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Monday, December 05, 2016

College Football Pre-Bowl Game Ratings & Rankings FBS 2016-2017 by SportPundit

College Football Pre-Bowl Game Ratings & Rankings FBS 2016-2017
by SportPundit

These are our final pre-bowl college football rankings of the 2016 season based on stats available after the conference championship game weekend.

The current stats of Alabama make it one of the best college football teams of all time, according to our yards per play analysis. It is very likely that Alabama will win the national championship this year.

Our system is based on net average yards per play stats, which we calibrate primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty. Other adjustments can also be made (*=adjustment). We take the cumulative yards per play stat data from cfbstats.com or college and university football athletic pages online, as linked below for each team.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning -- for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

Pre-Bowl College Football Rankings FBS 2016-2017 by SportPundit
Pre-Bowl RANK 2016-2017 by Sport PunditTEAM
Name
(# = head coaching change
NAYPPA= net average yards per play advantage offense over defense, stats from cfbstats.com (our calculation)yards per play offense via cfbstats.com the links below are to the school sites yards per play defense via cfbstats.comSchedule difficulty based on Massey Ratings, Sagarin, &
our ratings of average rank of opponents
x 3 / 100
is deducted
from NAYPPA
(*=adjusted)
Won-loss record (W-L) for the 2016-2017 season -
0.2
rating
points
deducted
per loss)
Pre-Bowl
2016-2017 Team Rating by Sport Pundit
1Alabama2.76.623.9430*13-0+1.8
2Ohio State1.96.154.2430*10-1+0.8
3Michigan2.06.064.0630*10-2+0.7
4Clemson1.76.354.6130*10-1+0.6
5USC #1.26.395.220***9-3+0.6
6Washington2.67.134.5760*12-1+0.6
7Penn State1.56.434.8925*11-2+0.3
8Wisconsin0.45.374.940***10-3+0.3
9LSU # 2.06.824.8630*7-4+0.3
10Oklahoma1.67.555.9530*10-2+0.3
11Louisville2.87.464.6170*9-3+0.1
12Auburn1.46.264.8820**8-4+0.0
13Florida State1.0 6.495.4520*9-3-0.2
14W. Virginia1.16.635.5830*10-2-0.2
15Colorado0.95.594.6920*10-3-0.3
16Stanford0.55.865.3610**9-3-0.4
17Florida0.45.144.7710**8-4-0.7
18Wash. St.0.16.276.160***8-4-0.7
19Pittsburgh0.66.676.0320*8-4-0.8
20Texas A&M0.96.405.4730*8-4-0.8
21N. Carolina1.46.775.4245*8-4-0.8
22Iowa0.05.245.2310***8-4-1.1
23Tennessee 0.56.405.9430*8-4-1.2
24Houston0.75.464.7945*9-3-1.2
25Virg. Tech #0.85.785.0140*9-4-1.2
26Miami (Fl.) #1.56.334.8165*8-4-1.3
27S. Florida1.57.295.7980**10-2-1.3
28Okla. St.0.76.706.0150*9-3-1.4
29Boise State2.07.115.10100***10-2-1.4
30Kansas St.-0.15.665.7520***8-4-1.5
31 Nebraska0.05.435.4035*9-3-1.6
32Ga. Tech 0.76.605.8550*8-4-1.6
33Georgia# 0.15.375.3025*7-5-1.6
34W. Michigan1.06.785.7585*13-0-1.6
35Northwestern0.05.255.2820*6-6-1.6
36Temple1.56.054.6085*10-3-1.6
37Utah0.15.745.6735*8-4-1.7
38 Arkansas-0.86.126.910***7-5-1.8
39Mississippi0.06.166.1815***5-7-1.8
40TCU0.76.175.4645*6-6 -1.8
41S. Diego St1.66.484.9095*10-3-1.8
42BYU#-0.25.385.6030***8-4-1.9
43N.C. State0.55.765.2540*6-6-1.9
44UCLA0.65.434.8630*4-8-1.9
45Indiana0.75.695.0050*6-6-2.0
46Michigan St.0.15.645.5310*3-9-2.0
47Navy0.46.826.4465*9-3-2.1
48Tulsa0.66.095.5170*8-3-2.1
