediction median of 17.00 points favoring the Cornhuskers.
Our call: 41-14 for Nebraska.
Result: The Cornhuskers put away the Owls 55-7, as Ameer Abdullah ran for 227 yards and 1 TD. Terrell Newby added 107 yards and 2 TDs rushing. QB Tommy Armstrong Jr. passed for 271 yards and 2 TDs and ran for 62 yards and 1 TD. Imani Cross also scored a rushing TD, while Jordan Westerkamp and De'Mornay Pierson-El caugt TD passes. The Huskers outgained FAU 779 yards to 200, rushing for 493 yards and passing for 286. Nebraska had no turnovers.
This 1st week, we are 35-9 in picking the winner, 12-9-1 against the spread, 11-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 11-9 against CFPT prediction median.

California Golden Bears at Northwestern Wildcats
The Wildcats were favored over the Golden Bears by 10 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 16.34 points and a prediction median of 15.40 points favoring the Wildcats.
Our call: 38-34 for Northwestern.
Result:  In making our prediction for this game, we asked how much progress  Sonny Dykes has made at Cal? This game answers some of that question, as the Golden Bears upset Northwestern 31-24, outgaining the Wildcats 414 to 354 yards.
This 1st week, we are 35-10 in picking the winner, 13-9-1 against the spread, 12-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 12-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Miami of Ohio RedHawks
The Thundering Herd were favored over the RedHawks by 24 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -27.18 points and a prediction median of -26.53 points favoring the Thundering Herd.
Our call: 41-21 for Marshall
Result: The Thundering Herd had a more difficult time with the RedHawks than expected, winning 42-27, as Marshall outgained Miami only 432 to 418 yards and had more than 9 minutes less possession.
This 1st week, we are 36-10 in picking the winner, 14-9-1 against the spread, 13-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 13-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Hampton Pirates at Old Dominion Monarchs
Our call: 44-24 for Old Dominion 
Result: The Monarchs topped the Pirates 41-28.
This 1st week, we are 37-10 in picking the winner, 14-9-1 against the spread, 13-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 13-9 against CFPT prediction median.


Rice Owls at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
The Fighting Irish were favored over the Owls by 22.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 16.85 points and a prediction median of 17.19 points favoring the Fighting Irish.
Our call: 38-14 for Notre Dame. 
Result: Everett Golson of the Fighting Irish returned triumphant in passing for 295 yards and 2 TDs and running for 41 yards and 3 more TDs in leading Notre Dame to a 48-17 win over the Owls, as Rice was outgained 576 to 367.
This 1st week, we are 38-10 in picking the winner, 15-9-1 against the spread, 14-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 14-9 against CFPT prediction median.


South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Missouri Tigers
Our call: 48-14 for Missouri 
Result: The Tigers downed the pesky Jackrabbits 38-18, outgaining them only 393 to 365 yards.This 1st week, we are 39-10 in picking the winner, 15-9-1 against the spread, 14-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 14-9 against CFPT prediction median.

UC Davis Aggies at Stanford Cardinal
Our call: 56-7 for Stanford.
Result: The Cardinal shut out the Aggies 45-0, holding UC Davis to 115 yards total offense. The Stanford offense put up 461 yards as Kevin Hogan threw for 3 TDs and Evan Crower for 1 TD.This 1st week, we are 40-10 in picking the winner, 15-9-1 against the spread, 14-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 14-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Portland State Vikings at Oregon State Beavers
Our call: 44-14 for Oregon State.
Result: The Beavers emerged as the winners 29-14 over the Vikings, as Oregon State outgained Portland State 505 yards to 215..
This 1st week, we are 41-10 in picking the winner, 15-9-1 against the spread, 14-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 14-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Duquesne Dukes at Buffalo Bulls
Our call: 49-10 for Buffalo.
Result: The Bulls vanquished the valiant Dukes 38-28.
This 1st week, we are 42-10 in picking the winner, 15-9-1 against the spread, 14-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 14-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Montana Grizzlies at Wyoming Cowboys
Our call: 27-24 for Wyoming.
Result:  Craig Bohl, the new Wyoming head coach and "threepeat" winner of 3 straight national FCS championships with the North Dakota State Bison, started out his Cowboy tenure with a hard-fought lightning-delayed 17-12 win over Montana 17-12, with Wyoming ougaining the Grizizlies 301 to 253 yards. Shaun Wick ran for 134 yards and 1 TD and D.J. May for 96 yards and 1 TD for the Cowboys.
This 1st week, we are 43-10 in picking the winner, 15-9-1 against the spread, 14-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 14-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers
The Tigers were favored over the Razorbacks by 21 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 24.06 points and a prediction median of 24.20 points favoring the Tigers.
Our call: 44-21 for Auburn.
Result: The Tigers beat the Razorbacks 45-21 as Cameron Artis-Payne ran for 177 yards and Corey Grant for 87, each with 1 TD, and Jeremy Johnson and Nick Marshall each played one half as the Auburn quarterback.
This 1st week, we are 44-10 in picking the winner, 16-9-1 against the spread, 15-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 15-9 against CFPT prediction median.