49Toledo #1.37.225.8895*9-3-2.1
50 Memphis #0.76.275.6165*8-4-2.1
51W. Kentucky 2.57.645.12135*10-3-2.1
52California-0.85.956.710*5-7-2.2
53Notre Dame0.76.075.4045*4-8-2.2
54Minnesota #0.45.294.8960*8-4-2.2
55Texas0.35.905.6340*5-7-2.3
56Oregon0.26.616.4130**4-8-2.3
57Kentucky0.36.245.9555*6-5-2.3
58Miss. St.-0.16.106.2125*5-7-2.3
59Appal. St. 1.26.064.9095*8-3-2.3
60S. Carolina #-0.35.155.4435*6-5-2.4
61LA Tech1.97.565.68110*8-5-2.4
62Texas Tech-0.56.527.0520*5-7-2.5
63Baylor # 0.66.135.5365*6-6 -2.5
64Air Force0.35.995.7475*9-3-2.5
65Troy0.85.825.0490*9-3-2.5
66Wake Forest-0.84.525.3420*6-6-2.6
67Wyoming-0.46.166.6140*8-5-2.6
68Colorado St.0.56.495.9870*7-5-2.6
69UCF #0.04.844.8550*6-6-2.7
70Maryland #-0.15.655.7545*6-6-2.7
71Oregon S.-0.25.525.7630*4-8-2.7
72Iowa State #-0.1 5.915.9730*3-9-2.8
73Missouri #0.36.346.0750*4-8-2.8
74 Vanderbilt -0.65.325.9335*6-6-2.8
75Arizona0.06.086.1035**3-9-2.9
76Mid. Tenn.1.56.885.37120*8-4-2.9
77O. Dominion1.06.395.40110*9-3-2.9
78N. Illinois0.15.865.7960*5-7-3.1
79New Mexico0.66.986.3495*8-4-3.1
80Illinois #-0.25.325.5440*3-9-3.2
81SMU-0.55.496.0045*5-7-3.2
82Arkansas St.0.35.495.1885*7-5-3.2
83Boston C.-0.74.405.0845*6-6-3.2
84Ohio0.35.505.1885*8-5-3.2
85Miami (Oh.)0.45.595.2285*6-6-3.3
86Arizona St.-1.95.217.070*5-7-3.3
87Duke-1.15.156.2920*4-8-3.3
88Syracuse #-1.55.456.9110**4-8-3.4
89E. Michigan 0.25.965.7985*7-5-3.4
90C. Michigan0.35.885.6285*6-6-3.4
91Utah State 0.55.695.2370*3-9-3.4
92Virginia #-1.54.866.330**2-10-3.5
93Army West P1.05.914.96120*6-5-3.6
94Idaho -0.65.446.0175*8-4-3.6
95E. Carolina #-0.56.006.4550*3-9-3.8
96Purdue-1.15.116.2230*3-9-3.8
97Akron-0.15.996.0580*5-7-3.9
98S. Alabama 0.15.675.5795*6-6-3.9
99Cincinnati-0.15.285.3475*4-8-3.9
100UNLV0.15.955.8785*4-8-4.0
101Ball State # -0.75.646.3855*4-8-4.0
102Tulane #-0.54.835.3655*4-8-4.0
103Georgia St. 0.45.314.9185*3-9-4.0
104South. Miss#0.15.985.9395*6-6-4.0
105UTSA # -0.45.365.7380*6-6-4.0
106Hawaii #-0.45.916.3075*6-7-4.0
107Ga. South. #-0.75.245.9465*5-7-4.0
108Bowling G. #-1.25.136.3240***4-8-4.0
109Rice-2.35.167.43***3-9-4.1
110Rutgers #-2.24.136.350**2-10-4.2
111Kent State-0.44.855.2165*3-9-4.2
112Kansas-1.14.966.0440*2-10-4.3
113San Jose St.-1.15.336.4855*4-8-4.3
114LA Lafayette -0.15.115.20100*6-6-4.3
115Nevada-1.15.536.6360*5-7-4.3
116UMass -0.85.336.1355*2-10-4.4
117UTEP-0.16.026.1290**4-8-4.4
118N. Mex. St.-1.15.446.5655*3-9-4.5
119N. Texas # -1.04.996.0070***5-7-4.5
120UConn-0.94.815.7260*3-9-4.5
121Buffalo-0.85.165.9265*2-10-4.7
122Fl. Int'l FIU-0.95.436.3475*4-8-4.7
123Charlotte -1.14.926.0365*4-8-4.7
124Marshall-1.35.046.3555*3-9-4.7
125LA Monroe #-1.55.116.6560*4-8-4.9
126Fl. Atlantic -1.25.706.9165*3-9-4.9
127Fresno St.-1.04.685.7255*1-11-4.9
128Texas St. #-1.94.316.19***2-10-4.9
***Coastal Carolina 0.85.85.1175*10-2-4.9
***UAB -(Blazers back in 2017)
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Tuesday, November 29, 2016

College Football Game Predictions and Results for Week 14 2016 FBS by SportPundit

College Football Game Predictions and Results for Week 14 2016 FBS by SportPundit

This 14th week -- the conference championship week -- we finished
12-4 in picking the winner
8-8 against the spread
8-8 against the CFPT prediction average, and
9-7 against the over/under.