Clemson Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs
The Bulldogs were favored over the Tigers by 7.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 1.60 points and a prediction median of 2.71 points favoring the Georgia Bulldogs.
Our call: 37-34 for Georgia
Result: The Bulldogs and Tigers were tied 21-21 at the half, but it was all Georgia after the intermission in a 45-21 win over Clemson, as Todd Gurley ran for 198 yards and 3 touchdowns. Georgia outgained the Tigers 459 to 282 yards.
This 1st week, we are 45-10 in picking the winner, 16-10-1 against the spread, 16-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Elon Phoenix at Duke Blue Devils
Our call: 51-7 for Duke
Result:The Blue Devils beat Elon 52-13 behind 4 passing TDs by Anthony Boone.
This 1st week, we are 46-10 in picking the winner, 16-10-1 against the spread, 16-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Liberty Flames at North Carolina Tar Heels
Our call: 47-14 for North Carolina
Result: The Flames were competitive in the first half, trailing only 21-15 at the intermission, but then the Tar Heels pulled away to win 56-29.
This 1st week, we are 47-10 in picking the winner, 16-10-1 against the spread, 16-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Morgan State Bears at Eastern Michigan Eagles
Our call: 34-14 for Eastern Michigan
Result: The Eagles squeaked out a 31-28 win over the Bears in spite of being outgained 479 to 391 yard.
This 1st week, we are 48-10 in picking the winner, 16-10-1 against the spread, 16-9 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-9 against CFPT prediction median.

Ohio Bobcats at Kent State Golden Flashes
The Golden Flashes were favored over the Bobcats by 3 points.
CFPT has a prediction average of 5.73 points and a prediction median of 6.00 points favoring the Golden Flashes.
Our call: 35-28 for Kent State
Result: The Bobcats edged the Golden Flashes 17-14 with a 44-yard field goal by Josiah Yazdani as time expired.
This 1st week, we are 48-11 in picking the winner, 16-11-1 against the spread, 16-10 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-10 against CFPT prediction median.


Austin Peay Governors at Memphis Tigers
Our call: 49-14 for Memphis.
Result: Memphis shut out the Governors 63-0 in a solid team effort as seven different players scored touchdowns.
This 1st week, we are 49-11 in picking the winner, 16-11-1 against the spread, 16-10 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-10 against CFPT prediction median.

Western Carolina Catamounts at South Florida Bulls
Our call: 41-27 for South Florida.
Result: The Bulls edged the Catamounts 36-31 in a game delayed by weather. South Florida's Marlon Mack carries the ball 24 times for 275 yards and 4 TDs.
This 1st week, we are 50-11 in picking the winner, 16-11-1 against the spread, 16-10 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-10 against CFPT prediction median.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Oklahoma Sooners
The Sooners were favored over the Bulldogs by 38 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 39.57 points and a prediction median of 38.65 points favoring the Sooners.
Our call: 47-7 for Oklahoma
Result: The Sooners led 41-3 after 3 quarters and then eased to a 48-16 win, as Trevor Knight threw for 253 yards and 1 TD..
This 1st week, we are 51-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Samford Bulldogs at TCU Horned Frogs
Our call: 40-17 for TCU.
Result: The Horned Frogs prevailed 48-14, outgaining the Bulldogs 555 to 143 yards, with TCU's Trevone Boykin throwing for 320 yards and 2 TDs.
This 1st week, we are 52-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Central Arkansas Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Our call: 41-14 for Texas Tech
Result:The Red Raiders outgained the Bears 636 to 406 but won only by touchdown, 42-35, as Davis Webb threw for 452 yards, 4 TDs, and 2 picks. Bradley Marquez caught 11 passes for 184 yards and 2 TDs.
This 1st week, we are 53-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Florida Int'l (FIU) Golden Panthers
Our call: 31-14 for Bethune-Cookman.
Result: The FCS Wildcats beat the FBS Golden Panthers 14-12 in a defensive struggle in which Bethune-Cookman gained 239 yards and FIU 186 yards.
This 1st week, we are 54-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Savannah State Tigers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Our call: 63-7 for Middle Tennessee
Result: Middle Tennesse popped the Tigers 61-7 as 7 different players scored touchdowns.
This 1st week, we are 55-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