Going into the Bowl Games our cumulative season results thus far are:
602-226 in picking the winner
369-399-26 against the spread
326-384 against the CFPT average, and
423-369-19 against the over/under.

Check out the CBS Sports Bowl Eligibility Tracker

Below are our -- SportPundit -- predictions and results for NCAA Division I FBS College Football in ESPN Week 14, based primarily on our After Week 12 College Football Rankings and Ratings for FBS 2016-2017 by SportPundit. We have made no new rankings this week. We also look at the USA Today Sagarin College Football 2016 Ratings, the Massey Ratings for 2016 NCAA I Football and the Dr. Kambour home field advantage calculations. We compose our schedule using ESPN and NCCA.com.

Our system is based -- but not exclusively -- on net average yards per play stats, calibrated primarily by adjusting for schedule difficulty, i.e. the teams thus far played. Other adjustments are also made (*=adjustment) because the ypp system is not perfect, often exacerbating stats made against much weaker or much stronger teams, nor can schedule difficulty always be pinpointed with accuracy since many schedules include FCS teams.

Caveat emptor (Buyer beware): We make this material available in good fun out of interest for the sport of college football. Please do not rely on our material to place bets or wagers of any kind. No one knows the exact outcome of a game or a season before it is played and that is what makes it so interesting. We disclaim any and all liability for the consequences of anyone relying in any way upon our postings, analysis, links or reasoning - for which we make no warranty of accuracy. May the best team win.

This week we took the opening lines and the CFPT prediction average from the CFPT (College Football Prediction Tracker), as posted on Monday, November 28, 2016, 10:28 AM. We take the opening over/under from Oddsshark viz. VegasInsider.com as well as their opening odds for games where the opening odds are posted later. All odds and stats are here by us posted WITHOUT ANY guarantee of accuracy, and without any liability on our part for our posted materials or links to 3rd party sites. We do our predictions for fun. If important for the reader, the reader must consult the original sites. We use the opening line if available, not the updated line, since we compete against opening odds, if possible. We call the score and not the spread as such because our stats permit that calculation.

We write "were favored". The odds of the opening line are usually changed by the time we make our predictions. We do not compete against those changed odds. We used the CFPT as of the above date.

Friday, December 2, 2016

Western Michigan vs. Ohio at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
The Marathon Mid-American Conference (MAC) Championship Game
The Broncos were favored over the Bobcats by 19 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Western Michigan by 20.51 points. The O/U (over/under) was 55 points.
Our Call:  41-20 for Western Michigan.
Result: The Broncos edged Ohio unimpressively 29-23 to finish undefeated at 13-0 prior to the bowl game selections.
This week we are 1-0 in picking the winner, 0-1 against the spread, 0-1 against the CFPT prediction average, and 0-1 against the over/under.

Colorado vs. Washington at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
PAC-12 Conference Championship Game Presented by Dr Pepper
The Huskies were favored over the Buffaloes by 7.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Colorado by 6.28 points. The O/U (over/under) was 60 points.
Our Call: 30-27  for Colorado.
Result: Washington virtually guaranteed itself a berth in the college football playoffs with a convincing 41-10 win over Colorado in the Pac-12 championship game, as the Buffaloes were hampered in the first half by the loss of their starting quarterback Sefo Liufau on a leg injury after the first play of their first drive from scrimmage. Liufau came back for the second half of play, but likely not yet fit, then threw three interceptions and that was the ball game. The blowout loss by Colorado will probably drop it behind USC in the playoff rankings and send USC to the Rose Bow, with the Buffaloes then Alamo Bowl bound.
This week we are 1-1 in picking the winner, 0-2 against the spread, 0-2 against the CFPT prediction average, and 1-1 against the over/under.

Saturday, December 3, 2016

Temple at Navy at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Maryland
American Athletic Conference (AAC) Championship Game
The Midshipmen were favored over the Owls by 2.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Navy by 4.43 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64.5 points.
Our Call:  35-27 for Navy.
Result: Temple surprisingly cruised past the Midshipmen 34-10, holding Navy to 168 yards rushing and winning the turnover battle 3-0.
This week we are 1-2 in picking the winner, 0-3 against the spread, 0-3 against the CFPT prediction average, and 2-1 against the over/under.

Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky at L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Kentucky 
Dynacraft Conference USA Championship Game
The Hilltoppers were favored over the Bulldogs by 7.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Western Kentucky by 11.36 points. The O/U (over/under) was 73.5 points.
Our Call:  41-40 for Western Kentucky.
Result: The Hilltoppers outscored the Bulldogs 58-44.
This week we are 2-2 in picking the winner, 0-4 against the spread, 0-4 against the CFPT prediction average, and 3-1 against the over/under.

Kansas State at TCU
The Horned Frogs were favored over the Wildcats by 4.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored TCU by 3.65 points. The O/U (over/under) was 52.5 points.
Our Call:  30-27 for Kansas State.
Result: K-State continued its steady improvement with a strong 30-6 win on the road against the Horned Frogs, the Wildcats fith win in their last six games..
This week we are 3-2 in picking the winner, 1-4 against the spread, 1-4 against the CFPT prediction average, and 3-2 against the over/under.

Troy at Georgia Southern
The Trojans were favored over the Eagles by 8 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Troy by 7.43 points. The O/U (over/under) was 54 points.
Our Call:  31-27 for Troy.
Result:The Eagles upset the Trojans 28-24 to deny Troy a share of the Sun Belt Championship.
This week we are 3-3 in picking the winner, 2-4 against the spread, 2-4 against the CFPT prediction average, and 3-3 against the over/under.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma
(not a "championship" game, but the game decides the conference champion)
The Sooners were favored over the Cowboys by 12.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Oklahoma by 9.27 points. The O/U (over/under) was 75.5 points.
Our Call:  41-32 for Oklahoma.
Result: The Sooners outgained Oklahoma State 629 to 403 yards to emerge on top of the Big 12 conference with a 38-20 win over the Cowboys.
This week we are 4-3 in picking the winner, 2-5 against the spread, 2-5 against the CFPT prediction average, and 4-3 against the over/under.

New Mexico State at South Alabama
The Jaguars were favored over the Aggies by 11 points. The CFPT prediction average favored South Alabama by 10.05 points. The O/U (over/under) was 49.5 points.
Our Call:  34-24 for South Alabama.
Result:The game was tied 14-14 after three quarters and then the scoring began, as the Jaguars edged the Aggies 35-28, as South Alabama became bowl eligible.
This week we are 5-3 in picking the winner, 3-5 against the spread, 3-5 against the CFPT prediction average, and 5-3 against the over/under.

Louisiana Lafayette (ULL) at Louisiana Monroe (ULM)
The Ragin' Cajuns were favored over the Warhawks by 7 points. The CFPT prediction average favored ULL by 4.88 points. The O/U (over/under) was 55 points.
Our Call:  34-23 for Louisiana Lafayette.
Result:The Ragin' Cajuns had zero passing yards on five passes for two completions and two interceptions, but put up a convincing 30-3 defensive win to become bowl eligible, outgaining the Warhawks 240 to 147 yards, who also turned the ball over five times.
This week we are 6-3 in picking the winner, 4-5 against the spread, 4-5 against the CFPT prediction average, and 5-4 against the over/under.

Baylor at West Virginia
The Mountaineers were favored over the Bears by 16 points. The CFPT prediction average favored West Virginia by 13.74 points. The O/U (over/under) was 67 points.
Our Call:  41-24 for West Virginia.
Result: The Mountaineers won their 10th game of the season by edging Baylor 24-21. Head Coach Dana Holgorsen had not recieved a contract extension prior to the 2016 season, and was being touted for some of the open head coaching positions. West Virginia now has reportedly given him a five-year extension.
This week we are 7-3 in picking the winner, 4-6 against the spread, 4-6 against the CFPT prediction average, and 6-4 against the over/under.

Alabama vs. Florida at the Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia
The Southeastern Conference (SEC) Championship Game
The Crimson Tide were favored over the Gators by 21.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Alabama by 20.38 points. The O/U (over/under) was 40 points.
Our Call:  27-7 for Alabama.
Result: Florida gained 0 net yards rushing on 30 tries and had 3 passes intercepted as the Crimson Tide routed the Gators 54-16.
This week we are 8-3 in picking the winner, 4-7 against the spread, 4-7 against the CFPT prediction average, and 6-5 against the over/under.

Georgia State at Idaho
The Vandals were favored over the Panthers by 6.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Idaho by 7.57 points. The O/U (over/under) was 51.5 points.
Our Call:  33-24 for Idaho.
Result:The bowl-bound Vandals breezed past the Panthers 37-12, finishing 8-4 in their first winning season since 2009.
This week we are 9-3 in picking the winner, 5-7 against the spread, 5-7 against the CFPT prediction average, and 6-6 against the over/under.