New Hampshire Wildcats at Toledo Rockets
Our call: 41-21 for Toledo.
Result: The Rockets led only 16-14 at the half but then turned on the steam to down the Wildcats 54-20, outgaining New Hampshire 674 to 375 yards.
This 1st week, we are 56-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at San Diego State Aztecs
Our call: 38-17 for San Diego State
Result: The Aztecs won 38-7, but outgained the Lumberjacks only 399 to 312 yards.
This 1st week, we are 57-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Idaho Vandals at Florida Gators
The Gators were favored over the Vandals by 35.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 36.82 points and a prediction median of 37.75 points favoring the Florida Gators.
Our call: 51-14 for Florida
Result: As the AP reports at the Washington Post, the game was suspended and postponed due to bad weather after "Florida’s Valdez Showers electrified the rain-soaked crowd with a 64-yard kickoff return, giving the Gators great field position at the 14. But then more lightning was detected.... Both teams have an open date on Saturday, Oct. 25. But it’s unclear whether either team would be willing to play it then." See that article for the other options.

Montana State Bobcats at Arkansas State Red Wolves
Our call: 31-30 for Arkansas State.
Result: The Red Wolves downed the Bobcats 37-10, as Arkansas State outgained Montana State 558 to 228 yards.
This 1st week, we are 58-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Southern University Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette (ULL) Ragin' Cajuns
Our call: 45-14 for Louisiana-Lafayette
Result: The Ragin' Cajuns cruised past Southern 45-6, as Terrance Broadway threw for 237 yards, 3 TDs and 2 interceptions. Eliah McGuire ran for 129 yards and 1 TD for LA Lafayette. 
This 1st week, we are 59-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions at Texas State Bobcats
Our call: 45-7 for Texas State
Result: Texas State shut out the Golden Lions 65-0, outgaining Pine Bluff 697 to 215 yards.
This 1st week, we are 60-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Kansas State Wildcats
Our call: 52-7 for Kansas State
Result: Jake Waters threw for 223 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception as the Wildcats topped the lumberjacks 55-16, outgaining them 478 to 294 yards.
This 1st week, we are 61-11 in picking the winner, 16-12-1 against the spread, 16-11 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-11 against CFPT prediction median.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Bulldogs were favored over the Golden Eagles by 30.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 37.30 points and a prediction median of 36.99 points favoring the Bulldogs.
Our call: 38-7 for Mississippi State
Result: The Bulldogs shut out the Golden Eagles 49-0, outgaining them 550 to 283 yards.
This 1st week, we are 62-11 in picking the winner, 17-12-1 against the spread, 16-12 against CFPT prediction average, & 16-12 against CFPT prediction median.


Fresno State Bulldogs at USC (Southern Cal) Trojans
The Trojans were favored over the Bulldogs by 21 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 15.91 points and a prediction median of 16.28 points favoring the Trojans.
Our call: 42-20 for USC
Result: The head coaching Sarkisian era began at USC with a rout of Fresno State, as the Trojans rolled past the Bulldogs 52-13. Cody Kessler completed 25 of 37 passes for 394 yards and 4 TDs. Javorius Allen ran for 133 yards and 1 touchdown, while Nelson Agholor had two receiving TDs and JuJu Smith caught 4 passes for 123 yards. Marteze Waller ran for 97 yards and 2 TDs for the Bulldogs.
This 1st week, we are 63-11 in picking the winner, 18-12-1 against the spread, 17-12 against CFPT prediction average, & 17-12 against CFPT prediction median.

NC Central Eagles at East Carolina Pirates
Our call: 48-7 for East Carolina
Result: The Pirates beat the Eagles 52-7, as Shane Carden threw for 3 TDs. 
This 1st week, we are 64-11 in picking the winner, 18-12-1 against the spread, 17-12 against CFPT prediction average, & 17-12 against CFPT prediction median.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys at AT&T Stadium
The Seminoles were favored over the Cowboys by 17.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -13.50 points and a prediction median of -14.09 points favoring the Seminoles.
Our call: 45-24 for Florida State
Result: The defending national champions dashed to a 17-0 lead but the final score was close at the end as the Seminoles defeated the Cowboys 37-31, outgaining them 476 to 364 yards. Reigning Heisman Trophy winner completed 25 of 40 passes for 370 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions, while J.W. Walsh threw for 2013 yards, 1 TD and 1 interception for the Cowboys.
This 1st week, we are 65-11 in picking the winner, 18-13-1 against the spread, 17-13 against CFPT prediction average, & 17-13 against CFPT prediction median.