Arkansas State at Texas State
The Red Wolves were favored over the Bobcats by 23.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Arkansas State by 23.22 points. The O/U (over/under) was 55 points.
Our Call:  38-10 for Arkansas State.
Result: The Red Wolves struggled early before prevailing 36-14 to win a share of the Sun Belt conference title.
This week we are 10-3 in picking the winner, 5-8 against the spread, 5-8 against the CFPT prediction average, and 7-6 against the over/under.

San Diego State at Wyoming at War Memorial Stadiuim, Laramie, Wyoming
Mountain West Conference (MWC) Football Championship Game
The Aztecs were favored over the Cowboys by 6 points. The CFPT prediction average favored San Diego State by 4.82 points. The O/U (over/under) was 64.5 points.
Our Call:  34-33 for Wyoming.
Result: San Diego State edged the Cowboys 27-24 in spite of being outgained 343 to 327 yards. In spite of the loss, Wyoming turned the corner this year and can look forward optimistically.
This week we are 10-4 in picking the winner, 6-8 against the spread, 6-8 against the CFPT prediction average, and 7-7 against the over/under.

Clemson vs. Virginia Tech at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
The Dr Pepper Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) Championship Game
The Tigers were favored over the Hokies by 9.5 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Clemson by 10.90 points. The O/U (over/under) was 55.5 points.
Our Call:  30-27 for Clemson.
Result: Clemson edged the Hokies 42-35 after a late Virginia Tech drive was stopped by an interception.
This week we are 11-4 in picking the winner, 7-8 against the spread, 7-8 against the CFPT prediction average, and 8-7 against the over/under.

Wisconsin vs. Penn State at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Big Ten Conference Championship Game
The Badgers were favored over the Nittany Lions by 3 points. The CFPT prediction average favored Wisconsin by 1.70 points. The O/U (over/under) was 47 points.
Our Call:  27-24 for Penn State.
Result:The Nittany Lions rebounded from a 28-7 deficit to win 38-31.
This week we finished 12-4 in picking the winner, 8-8 against the spread, 8-8 against the CFPT prediction average, and 9-7 against the over/under.


Sky Earth Native America


Sky Earth Native America 1 :
American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy
,
Volume 1, Edition 2, 266 pages, by Andis Kaulins.

  • Sky Earth Native America 2 :
    American Indian Rock Art Petroglyphs Pictographs
    Cave Paintings Earthworks & Mounds as Land Survey & Astronomy
    ,
    Volume 2, Edition 2, 262 pages, by Andis Kaulins.

  • Both volumes have the same cover except for the labels "Volume 1" viz. "Volume 2".
    The image on the cover was created using public domain space photos of Earth from NASA.

    -----

    Both book volumes contain the following basic book description:
    "Alice Cunningham Fletcher observed in her 1902 publication in the American Anthropologist
    that there is ample evidence that some ancient cultures in Native America, e.g. the Pawnee in Nebraska,
    geographically located their villages according to patterns seen in stars of the heavens.
    See Alice C. Fletcher, Star Cult Among the Pawnee--A Preliminary Report,
    American Anthropologist, 4, 730-736, 1902.
    Ralph N. Buckstaff wrote:
    "These Indians recognized the constellations as we do, also the important stars,
    drawing them according to their magnitude.
    The groups were placed with a great deal of thought and care and show long study.
    ... They were keen observers....
    The Pawnee Indians must have had a knowledge of astronomy comparable to that of the early white men."
    See Ralph N. Buckstaff, Stars and Constellations of a Pawnee Sky Map,
    American Anthropologist, Vol. 29, Nr. 2, April-June 1927, pp. 279-285, 1927.
    In our book, we take these observations one level further
    and show that megalithic sites and petroglyphic rock carving and pictographic rock art in Native America,
    together with mounds and earthworks, were made to represent territorial geographic landmarks
    placed according to the stars of the sky using the ready map of the starry sky
    in the hermetic tradition, "as above, so below".
    That mirror image of the heavens on terrestrial land is the "Sky Earth" of Native America,
    whose "rock stars" are the real stars of the heavens, "immortalized" by rock art petroglyphs, pictographs,
    cave paintings, earthworks and mounds of various kinds (stone, earth, shells) on our Earth.
    These landmarks were placed systematically
    in North America, Central America (Meso-America) and South America
    and can to a large degree be reconstructed as the Sky Earth of Native America."

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