North Texas Mean Green at Texas Longhorns
The Longhorns were favored over the Mean Green by 24 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 13.68 points and a prediction median of 13.00 points favoring the Longhorns.
Our call: 41-17 for Texas. We usually change our prognostication if it matches the line at the time that we post our predictions, but we forgot to do it here so that this is a tie against the line.
Result: The Longhorns opened the Charlie Strong era at Texas with an impressive 38-7 win over an improving Mean Green team, outgaining North Texas 353 to 94 yards.
This 1st week, we are 66-11 in picking the winner, 18-13-2 against the spread, 18-13 against CFPT prediction average, & 18-13 against CFPT prediction median.

UTEP (Texas El Paso) Miners at New Mexico Lobos
The Lobos were favored over the Miners by 7.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 9.48 points and a prediction median of 9.00 points favoring the Lobos.
Our call: 38-35 for New Mexico
Result: The Miners surprised the Lobos 31-24, as Aaron Jones rushed for 237 yards and 3 TDs on 22 carries. Cole Gautsche carried 14 times for 184 yards and 2 TDs for New Mexico.
This 1st week, we are 66-12 in picking the winner, 19-13-2 against the spread, 19-13 against CFPT prediction average, & 19-13 against CFPT prediction median.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. LSU Tigers (at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas)
The Tigers were favored over the Badgers by 4 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -2.66 points and a prediction median of -2.65 points favoring the Tigers.
Our call: 28-27 for LSU
Result: Wisconsin led 24-7 early in the 3rd quarter but LSU came back to win the game 28-24, as the Tigers outgained the Badgers 365 to 318 yards. Anthony Jennings threw for 239 yards and 2 TDs and Kenny Hilliard ran for 110 yards and 1 TD for LSU, while Melvin Gordon rushed for 140 yards and 1 TD for Wisconsin.
This 1st week, we are 67-12 in picking the winner, 19-13-3 against the spread, 19-14 against CFPT prediction average, & 19-14 against CFPT prediction median.

Washington Huskies at Hawaii Warriors
The Huskies were favored over the Warriors by 15.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -25.69 points and a prediction median of -26.77 points favoring the Huskies.
Our call: 42-17 for Washington
Result: Chris Peterson had a tough opener as the new Washington head coach. The Huskies did not score in the second half but squeaked out a 17-16 victory over the resurgent Warriors, who outgained Washington 424 to 336 yards. 
This 1st week, we are 68-12 in picking the winner, 19-14-3 against the spread, 20-14 against CFPT prediction average, & 20-14 against CFPT prediction median.

South Dakota Coyotes at Oregon Ducks
Our call: 66-7 for Oregon
Result: The Ducks bounced South Dakota 62-13, outgaining them 673 to 370 yards, as Marcus Mariota threw for 3 scores and ran for another.
This 1st week, we are 69-12 in picking the winner, 19-14-3 against the spread, 20-14 against CFPT prediction average, & 20-14 against CFPT prediction median.

Sunday, August 31, 2014


Utah State Aggies at Tennessee Volunteers
The Volunteers were favored over the Aggies by 6.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of -1.58 points and a prediction median of -1.55 points favoring the Aggies.
Our call: 24-14 for Tennessee
Result: The Vols rolled over the Aggies 38-7, as Tennessee outgained Utah State 383 to 244 yards, with three turnovers by the Aggies and none for the Volunteers, whose Justin Worley completed 27 of 38 passes for 273 yards and 3 TDs. Chuckie Keeton threw for 144 yards, 1 TD and 2 interceptions for the Aggies, who were not as bad as the score might indicate. Both teams punted eight times in a game often dominated by defense.
This 1st week, we are 70-12 in picking the winner, 20-14-3 against the spread, 21-14 against CFPT prediction average, & 21-14 against CFPT prediction median.

SMU (Southern Methodist U) Mustangs at Baylor Bears
The Bears were favored over the Mustangs by 32.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 29.20 points and a prediction median of 30.14 points favoring the Bears.
Our call: 55-14 for Baylor 
Result: Baylor excelled both on offense and defense in shutting out the Mustangs 45-0 in an impressive season debut at its new stadium (ESPN). The Bears held SMU to minus -24 yards rushing and 67 total net yards, while themselves gaining 574 yards, 313 passing and 261 running. Bryce Petty and Seth Russell combined for 3 TDs through the air.
This 1st week, we are 71-12 in picking the winner, 21-14-3 against the spread, 22-14 against CFPT prediction average, & 22-14 against CFPT prediction median.
Monday, September 1, 2014


Miami of Florida Hurricanes at Louisville Cardinals
The Cardinals were favored over the Hurricanes by 3.5 points. CFPT has a prediction average of 10.41 points and a prediction median of 9.28 points favoring the Cardinals.
Our call: 48-37 for Louisville 
Result:
This 1st week, we were thus 72-12 in picking the winner, 22-14-3 against the spread, 23-14 against CFPT prediction average, & 23-14 against CFPT prediction median.
 

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